TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x06f9…3978

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
136
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Tweets, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT3237.5%12 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Busan: Pavel Kotov vs Leandro Riedibacked Leandro Riedi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$18.73
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Katie Boulter vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Katie Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+87.9%+$44.36
Santa Cruz: Pedro Sakamoto vs Juan Bautista Torresbacked Juan Bautista Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.56
Tallahassee: Alex Rybakov vs Pedro Boscardin Diasbacked Pedro Boscardin Dias · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+242.1%+$48.54
Oeiras 3: Max Houkes vs Dusan Lajovicbacked Max Houkes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+297.4%+$33.63
BMW Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Zizou Bergsbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.63
Barcelona Open: Rafael Jodar vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.49
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Shuai Zhang vs Linda Noskovabacked Shuai Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.62
BMW Open: Alexander Blockx vs Ben Sheltonbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.59
Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.42
Set 1 Winner: Parks vs Akuguebacked Akugue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.66
BMW Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+452.6%+$101.33
Tallahassee: Darwin Blanch vs Daniel Galanbacked Daniel Galan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Hailey Baptiste vs Jessika Ponchetbacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8.27
Oeiras 3: Rebeka Masarova vs Elena Ruxandra Berteabacked Rebeka Masarova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$3.82
Tallahassee: Daniil Glinka vs Stefan Dostanicbacked Daniil Glinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$6.94
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Sarah Rakotomanga vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Sarah Rakotomanga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.35
Oeiras 3: Felix Gill vs Roman Safiullinbacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$43.44
Barcelona Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Otto Virtanenbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.54
Barcelona Open: Tomas Machac vs Sebastian Baezbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.81
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Caty McNally vs Katie Volynetsbacked Caty McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$14.91
BMW Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Diego Dedura-Palomerobacked Diego Dedura-Palomero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.07
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Marta Kostyuk vs Diane Parrybacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.22
Barcelona Open: Pedro Martinez vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Pedro Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.17
Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Sebastian Ofnerbacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.67
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT2544%11 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.55
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.58
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.76
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+203.4%+$23.96
Spread: Clippers (-5.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.79
Magic vs. 76ers: 1H Moneylinebacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$12.36
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.25
Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.38
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.22
Trail Blazers vs. Suns: 1H Moneylinebacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$8.51
Spread: Hornets (-6.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.25
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.67
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+101.6%+$16.11
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+90.4%+$17.58
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$90.36
Spread: Hawks (-7.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$18.9
Spread: Heat (-16.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$23
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$10.67
Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.14
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.47
Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.2
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.05
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.57
All 25 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-44.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.28
Texas Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+115.2%+$41.86
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.76
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.49
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.68
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$25.72
Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.76
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+141.4%+$32.37
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.84
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.48
Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.95
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankeesbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.45
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.09
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.52
Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$33.95
All 16 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Bluesbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.78
Wild vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$92
Sharks vs. Ducksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.81
Predators vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$4.16
Oilers vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.17
Sabres vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.94
Oilers vs. Utahbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.92
Blue Jackets vs. Red Wingsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+90.3%+$10.67
Predators vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$8.75
Lightning vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+83%+$26.08
Blues vs. Avalanchebacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+131.5%+$14.2
Canucks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$9.47
Flames vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.21
Red Wings vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Blue Jackets vs. Flyersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.19
All 15 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.24per pick42cpaid-55.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.29
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.86
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.58
LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+87.3%+$9.05
LoL: Joblife vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Ici Japon Corp. Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.14
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.3
LoL: DN SOOPers vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.15
LoL: JD Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.81
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.81
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+203%+$24.66
LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.67
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick26cpaid+101.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.34
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+900%+$99.86
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.23
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$49.23
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$7.57
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.25
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.87
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+58.1%+$24.82
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick12cpaid+300%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+45%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+31.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.7
Shanxi Loongs vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Shanxi Loongs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+163.6%+$20.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Italy end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Kosovo vs. Türkiye end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 30-April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.14
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.31
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$19.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$23.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.