TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,709
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$107,605

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,709 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over80c20,853$16,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,245.3559741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee67…ef38backed Under20c12,250$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4506048.3%29 W · 31 L+10.6wins+0.18per pick31cpaid+68.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Under21c10,540$2,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,260.478223.2%19 W · 63 L-9.7wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-46.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under7c6,333$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.4621938.4%84 W · 135 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Under20c4,639$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.82615.4%4 W · 22 L-5.2wins-0.20per pick35cpaid-31.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Under24c4,119$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.546952.2%36 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over79c2,460$1,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.66553.8%35 W · 30 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x685e…6f30backed Over80c2,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Under22c1,822$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.028243.9%36 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Under14c1,761$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.77639.5%30 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under8c1,659$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.458248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe4d0…8814backed Over78c1,277$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.01450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9762…73fbbacked Over79c1,244$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.87666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over79c1,100$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23443252.3%226 W · 206 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20029138.1%111 W · 180 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under20c969.54$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.678647.7%41 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Under21c749.99$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.56443.8%28 W · 36 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over77c664.21$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.310648.1%51 W · 55 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Over78c660.29$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.232941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over78c659.96$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.898259.8%49 W · 33 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under19c635.58$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.8239743.3%172 W · 225 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0391…ef9bbacked Under21c635.07$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.364812.5%6 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf13d…6b6ebacked Under20c608$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.282564%16 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Over79c602.37$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.472240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under21c579.99$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.815847.5%75 W · 83 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8654…6bfebacked Over79c572.54$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.233100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+64.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6cf…0425backed Under5c567.13$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.29714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-61.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd000…a8b6backed Under21c544.86$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over80c539.45$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.895658.9%33 W · 23 L+5.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Under20c499.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.965928.8%17 W · 42 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ae4…04a7backed Over78c494.73$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.842441.7%10 W · 14 L-4.8wins-0.20per pick62cpaid-38.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Under5c406.75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.864228.6%12 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Under5c393.9$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.968440.5%34 W · 50 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over77c382.49$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.3210852.8%57 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under4c341.23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.959246.7%43 W · 49 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a68…22dfbacked Under6c294.39$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.951323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec0…aeb9backed Under21c294.35$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.812433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over77c256.59$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.365042%21 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7abf…8dd3backed Over79c249.97$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.49955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0295…ed9dbacked Under20c238$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-53.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb94…7bc0backed Over77c205.92$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.422552%13 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b73…174ebacked Under21c203.18$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.671233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-38.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57c8…3d9bbacked Under9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-36.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Over80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401540%6 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over80c197.6$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.524766%31 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Under20c192.4$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.482650%13 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9691…c6e7backed Under22c190.64$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.941323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9759…cb52backed Under20c190.4$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.085328.3%15 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick21cpaid+41.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under10c184.9$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1523637.3%88 W · 148 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb87…a786backed Over79c182.89$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.41560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3e…abeabacked Under21c163$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.23633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-39.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0045…9007backed Under7c161.86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.342222.7%5 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-60.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x12f0…6a90backed Under20c161.84$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.371741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x597d…b97dbacked Under21c136.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.58911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick25cpaid-79%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over77c128.51$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.98644.2%38 W · 48 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Over78c127.3$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.013268.8%22 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2600…f0dcbacked Over78c126.26$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.785100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over76c104.23$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.018853.4%47 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215554.5%30 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4626…d40bbacked Over77c98.62$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.681464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Under25c95.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.885752.6%30 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Under25c95.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.881353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0275…596dbacked Under20c95.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.044757.4%27 W · 20 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over80c93.8$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2333844.7%151 W · 187 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa47b…1f19backed Under21c90.72$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.05955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+45.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb927…5175backed Under21c90.72$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0530%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc9f…21f7backed Over80c88.55$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.719100%9 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x570a…e1f0backed Under22c86.65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.06333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…f56bbacked Under22c86.65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.061163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.25per pick39cpaid+35.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x49af…219dbacked Under21c86.05$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f8a…f0b8backed Under21c82.06$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.232832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcac6…bdf8backed Under24c79.53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.092951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over79c73.81$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.54477.3%34 W · 10 L+6.0wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+18.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7b5e…4e0cbacked Over80c71.63$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.331855.6%10 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Under20c70.89$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.185750.9%29 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Over79c64.88$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.653663.9%23 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a08…d02abacked Over79c62.49$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.121681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.19per pick62cpaid+26.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9660…ba56backed Over80c61.75$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.35650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x782c…38c2backed Over80c61.75$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.35540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-48.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc660…70c5backed Over79c61.49$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.911258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under21c60.26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.551,02135.3%360 W · 661 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x850c…5f62backed Over78c59.46$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.08875%6 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe398…ee2ebacked Over77c58.74$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.513966.7%26 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42eb…a02dbacked Under21c58.46$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.391233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Over80c57.67$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7717045.9%78 W · 92 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21b8…47f4backed Over80c53.89$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.781241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over78c52.67$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4131847.5%151 W · 167 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f95…96f9backed Over80c50.64$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.135100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+48%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Over76c50.58$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.14966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+33.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Over79c49.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.53063.3%19 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+29%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under25c49.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.335459.3%32 W · 22 L+8.1wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+36.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x96b1…812bbacked Over80c49$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+36.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fb3…d3b2backed Over76c47.68$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad5a…e224backed Over80c46.72$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.34250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e73…27a3backed Over79c42.86$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1233…d58fbacked Over79c41$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.61366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacdf…2b45backed Over79c39.06$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over76c34.74$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.346352.4%33 W · 30 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Over76c34.74$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.343040%12 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Over78c33.66$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.445756.1%32 W · 25 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.