TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Cricket · resolved market

T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs South Africa (Game 1)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
South Africaof Afghanistan, South Africa
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,384,574
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,516,300

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,384,574 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 602 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Cricket
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4a3d…4841backed South Africa71c73,045$52,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,884.9415335.3%54 W · 99 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked Afghanistan36c56,138$19,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,974.022045%9 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Afghanistan22c37,012$8,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,048.864022.5%9 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e02…d70abacked Afghanistan52c34,017$17,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,806.6236445.6%166 W · 198 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Afghanistan31c32,659$10,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,140.8633042.4%140 W · 190 L+0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef51…c0d3backed South Africa61c32,444$19,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,691.8216349.7%81 W · 82 L+10.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x490e…73adbacked Afghanistan30c28,587$8,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,605.5126130.7%80 W · 181 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb3…d38ebacked Afghanistan34c28,004$9,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,433.1113151.9%68 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Afghanistan29c25,096$7,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,377.4129631.1%92 W · 204 L-16.9wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-43.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Afghanistan25c23,029$5,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,804.861942.1%8 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick25cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed Afghanistan25c19,208$4,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,896.411020%2 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Afghanistan32c17,229$5,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,466.6515429.9%46 W · 108 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1599…a8b6backed Afghanistan37c15,062$5,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,534.5332337.2%120 W · 203 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Afghanistan25c14,500$3,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,639.3228749.5%142 W · 145 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Afghanistan33c13,947$4,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,557.431533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa69b…7b0cbacked South Africa63c13,396$8,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,985.9322552.4%118 W · 107 L+20.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+13.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Afghanistan47c12,240$5,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,746.2450547.5%240 W · 265 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked South Africa67c12,133$8,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,053.368949.4%44 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5115…b61dbacked South Africa58c10,122$5,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,202.95540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-34.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked South Africa75c10,018$7,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,523.6811143.2%48 W · 63 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ac7…689dbacked Afghanistan23c9,798$2,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,222.481118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-57.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Afghanistan46c9,733$4,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,463.495933.9%20 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b0d…90c0backed South Africa74c8,510$6,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,212.61758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed South Africa71c8,247$5,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,353.749241.3%38 W · 54 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed South Africa74c8,233$6,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,127.564637%17 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-37.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6138…97a0backed South Africa45c7,325$3,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,001.72524%6 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1939…b86bbacked South Africa76c6,964$5,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,700.292352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Afghanistan1c6,868$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.23698.7%32 W · 337 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-45.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34ed…cfe3backed Afghanistan54c6,638$3,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,584.794168.3%28 W · 13 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb42…0b87backed South Africa64c6,451$4,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,310.379146.2%42 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7f2…7027backed South Africa72c6,243$4,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,731.451942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd237…dc82backed South Africa66c6,116$4,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,087.942321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-40.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Afghanistan48c5,944$2,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,870.615637.5%21 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b27…227ebacked Afghanistan31c5,302$1,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,637.414540%18 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c68…c9b3backed South Africa17c5,145$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,271.4522241.9%93 W · 129 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1f50…b9c8backed South Africa75c5,000$3,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2502437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Afghanistan33c4,979$1,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,663.8676351.6%394 W · 369 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed South Africa73c4,814$3,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,286.749851%50 W · 48 L-9.1wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-19.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd50c…76c3backed Afghanistan44c4,765$2,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,118.5814852%77 W · 71 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c68…072dbacked South Africa73c4,625$3,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,234.246237.1%23 W · 39 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe929…299fbacked Afghanistan28c4,578$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,288.372343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…dd30backed Afghanistan26c4,554$1,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,187.696344.4%28 W · 35 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde67…bab9backed South Africa73c4,453$3,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,188.751060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0ee…1686backed Afghanistan46c4,253$1,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,940.7918923.8%45 W · 144 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8666…7e33backed Afghanistan21c4,104$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.7120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ee1…9801backed Afghanistan26c4,015$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.9213227.3%36 W · 96 L-0.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5197…610fbacked South Africa40c3,931$1,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,358.552536%9 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd367…0957backed Afghanistan33c3,860$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.44431.8%14 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Afghanistan30c3,758$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.624639.1%18 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Afghanistan17c3,628$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.994327.9%12 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Afghanistan33c3,621$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,190.4763646.4%295 W · 341 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…f1ccbacked Afghanistan39c3,523$1,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,362.13154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Afghanistan27c3,492$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.563941%16 W · 23 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cf4…5daabacked Afghanistan36c3,249$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.294047.5%19 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x321c…4ad6backed Afghanistan31c3,231$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.163633.3%12 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Afghanistan41c3,090$1,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,262.4611445.6%52 W · 62 L-7.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed South Africa72c3,000$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.994671.7%33 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2f0…3206backed Afghanistan4c2,957$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.527436.5%27 W · 47 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x583f…2dabbacked Afghanistan60c2,888$1,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,734.452454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Afghanistan26c2,874$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7352035%7 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-39.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f7e…4c42backed Afghanistan24c2,865$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.46425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid+9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b88…b89abacked Afghanistan43c2,855$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,221.63262.5%20 W · 12 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+23%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Afghanistan28c2,665$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.1100%0 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fde…095bbacked South Africa70c2,639$1,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.922842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9b7…7984backed Afghanistan26c2,579$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.328946.1%41 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a65…8d8fbacked South Africa70c2,500$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7502114.3%3 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-69.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x27f1…9793backed Afghanistan15c2,431$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.871838.9%7 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick27cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee6e…8dacbacked South Africa74c2,429$1,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.561323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-65.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Afghanistan43c2,263$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.355655.4%31 W · 25 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+19%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Afghanistan11c2,137$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.076521.5%14 W · 51 L-5.6wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-40.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3568…c765backed Afghanistan31c2,085$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.081827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed Afghanistan24c2,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48e…1dfcbacked South Africa75c1,999$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.393100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed South Africa65c1,978$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.419252.2%48 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5271…0f95backed South Africa69c1,878$1,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.54143.9%18 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7aeb…966abacked Afghanistan77c1,871$1,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,437.4850%0 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa47f…dfb1backed South Africa28c1,847$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,336.672416.7%4 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick12cpaid-19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53ef…eeaabacked South Africa67c1,838$1,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6006958%40 W · 29 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a8a…481fbacked South Africa75c1,828$1,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.77825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-65.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Afghanistan27c1,821$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.55633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked South Africa63c1,714$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.881735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-39.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1edd…be0fbacked Afghanistan27c1,578$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.2611424.6%28 W · 86 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2294…4cd3backed Afghanistan26c1,546$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.3567931.4%213 W · 466 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1afc…7545backed South Africa72c1,491$1,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.243040%12 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfea9…4453backed South Africa74c1,460$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.63548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x675f…778abacked Afghanistan10c1,448$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Afghanistan28c1,436$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.5610149.5%50 W · 51 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x87f0…361dbacked South Africa59c1,395$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.751233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa56b…d536backed South Africa79c1,358$1,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.94825%2 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.39per pick64cpaid-34.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed South Africa73c1,340$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.751250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7ad…993dbacked Afghanistan56c1,335$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.6111058.2%64 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc947…1977backed South Africa68c1,314$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.555836.2%21 W · 37 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2a…3daebacked South Africa75c1,273$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.269320.4%19 W · 74 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa540…0b43backed Afghanistan22c1,226$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.23669.1%6 W · 60 L-10.5wins-0.16per pick25cpaid-71.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xbb42…76a5backed South Africa70c1,190$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35712357.7%71 W · 52 L+11.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x69a6…4b30backed Afghanistan28c1,172$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.5415742.7%67 W · 90 L+11.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5aa2…4320backed Afghanistan31c1,170$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Afghanistan26c1,160$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.61020%2 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-55.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x525c…1f01backed South Africa75c1,156$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Afghanistan26c1,120$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.4714129.1%41 W · 100 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.