NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a525d0d2a8d9bed548580362e4fe582552046779ed1709aa966a672b207fcb2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,582
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,474
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,582 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 43c | 7,733$3,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,339.31 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Over | 58c | 3,389$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.55 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Over | 58c | 3,280$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.06 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 55c | 2,975$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.56 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 40c | 844.98$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.41 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 38c | 840.1$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.21 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 44c | 597.33$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.51 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Under | 25c | 505.95$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.93 | 206 | 38.3%79 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6726…542fbacked Over | 63c | 445.81$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.79 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Over | 64c | 385.09$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.09 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5cc…bfd6backed Under | 43c | 363.86$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 40c | 269.55$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.05 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0875…167cbacked Over | 80c | 255.07$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.49 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 34c | 243.09$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.63 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 32c | 228.71$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.23 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f4…5107backed Over | 69c | 227.73$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.72 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 45c | 206.25$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.81 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 41c | 199.61$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.63 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Under | 43c | 190.41$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.98 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 12c | 180.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Over | 55c | 175.54$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Over | 62c | 169.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.59 | 348 | 55.2%192 W · 156 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 13c | 155.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 28c | 154.46$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c7…66e4backed Over | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -6.7wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…6b8abacked Over | 66c | 149.08$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.13 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -16.2wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…bde6backed Over | 66c | 148.86$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.61 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x227d…8719backed Over | 66c | 148.42$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Under | 43c | 134.76$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.95 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Under | 37c | 133$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6528…2dcebacked Over | 74c | 131.24$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.12 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…0df5backed Under | 38c | 114.57$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 21c | 113.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 66c | 108.74$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.97 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf433…2464backed Over | 55c | 106.15$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.77 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Over | 74c | 102.67$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…1992backed Under | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | +16.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x729c…2b1ebacked Over | 59c | 99.19$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb855…c1bebacked Over | 73c | 98.89$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ca…a1b4backed Over | 66c | 97.94$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.57 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 44c | 94.05$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 37c | 93.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 34c | 87.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed Over | 58c | 86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa15f…ad19backed Over | 58c | 84.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Over | 72c | 83$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 330 | 30.9%102 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 57c | 80.51$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.62 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Over | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Under | 43c | 79.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Under | 19c | 79.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 45c | 79.42$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Over | 65c | 76.3$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x387b…fd56backed Under | 46c | 75.78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 24c | 74.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Under | 34c | 73.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 66c | 68.57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 205 | 58.5%120 W · 85 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed Over | 58c | 66.79$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 35c | 64.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Over | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 126 | 37.3%47 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed Over | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…c479backed Over | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 36c | 59.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Under | 45c | 58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 166 | 42.2%70 W · 96 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c7…4459backed Over | 78c | 57.87$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 44c | 52.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 44c | 52.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 44c | 52.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 36c | 51.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…63f3backed Under | 38c | 50.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 266 | 39.8%106 W · 160 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…7c0abacked Over | 64c | 48.92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9451…74b2backed Under | 38c | 48.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Over | 73c | 48.07$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -16.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33b1…0058backed Under | 41c | 47.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 64c | 45.75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…136abacked Under | 38c | 45.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7387…ccf1backed Under | 36c | 44.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 35c | 43.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Over | 73c | 43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 455 | 44.8%204 W · 251 L | +21.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Over | 70c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 312 | 38.5%120 W · 192 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over | 70c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08fb…8b8bbacked Over | 59c | 39.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x796d…9551backed Over | 80c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Over | 80c | 36.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 45c | 35.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 44c | 35.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Under | 38c | 35.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 346 | 41%142 W · 204 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…6b22backed Over | 58c | 34.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7178backed Over | 67c | 33.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 43c | 33.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x654f…61eebacked Over | 57c | 33.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05cc…7c4bbacked Over | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Over | 56c | 32.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4acd…66d4backed Over | 55c | 31.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Under | 40c | 31.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 462 | 55.6%257 W · 205 L | +22.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
- Ajay Mitchell: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Lakers vs. ThunderThunder won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 229.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 230.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 231.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5Over won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 16.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 32.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.