TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb5b2…e004

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Cricket, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 52 out of 100; worst La Liga at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT2470.8%17 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Lanka Premier League: Kandy Royals vs Dambulla Sixersbacked Kandy Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
ODI Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.87
ODI Series Ireland vs West Indies, Women: Ireland vs West Indiesbacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.58
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.64
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.44
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.03
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.66
ODI Series Bangladesh vs New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+37.8%+$15.08
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.19
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Gujarat Titansbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.92
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.92
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.26
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Gujarat Titansbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$13.99
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$27.31
Pakistan Super League: Peshawar Zalmi vs Rawalpindi Pindizbacked Rawalpindi Pindiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealandbacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$26.54
T20 World Cup: England vs Pakistanbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka, Women: West Indies vs Sri Lankabacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+25.3%+$15.17
T20 World Cup: New Zealand vs South Africa (Game 1)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.27
T20 World Cup: Ireland vs Oman (Game 1)backed Ireland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+29.9%+$13.32
T20 World Cup: Netherlands vs USA (Game 1)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$25
T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs South Africa (Game 1)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.27
T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs New Zealand (Game 1)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
All 24 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT1675%12 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.19
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.61
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10.46
76ers vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 111.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$9.25
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$16
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.7
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.09
Magic vs. Bulls: O/U 244.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$31.83
Cavaliers vs. Hawks: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$24.31
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.03
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$22.77
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$8.65
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$7.72
Suns vs. Grizzliesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$7.26
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$8.95
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$75.67
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.43
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.61
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed Cagliari Calcio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.42
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.