Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfac6f159e683460ee8afccc20e3858dd4f85765efde82850245b3cdc11742537

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,004,139
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $701,595

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,004,139 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 865 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	2c	55,852$1,125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,125.08	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked No	71c	24,860$17,570 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,290.06	563	29.8%168 W · 395 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9652…1ab4backed Yes	1c	21,200$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.2	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	177	2.3%4 W · 173 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+467.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	15c	19,911$2,994 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,994.36	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x459c…7ebcbacked Yes	29c	18,427$5,373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,372.68	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	26c	15,019$3,919 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,919.17	532	22.7%121 W · 411 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed No	75c	11,926$8,941 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,984.99	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	11c	10,704$1,209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,208.68	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x689a…779ebacked Yes	17c	10,517$1,829 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,828.59	225	9.8%22 W · 203 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba8b…62fdbacked No	68c	10,267$6,937 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,329.83	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+2.4wins	+0.11per pick	60cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a58…7e08backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	140	9.3%13 W · 127 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	+642.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe008…f7d3backed Yes	3c	9,490$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.03	256	17.2%44 W · 212 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	33c	9,099$3,039 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,039.22	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	39c	8,500$3,288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,288.18	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdba…e7a2backed Yes	25c	8,404$2,140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,140	46	8.7%4 W · 42 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	+67.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	29c	8,126$2,347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,347.23	1,780	7.4%132 W · 1,648 L	-23.1wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	25c	7,927$1,985 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,984.66	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x96f9…0c3bbacked Yes	25c	7,741$1,902 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,901.92	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked No	75c	7,600$5,668 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,931.94	246	72.8%179 W · 67 L	+15.5wins	+0.06per pick	66cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	33c	7,518$2,512 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,511.51	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	40c	7,264$2,941 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,940.59	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed Yes	23c	7,013$1,644 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,643.77	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ca…450abacked Yes	29c	6,909$2,013 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,012.94	312	17.3%54 W · 258 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes	23c	6,743$1,536 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,536.28	105	12.4%13 W · 92 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	18c	6,553$1,192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,192.48	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5808…0b74backed Yes	18c	6,370$1,158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,158.06	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	27c	6,145$1,672 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,672.24	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	27c	6,000$1,606 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,606.01	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7354…430fbacked No	76c	5,956$4,515 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,440.32	186	76.9%143 W · 43 L	+11.9wins	+0.06per pick	70cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde1b…ccc9backed Yes	2c	5,500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.5	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9c…072bbacked Yes	28c	5,391$1,512 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,512.24	134	30.6%41 W · 93 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes	28c	5,311$1,504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,504.44	285	26.7%76 W · 209 L	-11.5wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3f…a942backed No	75c	5,268$3,973 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,295.2	115	56.5%65 W · 50 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	24c	5,009$1,193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,193.24	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes	18c	5,000$880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$880	108	17.6%19 W · 89 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	+58.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	17c	4,880$810 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$810.21	2,545	13.2%335 W · 2,210 L	+4.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	6c	4,500$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	32c	4,469$1,429 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,429.44	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	21c	4,405$906 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$905.9	1,036	11.1%115 W · 921 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6e99…72a0backed Yes	31c	4,143$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	145	7.6%11 W · 134 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e33…bf4dbacked Yes	27c	4,139$1,105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,105.28	100	15%15 W · 85 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe144…487fbacked Yes	28c	3,982$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	104	21.2%22 W · 82 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66f0…ac16backed Yes	25c	3,949$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	8c	3,946$327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327.27	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa14d…2563backed Yes	17c	3,869$643 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$642.92	145	15.9%23 W · 122 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9476…28bcbacked Yes	16c	3,620$564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$564.45	118	38.1%45 W · 73 L	-4.6wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa65c…32fbbacked Yes	7c	3,600$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239	123	8.9%11 W · 112 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+54%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc140…ac80backed Yes	20c	3,500$705 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$705.15	48	16.7%8 W · 40 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5364…c64dbacked No	75c	3,500$2,630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$869.99	151	64.9%98 W · 53 L	+10.2wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	10c	3,408$346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345.79	413	10.7%44 W · 369 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	33c	3,263$1,066 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,065.74	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…dff7backed Yes	20c	3,203$628 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$627.56	130	23.1%30 W · 100 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6f9…fd9dbacked Yes	14c	3,191$451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$451	47	14.9%7 W · 40 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-55.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecb0…a422backed Yes	4c	3,184$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.78	168	14.9%25 W · 143 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-40%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	21c	3,121$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x274c…4824backed Yes	32c	3,118$987 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$987.1	84	25%21 W · 63 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33d4…c167backed Yes	30c	3,020$906 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$906.26	177	23.2%41 W · 136 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Yes	19c	3,005$582 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$582.19	70	25.7%18 W · 52 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bf0…133fbacked Yes	26c	3,000$773 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$773.41	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf452…8ff9backed Yes	27c	2,986$809 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$808.83	151	28.5%43 W · 108 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b42…229ebacked Yes	16c	2,914$475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$475	103	22.3%23 W · 80 L	+8.6wins	+0.08per pick	14cpaid	+59.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	64c	2,833$1,823 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,010.48	542	74.9%406 W · 136 L	+34.0wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	18c	2,800$512 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$511.99	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc429…bec8backed Yes	4c	2,790$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.16	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	11cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa80…c7e0backed Yes	31c	2,772$858 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$857.51	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd06…a977backed Yes	2c	2,696$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.67	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x577c…c836backed Yes	40c	2,612$1,055 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,055.13	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-52.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	29c	2,600$759 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$759.07	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcc7…1af9backed Yes	24c	2,593$616 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$615.66	37	24.3%9 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x387c…2423backed Yes	29c	2,500$725 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$724.99	176	28.4%50 W · 126 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58cd…775abacked Yes	14c	2,478$351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351.16	386	14.2%55 W · 331 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97fc…229ebacked Yes	28c	2,468$688 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$688.44	135	11.9%16 W · 119 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2969…661fbacked Yes	27c	2,329$635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$635.26	38	21.1%8 W · 30 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	4c	2,316$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	1,060	8.4%89 W · 971 L	+29.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44b5…11a3backed No	70c	2,236$1,562 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$673.95	142	33.8%48 W · 94 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	12c	2,201$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.62	1,190	8.7%104 W · 1,086 L	+31.1wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b6d…d7dcbacked Yes	21c	2,200$469 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$469	140	25.7%36 W · 104 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d87…f9f9backed Yes	25c	2,199$547 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$546.55	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa200…d145backed Yes	29c	2,109$610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$610.37	44	27.3%12 W · 32 L	-2.6wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bae…ae53backed Yes	24c	2,007$483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$483.03	36	25%9 W · 27 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09e7…312fbacked Yes	32c	2,000$635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$634.92	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	8c	2,000$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	3c	2,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x555c…c64dbacked Yes	33c	1,903$627 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$626.6	143	32.9%47 W · 96 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b8…5a0fbacked No	79c	1,873$1,486 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$387.3	599	27%162 W · 437 L	-9.9wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2924…dcdebacked Yes	12c	1,865$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.76	211	22.3%47 W · 164 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed Yes	20c	1,858$374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374.3	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec7e…a915backed Yes	19c	1,809$343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.53	46	26.1%12 W · 34 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-53%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	28c	1,749$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485.16	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	23c	1,709$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3db2…0f2ebacked Yes	25c	1,699$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$429.82	76	31.6%24 W · 52 L	+3.8wins	+0.05per pick	27cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe21e…7d97backed Yes	1c	1,647$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.87	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2dd…1db4backed Yes	12c	1,639$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.73	160	9.4%15 W · 145 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…30d5backed No	61c	1,636$998 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$637.87	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x832d…6ec5backed Yes	1c	1,600$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.8	117	7.7%9 W · 108 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	25c	1,570$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387.68	882	10.3%91 W · 791 L	-4.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f63…310dbacked Yes	24c	1,568$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	33cpaid	+34.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeff9…05fdbacked Yes	45c	1,557$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	164	27.4%45 W · 119 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes	18c	1,552$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285	266	19.5%52 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event