Champions League · resolved market
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa254271164b73ec8e83b5387146d74b2cff2b7fa33ea90d842ce1a0d126d8af1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $483,627
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $536,542
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $483,627 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 471 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked Over | 44c | 122,037$53,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,592.52 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 48cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Over | 44c | 50,551$22,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,455.88 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d30…a42dbacked Over | 40c | 45,464$18,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,307.09 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 57c | 35,000$19,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,949.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 56c | 30,000$16,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,800 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 28,612$15,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,758.56 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 59c | 20,256$11,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,858.13 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Under | 57c | 15,382$8,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,767.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 67c | 13,946$9,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,663.77 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Over | 43c | 11,999$5,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,874.44 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked Over | 41c | 11,972$4,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,063.74 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb66a…800ebacked Under | 60c | 11,866$7,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,116.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 39c | 7,579$2,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,957.47 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Under | 58c | 7,516$4,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,350.76 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…a795backed Under | 60c | 6,899$4,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,139.25 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 56c | 6,807$3,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,812.15 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Under | 58c | 5,974$3,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,445.21 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 43c | 5,840$2,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,328.64 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8f…e5f5backed Under | 33c | 5,835$1,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920.78 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Under | 57c | 5,639$3,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,214.23 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 56c | 5,012$2,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,806.89 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…73e3backed Under | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Over | 37c | 4,963$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,126.69 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 57c | 4,903$2,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,779.07 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 60c | 4,812$2,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,887.54 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 56c | 4,777$2,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,675.06 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 56c | 4,777$2,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,675.06 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 42c | 3,861$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,239.26 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Under | 56c | 3,321$1,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,863.64 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 30c | 3,193$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…90e6backed Under | 27c | 3,157$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.72 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Under | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a23…0f72backed Under | 26c | 2,869$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.86 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d8…6052backed Under | 57c | 2,571$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Under | 57c | 2,564$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.3 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Under | 57c | 2,421$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.9 | 182 | 50.5%92 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 43c | 2,247$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.01 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 62c | 2,174$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.78 | 450 | 42%189 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 56c | 2,163$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.47 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed Under | 56c | 2,114$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.84 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Under | 46c | 2,044$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.53 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Under | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b71…9fcdbacked Under | 61c | 1,952$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.56 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 56c | 1,912$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.54 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Under | 1c | 1,881$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 36c | 1,816$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.8 | 591 | 36.5%216 W · 375 L | -30.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Under | 59c | 1,805$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.67 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ab…6321backed Under | 19c | 1,620$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.81 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 56c | 1,611$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.31 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 56c | 1,611$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.31 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 42c | 1,609$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.21 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 43c | 1,543$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.32 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Under | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 54c | 1,492$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.7 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +7.5wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +58%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 24c | 1,435$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.79 | 236 | 37.3%88 W · 148 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b70…6ccebacked Under | 69c | 1,423$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…8b57backed Over | 43c | 1,416$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +129.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…3ebfbacked Under | 50c | 1,345$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Under | 36c | 1,335$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.56 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 60c | 1,309$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.29 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 43c | 1,298$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.7 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 42c | 1,294$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.66 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Under | 56c | 1,271$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.35 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 68c | 1,230$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.33 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 42c | 1,205$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.08 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a8…2dedbacked Under | 29c | 1,167$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.51 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 48cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…4a6fbacked Under | 34c | 1,099$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 42c | 1,086$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.5 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 59c | 1,028$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.7 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Over | 42c | 999.98$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…7e5ebacked Under | 59c | 993.78$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.2 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x897c…cb6cbacked Under | 63c | 993.32$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.79 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…af3abacked Under | 53c | 984.86$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.75 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…9cfbbacked Under | 58c | 980.88$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.91 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 42c | 980.43$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.6 | 415 | 53%220 W · 195 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Under | 60c | 976$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 52c | 974.2$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.74 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef7…1e3dbacked Under | 58c | 867.24$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 56c | 841.19$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Under | 58c | 840.34$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.4 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Over | 43c | 831.6$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.01 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over | 42c | 831.4$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.21 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…0f5bbacked Under | 30c | 827.11$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 44c | 806.53$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.88 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad77…3d8ebacked Under | 59c | 803.47$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 31c | 803.3$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.28 | 402 | 50.7%204 W · 198 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 43c | 781.45$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.44 | 614 | 47.2%290 W · 324 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…22d9backed Under | 59c | 780.32$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.39 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +33%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 35c | 753.76$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.83 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92cc…779dbacked Under | 58c | 751.08$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa5…f7ffbacked Under | 32c | 749.38$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 34c | 743.4$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.71 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 60c | 742.44$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.46 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 59c | 729.6$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.46 | 426 | 47.9%204 W · 222 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Under | 58c | 698.19$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.95 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 31c | 669.74$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.12 | 606 | 48.3%293 W · 313 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…246abacked Under | 57c | 666$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8544…3d33backed Under | 60c | 662.66$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.59 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0276…8454backed Under | 37c | 647.85$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.33 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf91c…baa7backed Under | 21c | 645.86$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5this page
- FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.