TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$119,727
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$136,032

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,727 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 271 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xacb2…b989backed No26c9,995$2,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,598.672334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Yes73c7,656$5,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,038.768243.9%36 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0977…c370backed No29c6,840$1,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,983.73250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x073a…91e7backed No28c5,993$1,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,677.95728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No29c5,884$1,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,734.8891537.6%344 W · 571 L+30.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed No25c5,242$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310.542955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked No26c3,846$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.978146.9%38 W · 43 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd51e…530bbacked Yes72c3,660$2,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.712100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8bb…e40fbacked No30c3,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.991838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No28c2,697$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.891,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e85…9b0bbacked Yes73c2,693$1,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.01966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+77.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b4d…8ab0backed Yes72c2,649$1,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.77425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-65.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No27c2,458$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.0543252.3%226 W · 206 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed No27c2,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5403141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No27c1,999$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.36553.8%35 W · 30 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb74…997cbacked No29c1,915$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.541741.2%7 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed Yes73c1,742$1,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.722268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+28.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No28c1,641$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.2259741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed No26c1,600$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes74c1,463$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.464727.7%13 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa124…ff5dbacked Yes71c1,407$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.31988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick62cpaid+44.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Yes70c1,403$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.86683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fe2…9645backed Yes72c1,366$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.361369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick73cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes72c1,366$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.3628639.9%114 W · 172 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x078d…2916backed Yes72c1,366$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes71c1,326$942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.5940350.9%205 W · 198 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes71c1,119$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.4250247.2%237 W · 265 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f38…39f2backed Yes74c1,064$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.72441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes71c1,058$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.8560748.4%294 W · 313 L-1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa99b…1211backed No27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-45.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x44aa…d1d5backed No29c999.97$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.991250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No28c892.86$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2508647.7%41 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No28c822.97$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.9715847.5%75 W · 83 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Yes70c701.43$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.435352.8%28 W · 25 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+6.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ae4…04a7backed Yes71c691.97$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.672441.7%10 W · 14 L-4.8wins-0.20per pick62cpaid-38.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa371…60c5backed Yes71c691.97$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.673863.2%24 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd8c…f75abacked Yes74c665.14$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.942360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ef7…1e3dbacked Yes74c665.14$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.943748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x332a…33babacked Yes74c665.14$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.942356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x458c…ee3ebacked Yes75c656.67$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.171163.6%7 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick74cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0d7…0df5backed No27c635.7$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.641618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-54.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No22c630.21$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.371,02135.3%360 W · 661 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No28c599.96$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.9911443.9%50 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc84e…523bbacked Yes67c539.11$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.91366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49d…516dbacked Yes73c539.07$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.552638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed No33c512.71$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.193056.7%17 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+31.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e3e…abeabacked No28c492.18$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.81633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-39.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes73c489.06$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.053452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed No26c488.83$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.091855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x088a…9ee7backed No27c487.56$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.64757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a80…49bfbacked Yes74c463.13$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.412755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9794…6831backed Yes71c461.8$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.911266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked No28c459$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.523548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96a0…79ddbacked Yes74c446.65$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.13757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes75c442.7$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.6523637.3%88 W · 148 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Yes74c397.51$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.352875%21 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+28.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked Yes72c396.61$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.055950.8%30 W · 29 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba23…0b69backed Yes75c395.38$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.931656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No28c361.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7265050.2%326 W · 324 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc18f…d860backed Yes72c341.39$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.591866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+27.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No26c333$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.5818950.3%95 W · 94 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7988…a57ebacked No27c318.46$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.981010%1 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick34cpaid-79.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked No6c300$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189262%57 W · 35 L+9.7wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+24.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed No26c295.61$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.823231.3%10 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde2a…669ebacked No27c290$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.31127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-40.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2611…2d6ebacked Yes70c286.8$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.04666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19a1…6aefbacked No27c283.32$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.51250%6 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No26c281.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7234449.7%171 W · 173 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x20cb…d211backed Yes74c275.63$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.66666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x147d…7c03backed Yes74c266.05$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.17933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-53.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2d8…dd09backed Yes74c266.05$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.171060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed No28c254.85$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.612240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc743…c356backed Yes74c250.29$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.08540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8aea…189abacked Yes71c234.45$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb94…7bc0backed No29c233.6$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.812552%13 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No27c232.83$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7233844.7%151 W · 187 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8361…c9c9backed Yes70c230.07$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.021060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3453…7ae4backed Yes74c228.78$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.48450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde65…b502backed No31c216.46$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.12240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x44ab…e7b6backed Yes72c214.11$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.951258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0aba…1910backed Yes70c210.43$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.131668.8%11 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick74cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39d…a5e9backed Yes72c204.83$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.352147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-27.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b11…6f75backed Yes72c204.83$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.357100%7 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb63d…756ebacked Yes72c204.83$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.352100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No26c202$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.527625%19 W · 57 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4c6…502cbacked Yes74c200.64$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.17757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57c8…3d9bbacked No19c199.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.332227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-36.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x63e7…3d5cbacked Yes74c199.71$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.93520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-73%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ff…35ccbacked Yes74c198.54$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.623420.6%7 W · 27 L-5.5wins-0.16per pick37cpaid-53.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x81ae…4440backed Yes72c195.27$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.68977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+23.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ef4…763dbacked Yes74c186.24$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.42250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c84…dc58backed Yes72c176.46$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.61771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa89b…87a6backed No29c165.07$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.87966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes76c164.55$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1721460.7%130 W · 84 L+21.0wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4aee…eaa2backed Yes73c155.83$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.692100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+93.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes67c149.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2417560%105 W · 70 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b68…0060backed Yes74c147.66$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.395446.3%25 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc080…f9a0backed Yes71c140.59$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd2f…9b2ebacked Yes70c140.29$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.09728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-54.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8915…1b98backed Yes70c140.29$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.09875%6 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.