NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4637e9d2c1427f11322ededeadd08afda83f2de8360b11a665c46591ad99cea4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $288,192
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $318,961
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $288,192 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x992a…5e34backed Under | 51c | 80,220$40,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,724.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 50c | 77,907$38,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,953.28 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 64,580$32,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,452.85 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Under | 49c | 40,117$19,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,857.46 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 50c | 29,960$14,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,980.09 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…4535backed Over | 50c | 27,456$13,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,727.93 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Over | 51c | 20,126$10,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,861.65 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 51c | 12,813$6,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,575.77 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 49c | 12,471$6,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,363.51 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Over | 49c | 10,140$4,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,171.2 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 48c | 9,756$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,056.46 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 8,205$4,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,184.73 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Over | 49c | 5,067$2,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,584.17 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Over | 50c | 4,873$2,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,436.64 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 50c | 4,850$2,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,425 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 50c | 4,850$2,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,424.99 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b22…ddcabacked Under | 50c | 3,881$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940.43 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 49c | 3,676$1,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.76 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Under | 50c | 2,534$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 49c | 2,469$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.22 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Under | 40c | 2,392$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.9 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Over | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 51c | 1,872$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.92 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 1,600$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 58c | 1,432$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.82 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Under | 50c | 1,201$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.43 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 1,180$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.85 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 51c | 1,092$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.04 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…3ff3backed Under | 51c | 1,061$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.31 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…699bbacked Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 50c | 970$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 3c | 865.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 208 | 37.5%78 W · 130 L | +38.2wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 52c | 832.35$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.66 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefdf…677bbacked Over | 51c | 761.25$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.01 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 50c | 654.85$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.42 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Under | 50c | 582$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 49c | 560.41$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.6 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 500.01$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.85 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Under | 51c | 494.82$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.36 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 51c | 485.3$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.8 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 50c | 485$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.5 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over | 52c | 399.98$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.99 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6abc…bd1bbacked Under | 51c | 381.76$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.1 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 48c | 373.22$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.98 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Under | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.36 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 50c | 364.45$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.05 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…0270backed Under | 57c | 341.82$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.84 | 277 | 45.8%127 W · 150 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fb…9df5backed Over | 48c | 303.81$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.98 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over | 48c | 302.75$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.43 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 16c | 299.36$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.22 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Over | 50c | 294.68$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.34 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 67c | 294.06$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.04 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 17c | 280.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 50c | 271.6$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.8 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 49c | 250$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.68 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over | 70c | 247.71$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.84 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Under | 54c | 241.44$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.4 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Over | 50c | 222$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Under | 51c | 209.35$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.77 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…f519backed Over | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 53c | 188.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under | 49c | 186.73$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf137…9341backed Over | 48c | 183.68$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.51 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d5…7ca1backed Over | 70c | 179.46$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.51 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584c…d09ebacked Under | 55c | 176.22$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.31 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Over | 54c | 175.03$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.51 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 47c | 153.57$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.63 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 15c | 145.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…ed6bbacked Over | 50c | 143.68$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.65 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over | 51c | 139.67$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.86 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d43…86e7backed Over | 49c | 137.83$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.29 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 51c | 133.22$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.28 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Under | 9c | 131.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 107 | 18.7%20 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 45c | 128.77$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.83 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Over | 50c | 123.19$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Over | 56c | 119.7$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.33 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 20c | 117.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Over | 51c | 114.19$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.95 | 332 | 51.2%170 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Under | 25c | 113.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a22…be4bbacked Over | 64c | 111.55$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 44c | 108.78$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 50c | 107.61$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.54 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 15c | 104.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ca…a1b4backed Under | 52c | 97.12$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…0074backed Under | 51c | 97.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Over | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f1…3fd9backed Over | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Over | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Over | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 385 | 45.7%176 W · 209 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Under | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 185 | 52.4%97 W · 88 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c84…cb27backed Under | 50c | 93.18$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef85…43e6backed Over | 49c | 88.97$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.37 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…b3d2backed Over | 50c | 83.61$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.81 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 50c | 80.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.45 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…9805backed Over | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf89…8ac3backed Over | 74c | 74.5$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
- Ajay Mitchell: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Lakers vs. ThunderThunder won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 229.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 230.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 231.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5Over won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 16.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 32.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.