NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hawks (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48de30a6681f566c361a2b8d2084eb711665f7537433db6364cfa13c5d3c3f13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Hawks, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $375,941
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $399,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $375,941 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 285 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Cavaliers | 47c | 114,809$53,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,567.51 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 69,967$32,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,766.39 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Hawks | 53c | 65,146$34,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,618.43 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Hawks | 54c | 36,706$19,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,884.75 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Cavaliers | 46c | 27,010$12,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,424.56 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Cavaliers | 48c | 20,115$9,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,655.06 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Hawks | 54c | 17,645$9,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,130.12 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 16,359$7,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,643 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Hawks | 54c | 13,275$7,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,153.81 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Hawks | 53c | 11,943$6,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,563.46 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Cavaliers | 46c | 11,250$5,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,175.06 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Hawks | 53c | 10,920$5,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,087.37 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Hawks | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Hawks | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.99 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Hawks | 54c | 8,464$4,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,902.09 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Hawks | 54c | 8,370$4,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,867.59 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 8,258$3,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,948.64 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Hawks | 53c | 8,163$4,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,836.79 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Hawks | 53c | 7,813$4,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,672.24 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8293…ddf4backed Hawks | 52c | 6,991$3,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,355.71 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2d…cfe2backed Cavaliers | 48c | 5,785$2,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,776.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Hawks | 54c | 5,154$2,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,380.35 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Hawks | 52c | 5,116$2,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,464.13 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Hawks | 53c | 4,589$2,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.88 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Hawks | 55c | 4,327$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,947.05 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cavaliers | 48c | 4,103$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976.46 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Hawks | 53c | 3,256$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.1 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cavaliers | 47c | 3,148$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.41 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 42c | 3,096$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.83 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Hawks | 51c | 3,007$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.01 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers | 46c | 2,770$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.87 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Cavaliers | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…9cebbacked Hawks | 53c | 2,281$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.07 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Hawks | 54c | 2,213$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.89 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Hawks | 53c | 2,117$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.87 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Hawks | 53c | 2,109$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.05 | 135 | 63%85 W · 50 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cavaliers | 46c | 2,076$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.8 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hawks | 62c | 2,026$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.84 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aec…65fabacked Cavaliers | 46c | 2,019$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.74 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…9a86backed Hawks | 52c | 1,931$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Hawks | 52c | 1,858$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.98 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d6…ebbdbacked Hawks | 52c | 1,845$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6922…a69abacked Hawks | 52c | 1,842$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Hawks | 52c | 1,791$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.56 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Cavaliers | 48c | 1,734$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.25 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Hawks | 54c | 1,617$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.04 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Cavaliers | 48c | 1,615$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.04 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Cavaliers | 48c | 1,466$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.33 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 1,416$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.48 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Cavaliers | 52c | 1,282$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.16 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cavaliers | 45c | 1,244$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.8 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…68cabacked Cavaliers | 47c | 1,210$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Cavaliers | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Cavaliers | 22c | 1,106$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.97 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Cavaliers | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 205 | 37.1%76 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Hawks | 52c | 1,056$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.73 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Hawks | 55c | 1,053$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.25 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 1,038$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.83 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Hawks | 53c | 1,008$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.98 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Hawks | 52c | 989.88$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.14 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…3d4cbacked Hawks | 53c | 973.63$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.61 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Cavaliers | 47c | 942.21$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.84 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f73…6d1cbacked Hawks | 52c | 933.85$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.25 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Hawks | 53c | 873.86$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.71 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…303dbacked Hawks | 52c | 806.84$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.28 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Hawks | 53c | 733.43$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.71 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Hawks | 53c | 733.43$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.71 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Hawks | 53c | 728.21$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.26 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Hawks | 69c | 715.24$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.59 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Hawks | 54c | 665.76$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.25 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Hawks | 53c | 639.39$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.51 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Hawks | 53c | 594.07$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.21 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Hawks | 54c | 583.44$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.38 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Hawks | 53c | 579.11$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.18 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Hawks | 54c | 540.22$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.5 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Cavaliers | 49c | 499.92$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.52 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Hawks | 54c | 488.69$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Hawks | 53c | 488.6$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.64 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Cavaliers | 29c | 431.59$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.1 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Hawks | 53c | 423.44$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.02 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…942bbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 411.8$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.55 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Hawks | 52c | 388.48$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.47 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Cavaliers | 47c | 387.28$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.02 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Hawks | 53c | 370.51$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.14 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Hawks | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.36 | 362 | 48.1%174 W · 188 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Hawks | 53c | 359.48$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.95 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Hawks | 50c | 343.1$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.55 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cavaliers | 48c | 340.44$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.74 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Cavaliers | 48c | 322.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.85 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Hawks | 53c | 321.13$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.93 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…768ebacked Hawks | 52c | 313.77$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.61 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Cavaliers | 47c | 313.53$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.43 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb68e…30cfbacked Hawks | 54c | 301.33$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.27 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 300.87$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.38 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff6…686dbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 298.73$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd35…e7c9backed Hawks | 51c | 296.03$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Hawks | 56c | 292.08$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.52 | 140 | 54.3%76 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba4b…cc06backed Hawks | 52c | 280.15$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.47 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ba…0bc3backed Cavaliers | 47c | 271.42$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.57 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Cavaliers | 45c | 260.48$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.81 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hawks (-7.5)this page
- CJ McCollum: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Cavaliers vs. HawksHawks won
- Cavaliers vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Cavaliers vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Hawks: O/U 218.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Hawks: O/U 219.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Hawks: O/U 221.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Hawks: O/U 222.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Hawks: O/U 223.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Hawks: O/U 225.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Hawks: O/U 228.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Hawks: O/U 233.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Hawks: O/U 234.5Under won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 21.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Jonathan Kuminga: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Hawks (-10.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-8.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.