Champions League · resolved market
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef8aaa5a20e5409d587686df36f37ee6dcd8a5a49ae7c61d747d6f8422740a30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Real Madrid CFof FC Bayern München, Real Madrid CF
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $201,710
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $236,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,710 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee67…ef38backed FC Bayern München | 25c | 37,707$9,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,489.3 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +10.6wins | +0.18per pick | 31cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Real Madrid CF | 74c | 20,800$15,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,408.6 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Real Madrid CF | 74c | 10,803$8,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,787.1 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e91…047fbacked Real Madrid CF | 72c | 10,163$7,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,845.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…0c4cbacked Real Madrid CF | 73c | 10,119$7,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,732.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea88…3818backed Real Madrid CF | 73c | 10,000$7,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed FC Bayern München | 26c | 7,445$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,936 | 881 | 37.7%332 W · 549 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fea1backed Real Madrid CF | 72c | 7,405$5,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,073.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FC Bayern München | 14c | 6,335$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.48 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Real Madrid CF | 76c | 6,225$4,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.96 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Real Madrid CF | 77c | 5,997$4,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.95 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa95…6ac7backed Real Madrid CF | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed FC Bayern München | 26c | 4,201$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.57 | 294 | 45.9%135 W · 159 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0486…fbe5backed FC Bayern München | 25c | 3,963$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed FC Bayern München | 26c | 2,885$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked FC Bayern München | 24c | 2,596$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.18 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed FC Bayern München | 27c | 2,546$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.51 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed Real Madrid CF | 73c | 2,387$1,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.46 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Real Madrid CF | 73c | 2,375$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.79 | 415 | 53%220 W · 195 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Real Madrid CF | 73c | 2,341$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.64 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Real Madrid CF | 73c | 2,341$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.64 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Real Madrid CF | 73c | 2,234$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.64 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…9d0bbacked Real Madrid CF | 75c | 2,094$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.82 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Real Madrid CF | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed FC Bayern München | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc68a…07f0backed Real Madrid CF | 76c | 1,975$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FC Bayern München | 7c | 1,855$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.43 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +20.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed FC Bayern München | 26c | 1,826$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.85 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Real Madrid CF | 74c | 1,328$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.31 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed FC Bayern München | 27c | 1,284$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.73 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82c1…c2c6backed Real Madrid CF | 73c | 1,096$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.88 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed FC Bayern München | 27c | 1,039$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.66 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed FC Bayern München | 26c | 1,000$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.58 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Real Madrid CF | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…220ebacked Real Madrid CF | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…42fbbacked FC Bayern München | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked FC Bayern München | 26c | 957.71$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.2 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7988…a57ebacked FC Bayern München | 28c | 956.8$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.9 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 34cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…1a45backed Real Madrid CF | 76c | 852.81$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1034…ae8ebacked Real Madrid CF | 74c | 787.52$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.76 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked FC Bayern München | 24c | 770.88$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.27 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Real Madrid CF | 73c | 761.12$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.5 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf277…9a5fbacked FC Bayern München | 26c | 735.08$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.12 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed FC Bayern München | 27c | 722.71$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.64 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed FC Bayern München | 27c | 708.3$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…780dbacked Real Madrid CF | 76c | 688.57$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.26 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaf…09afbacked Real Madrid CF | 76c | 680.25$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed FC Bayern München | 26c | 668.98$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.91 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed FC Bayern München | 27c | 619.27$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.2 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…596dbacked FC Bayern München | 24c | 614.72$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.07 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked FC Bayern München | 27c | 603.71$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed FC Bayern München | 7c | 539.54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0817backed FC Bayern München | 27c | 531.22$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.43 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Real Madrid CF | 73c | 499.97$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.99 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…af49backed Real Madrid CF | 74c | 492.2$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.97 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a8…f341backed Real Madrid CF | 74c | 491.44$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Real Madrid CF | 73c | 461.76$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.45 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb74…997cbacked FC Bayern München | 27c | 440.81$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.02 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ac6abacked Real Madrid CF | 74c | 429.81$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.75 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked FC Bayern München | 27c | 406.77$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.83 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16e3…22d5backed Real Madrid CF | 75c | 399.28$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +152.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab0e…4393backed Real Madrid CF | 74c | 399.08$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed FC Bayern München | 25c | 370.24$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.56 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed FC Bayern München | 27c | 335.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.72 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked FC Bayern München | 27c | 335.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.72 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x571e…67b2backed Real Madrid CF | 72c | 333.86$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.48 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed FC Bayern München | 27c | 330.28$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.17 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed FC Bayern München | 27c | 330.28$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.17 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed FC Bayern München | 19c | 329.48$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 994 | 35%348 W · 646 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Real Madrid CF | 77c | 328.32$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.72 | 591 | 36.5%216 W · 375 L | -30.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44f4…1885backed FC Bayern München | 27c | 326.84$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…af3abacked Real Madrid CF | 74c | 303.3$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.86 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1b…6cc0backed Real Madrid CF | 73c | 302.46$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.66 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a0…3762backed Real Madrid CF | 76c | 300$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed FC Bayern München | 25c | 299.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…6f4dbacked FC Bayern München | 27c | 272.52$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.58 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -53%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7a…c68dbacked Real Madrid CF | 74c | 266.05$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb756…5846backed Real Madrid CF | 74c | 260.4$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.7 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed FC Bayern München | 28c | 239.2$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.98 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1691…f891backed Real Madrid CF | 74c | 230.43$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.91 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8004…35e6backed Real Madrid CF | 73c | 220.68$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…51dabacked FC Bayern München | 18c | 204.7$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…c0f0backed Real Madrid CF | 75c | 203.57$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ea…9d52backed Real Madrid CF | 73c | 202.15$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…d43fbacked FC Bayern München | 11c | 189.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ff…35ccbacked FC Bayern München | 25c | 189.26$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC Bayern München | 17c | 188.95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4c…1940backed Real Madrid CF | 75c | 186.95$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.74 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…e08bbacked Real Madrid CF | 74c | 184.88$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb94…7bc0backed FC Bayern München | 27c | 177.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked FC Bayern München | 27c | 177.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +115.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked FC Bayern München | 11c | 171.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 206 | 39.3%81 W · 125 L | +25.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Real Madrid CF | 74c | 169.45$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.06 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed FC Bayern München | 17c | 164.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Real Madrid CF | 75c | 151.69$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b3…626abacked FC Bayern München | 27c | 142.55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed FC Bayern München | 27c | 141.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Real Madrid CF | 74c | 134.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.06 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…612fbacked Real Madrid CF | 73c | 134.77$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Real Madrid CF | 75c | 131.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 74cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)this page
- FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.