TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 231.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$140,941
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$140,672

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,941 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Under48c69,201$33,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,216.2954539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over52c48,791$25,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,369.089,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Over53c21,088$11,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,911.3919754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under47c15,660$7,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,398.4714842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x992a…5e34backed Under48c14,624$7,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,019.48742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6557…0999backed Over52c8,278$4,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,973.4113946.8%65 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Under47c5,120$2,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,406.416249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c4,689$2,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,245.071,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over52c4,641$2,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,212.21,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over52c4,641$2,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,212.290650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Over52c3,956$2,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,898.8830446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under48c2,667$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,280.661,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Over52c2,525$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,212.0614940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Over52c2,382$1,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,143.4720051.5%103 W · 97 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over51c2,017$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.932,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3054…699bbacked Under49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.992832.1%9 W · 19 L-5.1wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-38.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Over53c1,944$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.4935942.1%151 W · 208 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over52c1,730$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.42,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over52c1,587$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.5456043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Over51c1,296$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.064264.3%27 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Over52c1,295$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.4116946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c1,286$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.931,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Over52c1,234$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.1917850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Over53c971$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.0720638.3%79 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Over51c970.6$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.5910251%52 W · 50 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77e8…6854backed Over52c920.77$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.975635.7%20 W · 36 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-26.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over54c905.32$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.2271654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over51c875.49$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.783,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Under48c807.33$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.5228838.2%110 W · 178 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under36c703.77$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.472,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e80…9cebbacked Over52c615$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.28248.8%40 W · 42 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Under47c599.99$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.9944252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over52c558.6$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.2165349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under49c554.99$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.9544740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Over53c550.08$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.5423251.7%120 W · 112 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4efc…6391backed Under49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2455853.4%31 W · 27 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6512…5291backed Under47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1889550.5%48 W · 47 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over52c373.54$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.334953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb00f…e0e9backed Over53c312.06$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.863141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under12c250.26$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.032,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under22c233.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1952230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under17c227.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.851,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Over50c205$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.524151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9445146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Over50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9715543.9%68 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82e8…ffcabacked Under51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.068644.2%38 W · 48 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over54c180.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8335052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over54c180.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8351647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under47c176.21$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.8268645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Over51c171.28$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.9326755.1%147 W · 120 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over52c158.72$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.41,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Under47c148.13$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6256547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Under47c148.13$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6245646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over52c134.36$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.171,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over53c104.88$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2980653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Under22c104.84$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8711548.7%56 W · 59 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under49c100.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.413,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8688…a520backed Over52c97.12$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.624847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61ca…a1b4backed Under51c97.05$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.43531.4%11 W · 24 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-43.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Over52c93.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8266046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over52c87.62$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.671,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa15f…ad19backed Over53c82.51$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.789854.1%53 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf8b…bff8backed Over52c74.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369958.6%58 W · 41 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x30b9…9b83backed Under52c74.71$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.854537.8%17 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe757…c161backed Over53c73.34$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.476238.7%24 W · 38 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x104b…ed6bbacked Over52c64.21$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.553850%19 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd913…2cf7backed Over62c63.05$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.963438.2%13 W · 21 L-5.4wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-32.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under48c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.761,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under50c58.45$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2355751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under47c54.31$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.522,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under38c51.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.573,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Over52c50.81$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1845460.4%274 W · 180 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under49c50.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.822,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Under50c50.54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2795049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under49c45.45$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.131,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Over69c45$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9533030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over69c44.77$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8360049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Over69c42$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0280440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f7a…2488backed Under47c40.66$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.11160%0 W · 16 L-5.2wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Under47c39.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7923840.8%97 W · 141 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7492…6568backed Over52c38.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6531955.2%176 W · 143 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over71c38.71$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.232,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe53d…b31bbacked Over51c38.06$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.656544.6%29 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea15…a9dabacked Over51c38.06$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.654841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Over53c37.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8331953%169 W · 150 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over52c37.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9318850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc55d…405abacked Over53c36.92$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4915459.7%92 W · 62 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Over53c36.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2417758.2%103 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef40…b116backed Over53c29.15$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.76437.5%24 W · 40 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-28.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x51b6…1903backed Over50c28.89$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.346950.7%35 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x471b…d60abacked Over52c28.02$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.45944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over53c26.86$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.624,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5767…8cc1backed Over51c24.27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.891,08442.4%460 W · 624 L-48.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Over69c23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1345544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over69c22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8278639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Over80c21.07$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.3237848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Over52c20.46$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8626450%132 W · 132 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed Over51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.810148.5%49 W · 52 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-16.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1022752%118 W · 109 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58d1…5312backed Over76c19.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.721361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.