NBA · resolved market

Spread: Thunder (-8.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3843aeab773c2399be86ce3bae4550bd1fcf04645af10306c7ee8959e135ea6c

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Thunderof Thunder, Lakers
Resolved: Apr 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,156,426
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,375,701

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,156,426 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 343 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc807…c12bbacked Thunder	53c	307,796$162,719 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145,077.09	205	45.9%94 W · 111 L	-12.8wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2643…39aebacked Thunder	54c	221,707$119,722 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101,985.31	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-2.2wins	-0.10per pick	57cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lakers	46c	140,446$64,605 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64,605.21	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Thunder	50c	105,122$52,662 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52,460.58	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Lakers	50c	97,157$48,497 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48,497.5	365	49.6%181 W · 184 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Lakers	47c	95,201$44,932 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44,932.08	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d82…3847backed Lakers	47c	82,963$38,993 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38,992.79	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Lakers	46c	62,000$28,760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,759.98	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Thunder	53c	38,308$20,130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,178.04	172	51.7%89 W · 83 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Lakers	46c	34,516$15,801 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,801.08	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d3d…3165backed Lakers	47c	26,250$12,338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,337.5	31	29%9 W · 22 L	-6.7wins	-0.22per pick	51cpaid	-45.6%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x6e70…f06fbacked Lakers	47c	25,653$12,137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,136.99	67	46.3%31 W · 36 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Lakers	48c	19,936$9,569 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,569.09	126	39.7%50 W · 76 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2734…6d9ebacked Thunder	53c	17,602$9,329 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,273.14	61	44.3%27 W · 34 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Lakers	47c	15,102$7,098 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,097.97	114	43.9%50 W · 64 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Lakers	47c	10,383$4,890 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,890.07	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Lakers	47c	10,049$4,723 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,723.2	163	46.6%76 W · 87 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Lakers	49c	9,892$4,847 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,847	48	45.8%22 W · 26 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Lakers	47c	8,130$3,821 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,821.29	149	46.3%69 W · 80 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Lakers	47c	8,120$3,817 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,816.69	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Thunder	53c	7,249$3,842 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,407.11	1,141	48%548 W · 593 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Thunder	52c	6,075$3,188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,886.68	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Lakers	46c	5,900$2,714 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,714	149	40.9%61 W · 88 L	-11.6wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Thunder	52c	5,342$2,778 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,563.97	1,759	61.7%1,085 W · 674 L	+127.5wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7401…31a1backed Lakers	47c	5,242$2,464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,463.72	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Lakers	47c	5,000$2,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,349.95	127	45.7%58 W · 69 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Lakers	47c	4,938$2,321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,320.78	824	42.2%348 W · 476 L	-3.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed Lakers	47c	4,120$1,936 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,936.4	86	47.7%41 W · 45 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers	47c	4,039$1,892 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,891.8	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Lakers	50c	3,888$1,940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,939.87	208	43.8%91 W · 117 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Lakers	46c	3,500$1,610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,609.99	304	46.7%142 W · 162 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Thunder	53c	3,400$1,802 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,598	646	51.7%334 W · 312 L	-14.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Thunder	52c	3,263$1,694 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,569.37	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec7…db02backed Lakers	48c	3,142$1,505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,504.63	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-2.4wins	-0.14per pick	49cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7067…e41ebacked Lakers	47c	3,090$1,452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,452.3	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Lakers	47c	3,018$1,418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,418.4	316	43.4%137 W · 179 L	-18.0wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x033d…fd1ebacked Thunder	52c	3,007$1,564 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,443.35	102	52%53 W · 49 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x031a…50b7backed Thunder	78c	2,685$2,090 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$594.53	93	57%53 W · 40 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Lakers	47c	2,628$1,235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,235.02	702	46.4%326 W · 376 L	-20.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers	47c	2,551$1,209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,209.25	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Thunder	53c	2,500$1,325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,175	568	43.8%249 W · 319 L	-25.1wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Thunder	54c	2,466$1,325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,140.57	172	47.7%82 W · 90 L	-6.1wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Thunder	55c	2,263$1,252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,010.34	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Thunder	52c	2,243$1,167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,076.87	229	48.5%111 W · 118 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0715…c2d3backed Thunder	53c	2,130$1,129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000.99	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.47per pick	53cpaid	+88.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed Thunder	52c	2,000$1,030 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$970	528	44.7%236 W · 292 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Lakers	50c	1,940$970 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$970	649	44.7%290 W · 359 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Thunder	53c	1,937$1,022 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$915.34	579	50.1%290 W · 289 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Lakers	47c	1,916$901 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900.52	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Lakers	46c	1,891$870 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$869.86	241	51%123 W · 118 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65ea…476cbacked Thunder	53c	1,834$972 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$861.78	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.22per pick	58cpaid	+38.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Lakers	47c	1,827$868 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$867.78	197	45.2%89 W · 108 L	-7.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Lakers	48c	1,724$819 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$819.28	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Lakers	52c	1,554$808 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$808.04	736	49.9%367 W · 369 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Lakers	47c	1,545$726 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$725.98	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Lakers	47c	1,493$704 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$703.62	447	40.7%182 W · 265 L	-27.5wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Lakers	47c	1,473$695 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$694.64	394	48.7%192 W · 202 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Thunder	53c	1,467$777 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$689.43	135	34.1%46 W · 89 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Lakers	46c	1,374$632 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$632.04	200	51.5%103 W · 97 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3901…d0e2backed Thunder	50c	1,365$682 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$682.4	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-2.3wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Thunder	48c	1,345$645 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$699.14	310	46.8%145 W · 165 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3673…2d13backed Lakers	47c	1,280$602 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$601.58	71	43.7%31 W · 40 L	-4.0wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x98da…a9ebbacked Lakers	48c	1,211$581 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$581.28	70	41.4%29 W · 41 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Lakers	47c	1,167$548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$548.34	169	46.7%79 W · 90 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f24…9141backed Lakers	42c	1,094$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$455.81	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-19%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Thunder	74c	1,079$798 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280.85	716	54.1%387 W · 329 L	+21.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Thunder	55c	1,031$571 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$460.41	195	50.8%99 W · 96 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Lakers	49c	1,004$489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$489.29	417	42%175 W · 242 L	-16.5wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70ae…e370backed Lakers	49c	999.97$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$489.99	74	45.9%34 W · 40 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Lakers	26c	981.34$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.27	1,090	35.8%390 W · 700 L	+40.1wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Lakers	47c	978.68$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$459.98	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x63a7…3bb2backed Thunder	53c	916.79$486 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$430.89	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe569…710abacked Lakers	4c	905.12$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.17	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+2.7wins	+0.25per pick	39cpaid	+70.9%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Thunder	51c	879.41$449 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$430.91	184	48.9%90 W · 94 L	-13.3wins	-0.07per pick	56cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Lakers	48c	817.43$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392.36	238	50%119 W · 119 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Thunder	51c	789.99$403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$387.1	208	46.6%97 W · 111 L	-9.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Thunder	51c	772.16$394 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$378.36	813	49.4%402 W · 411 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa083…19c9backed Thunder	54c	748.84$404 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$344.47	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+1.6wins	+0.14per pick	58cpaid	+25.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Thunder	52c	661.46$344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$317.5	216	53.7%116 W · 100 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Thunder	54c	642.1$347 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295.14	592	50.2%297 W · 295 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e2…42d9backed Thunder	53c	641.75$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$301.62	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.16per pick	59cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Lakers	47c	618$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.46	219	50.2%110 W · 109 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b3…6b95backed Lakers	47c	615.94$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.49	21	66.7%14 W · 7 L	+3.5wins	+0.16per pick	50cpaid	+29.4%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1fca…9d33backed Lakers	48c	605.5$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.64	65	41.5%27 W · 38 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Thunder	51c	600$306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294	493	45.2%223 W · 270 L	-14.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Thunder	51c	600$306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294	625	39.4%246 W · 379 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Thunder	52c	600$312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288	228	46.1%105 W · 123 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Lakers	49c	593.51$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.82	160	50%80 W · 80 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfc7…7f02backed Thunder	52c	582.72$303 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$279.71	75	57.3%43 W · 32 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Thunder	70c	568.25$396 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.28	950	49.4%469 W · 481 L	+10.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Lakers	41c	550.98$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.87	205	37.1%76 W · 129 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6d7…6424backed Lakers	49c	527.43$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.44	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Thunder	52c	524.08$273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$251.56	920	58%534 W · 386 L	+10.4wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd84b…0df3backed Lakers	49c	517.87$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.52	146	47.9%70 W · 76 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Lakers	47c	515$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.05	251	50.6%127 W · 124 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Thunder	52c	508.75$263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245.64	686	45.5%312 W · 374 L	-22.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c2e…f1c7backed Lakers	48c	500.55$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.26	83	54.2%45 W · 38 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x87f0…361dbacked Thunder	52c	485.6$253 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$233.09	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Lakers	27c	470.4$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.12	443	45.1%200 W · 243 L	+2.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Thunder	65c	453.59$296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.06	349	53%185 W · 164 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Thunder (-8.5)this page
1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
1H Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
Ajay Mitchell: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5No won
Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
Jalen Williams: Points O/U 16.5No won
Lakers vs. ThunderThunder won
Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5Over won
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5Over won
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5Over won
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 229.5Over won
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 230.5Over won
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 231.5Over won
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5Over won
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5Over won
LeBron James: Points O/U 16.5No won
LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Luka Dončić: Points O/U 32.5No won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5No won
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Thunder (-8.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event