NHL · resolved market

Red Wings vs. Sabres

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0da0105d7c4d12aca76e33b00977a5f9aecc05ca6d7798114a2f4f84e026eb4

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Red Wingsof Red Wings, Sabres
Resolved: Mar 28, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,536,833
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,511,667

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,536,833 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,602 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NHL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Sabres	58c	527,673$304,024 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304,024.33	670	51%342 W · 328 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bec…b215backed Red Wings	43c	332,123$142,008 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190,115.36	164	42.7%70 W · 94 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Red Wings	42c	121,932$51,684 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70,247.58	619	50.1%310 W · 309 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Red Wings	41c	78,861$32,478 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46,383.37	367	48%176 W · 191 L	-12.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Sabres	57c	73,900$42,123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42,123.22	1,070	49.9%534 W · 536 L	+22.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Red Wings	42c	63,304$26,588 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36,716.45	1,345	54.8%737 W · 608 L	+21.0wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Sabres	0c	59,989$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.99	56	50%28 W · 28 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Red Wings	41c	32,342$13,259 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,082.9	515	50.7%261 W · 254 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Sabres	39c	21,000$8,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,160	34	50%17 W · 17 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Sabres	2c	20,067$386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385.66	150	57.3%86 W · 64 L	+14.8wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+44.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Sabres	58c	20,000$11,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,600	249	45.4%113 W · 136 L	-16.4wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Sabres	52c	18,793$9,853 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,853.27	274	48.9%134 W · 140 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c15…ce17backed Sabres	58c	17,200$9,976 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,976	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.58per pick	58cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Red Wings	41c	15,000$6,150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,850	500	49.6%248 W · 252 L	+16.4wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Sabres	0c	14,566$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.57	521	72.6%378 W · 143 L	+36.7wins	+0.07per pick	66cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Red Wings	42c	14,464$6,110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,354.24	1,434	50.8%728 W · 706 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Red Wings	43c	14,078$6,054 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,024.46	619	53.8%333 W · 286 L	+13.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Sabres	14c	12,659$1,746 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,745.72	128	38.3%49 W · 79 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Sabres	57c	12,500$7,125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,125	129	50.4%65 W · 64 L	+10.7wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Sabres	58c	12,000$6,960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,960	260	58.8%153 W · 107 L	+17.7wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+15%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Red Wings	79c	10,911$8,649 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,261.62	896	36.9%331 W · 565 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Red Wings	43c	10,837$4,621 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,215.92	594	50.8%302 W · 292 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Red Wings	42c	10,000$4,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,800	510	45.5%232 W · 278 L	-9.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Sabres	59c	10,000$5,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,900	617	48.5%299 W · 318 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Sabres	56c	9,649$5,404 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,403.62	1,190	50.7%603 W · 587 L	+13.3wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Red Wings	44c	7,299$3,211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,087.64	121	52.1%63 W · 58 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Sabres	59c	6,900$4,071 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,071	852	50.2%428 W · 424 L	-26.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed Sabres	5c	6,666$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.08	49	12.2%6 W · 43 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	7cpaid	+49.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6955…059cbacked Red Wings	40c	6,535$2,614 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,921.22	16	50%8 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Red Wings	40c	6,147$2,489 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,657.47	1,555	51.4%800 W · 755 L	+12.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc689…5250backed Sabres	59c	6,000$3,540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,539.99	39	59%23 W · 16 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Sabres	8c	5,590$424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$424.4	820	43%353 W · 467 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa10e…4ea1backed Sabres	40c	5,291$2,109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,108.57	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	+1.8wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Red Wings	80c	5,285$4,212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,072.08	1,679	54.4%914 W · 765 L	+36.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Sabres	43c	5,000$2,134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,133.8	86	57%49 W · 37 L	+8.5wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Red Wings	42c	4,762$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,761.9	321	51.7%166 W · 155 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Sabres	60c	4,700$2,820 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,820	190	51.1%97 W · 93 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Sabres	59c	4,444$2,622 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,621.96	892	49.9%445 W · 447 L	+10.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Sabres	58c	4,440$2,553 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,553.4	334	50.9%170 W · 164 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Red Wings	41c	4,200$1,722 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,478	435	48.5%211 W · 224 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Red Wings	63c	4,149$2,620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,529.07	2,664	51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L	+58.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Sabres	10c	4,103$394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$394.42	332	34.3%114 W · 218 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Sabres	58c	4,000$2,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,320	397	52.1%207 W · 190 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Red Wings	41c	4,000$1,640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,360	278	50.4%140 W · 138 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Red Wings	41c	4,000$1,640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,360	602	49.5%298 W · 304 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Sabres	58c	4,000$2,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,319.98	1,891	52.4%991 W · 900 L	+36.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Red Wings	41c	3,910$1,603 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,306.9	445	51.2%228 W · 217 L	+16.4wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Sabres	31c	3,695$1,153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,153.16	752	51.7%389 W · 363 L	-2.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Red Wings	42c	3,600$1,512 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,087.98	149	54.4%81 W · 68 L	+9.5wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Red Wings	43c	3,570$1,535 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,035.07	388	49.5%192 W · 196 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4c6…75adbacked Sabres	18c	3,565$645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$644.81	401	52.4%210 W · 191 L	+21.2wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x88f9…325dbacked Red Wings	40c	3,505$1,402 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,102.99	40	55%22 W · 18 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+13%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfebc…b72abacked Sabres	60c	3,500$2,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,100	20	65%13 W · 7 L	+2.1wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Red Wings	43c	3,333$1,433 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,899.81	275	47.6%131 W · 144 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6611…863ebacked Sabres	60c	3,333$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,999.8	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Red Wings	43c	3,332$1,433 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,899.24	793	50.1%397 W · 396 L	-11.5wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Sabres	12c	3,255$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393.47	2,112	42.9%907 W · 1,205 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb4a2…b30cbacked Sabres	60c	3,200$1,920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,920	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-2.2wins	-0.15per pick	51cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Sabres	59c	3,076$1,804 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,804.34	305	52.5%160 W · 145 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Sabres	58c	2,995$1,752 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,752.06	868	52.4%455 W · 413 L	+7.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Red Wings	41c	2,914$1,195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,719.55	1,377	49.1%676 W · 701 L	+39.2wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Sabres	58c	2,733$1,585 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,585.37	83	45.8%38 W · 45 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Sabres	21c	2,717$557 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$557.34	94	42.6%40 W · 54 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked Red Wings	40c	2,506$1,002 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,503.57	52	59.6%31 W · 21 L	+5.6wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Sabres	57c	2,500$1,425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,425	318	48.7%155 W · 163 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Red Wings	43c	2,499$1,075 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,424.41	665	52%346 W · 319 L	+8.8wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed Red Wings	41c	2,417$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,417.16	149	40.9%61 W · 88 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f9…9fe2backed Sabres	60c	2,350$1,410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,410	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07aa…deb1backed Red Wings	43c	2,325$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,325.25	88	45.5%40 W · 48 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Red Wings	78c	2,307$1,788 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$518.66	303	48.8%148 W · 155 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16db…31c6backed Red Wings	40c	2,250$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,350	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+22%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce4d…a7fabacked Sabres	59c	2,249$1,327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,326.91	255	55.3%141 W · 114 L	+10.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24ac…f6b4backed Sabres	14c	2,245$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314.07	349	41.3%144 W · 205 L	+9.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54a2…7bb3backed Red Wings	40c	2,240$896 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,344	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Sabres	59c	2,222$1,311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,310.98	866	49.9%432 W · 434 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Sabres	22c	2,201$481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$481.22	2,754	47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L	+11.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa461…2528backed Red Wings	40c	2,110$844 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,266	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	55cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Red Wings	43c	2,059$878 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,180.84	1,092	50.4%550 W · 542 L	+12.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3115…0f87backed Sabres	60c	2,020$1,212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,212	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Sabres	57c	2,008$1,145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,144.83	479	51.4%246 W · 233 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Red Wings	43c	2,000$860 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,140	1,087	45.1%490 W · 597 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Red Wings	40c	2,000$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,200	204	50%102 W · 102 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2d7…6a0ebacked Sabres	60c	2,000$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Sabres	27c	1,937$522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$521.55	288	42%121 W · 167 L	-12.4wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Sabres	23c	1,919$443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$442.54	277	39.4%109 W · 168 L	-13.5wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4f5…db6ebacked Red Wings	41c	1,885$773 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,112.15	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.53per pick	47cpaid	+116.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd97…267ebacked Sabres	60c	1,880$1,128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,128	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa3…172fbacked Red Wings	43c	1,860$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,060.2	62	56.5%35 W · 27 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12fb…aa95backed Red Wings	40c	1,830$732 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,098	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd41…6e34backed Red Wings	40c	1,820$728 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,092	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.17per pick	55cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb75…6dd0backed Sabres	58c	1,808$1,049 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,048.75	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.24per pick	57cpaid	-32%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56df…72acbacked Red Wings	41c	1,791$734 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,056.69	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Sabres	58c	1,724$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	218	49.5%108 W · 110 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe02…1204backed Red Wings	42c	1,664$699 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$965.29	50	52%26 W · 24 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x117d…68c0backed Red Wings	41c	1,655$679 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$976.45	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.24per pick	43cpaid	+39.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65a7…ab4bbacked Sabres	60c	1,640$984 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$984	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.5wins	-0.23per pick	50cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Sabres	28c	1,577$447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$446.66	270	37.4%101 W · 169 L	-11.6wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x348f…a206backed Sabres	58c	1,573$911 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$911	70	51.4%36 W · 34 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x336b…695abacked Sabres	58c	1,567$909 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$909	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.21per pick	46cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0d…a3cebacked Sabres	49c	1,419$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	83	57.8%48 W · 35 L	+6.5wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Red Wings vs. Sabres

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event