TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Hawks: O/U 233.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$99,306
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,804

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,306 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Under51c21,693$11,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,579.2332653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over48c12,500$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0004,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over50c10,628$5,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,3141,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Under53c9,958$5,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,680.149244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Over47c9,843$4,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,626.3919954.8%109 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6e0…649bbacked Under53c9,332$4,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,416.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c7,369$3,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,507.149,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under50c6,152$3,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,075.851,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Over51c5,824$2,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,970.0432846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under50c5,820$2,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,91087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Over55c5,022$2,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,762.4548845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over47c4,127$1,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,939.831,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Over48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96025641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ee2…c9cdbacked Over49c1,978$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.41050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.7864944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over35c1,548$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.58,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under51c1,500$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.334,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under51c1,385$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.591,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over48c1,235$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.9121247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Under70c1,198$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.7219937.2%74 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over45c1,196$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.311,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Over50c1,144$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.1117850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over48c1,100$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52845146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Over48c1,014$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.567848.7%38 W · 40 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c1,008$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.765,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under80c832.5$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.565872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe53c…ee05backed Over50c820.62$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.314032.5%13 W · 27 L-6.9wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over48c726.6$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.7795452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under50c611.1$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.5531354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed Under51c599.49$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.7510745.8%49 W · 58 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over35c590.33$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.851,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc25c…f6dfbacked Over56c540.35$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.5940%0 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over43c498.07$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.352,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Over38c436.72$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.2910718.7%20 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick18cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over48c407.86$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.781,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Under51c404.42$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.1712857.8%74 W · 54 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Over48c387.52$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.0151753.8%278 W · 239 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed52…2dbdbacked Over40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-46.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x478a…1be8backed Over51c291.18$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a0…5310backed Under50c291$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0437…30f4backed Over49c268.63$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.63633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-33.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over23c244.74$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.121,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c234.57$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.293,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over47c221.43$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.8290650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2528…5edfbacked Under51c218.86$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc267…b227backed Over50c215.34$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe11c…c7f7backed Over48c207.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.769260.9%56 W · 36 L+10.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over48c207.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.526,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under51c204.9$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.771,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Under49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10244345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Over49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9414155.3%78 W · 63 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Over7c195.7$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4912227%33 W · 89 L-0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1de9…9499backed Over10c190.55$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9210636.8%39 W · 67 L-14.9wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-30.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Over51c190.41$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0620552.2%107 W · 98 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb69…c773backed Under52c187.37$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.2613148.9%64 W · 67 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Under53c184.51$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.3529345.7%134 W · 159 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Over48c174$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.7539448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under52c160.25$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.9242853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over48c157.5$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.681349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over28c135.86$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.892,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Over48c122.96$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0319254.7%105 W · 87 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over33c116.92$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.353,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaff…eaf6backed Under51c115.4$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5712160.3%73 W · 48 L+13.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Under53c112.77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5323549.4%116 W · 119 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Over47c112$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7622044.5%98 W · 122 L-14.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over47c111.98$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.011,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over47c111.98$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0137647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over47c111.98$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.011,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over47c111.98$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0158953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over48c106.12$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9449249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ecd…ea91backed Under50c105.36$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.682360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+31.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over48c103.12$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.51,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2110…306fbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507844.9%35 W · 43 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Under54c97.24$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7356050.4%282 W · 278 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6919…7b24backed Over51c97.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.510045%45 W · 55 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.51,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fba…26dcbacked Over50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.59361.3%57 W · 36 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64d6…aedbbacked Over20c95.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0410657.5%61 W · 45 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1d8…a180backed Under51c95.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.63560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfab0…e0f5backed Under50c94.58$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.298658.1%50 W · 36 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Over50c87.43$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6523652.5%124 W · 112 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over47c87.3$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3344551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over47c87.14$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9516048.8%78 W · 82 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b2…e004backed Under69c78.43$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.311675%12 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under51c78.34$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2335052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over48c73.08$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0893543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over15c72.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.882,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc71a…f135backed Over49c70.94$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.768347%39 W · 44 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73d6…09edbacked Under51c66.61$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6410047%47 W · 53 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over49c59.35$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.081,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Under71c59$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.137648.7%37 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaf9…3a59backed Under52c52.8$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.348651.2%44 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over49c50.06$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.351,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under41c47.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2868838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a3b…a99fbacked Under51c47.11$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.096648.5%32 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e16…4698backed Over48c46.42$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.283141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdba8…5d91backed Under53c42.76$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.111751.3%60 W · 57 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1b0…50d8backed Under52c42$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.161070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+39.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over48c41.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2065045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.