Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e5b87571aca9cc280cbe62a83707e01b4f26c4958be28ab7ff65310ad631f6f

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $397,218
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $138,923

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $397,218 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xee6d…0c24backed Yes	0c	10,171$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.8	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7a0…bdf6backed Yes	0c	9,975$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.95	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-67.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x907d…20c4backed Yes	0c	8,354$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.04	71	0%0 W · 71 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	0c	8,086$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.17	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c52…7e35backed Yes	1c	6,250$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	37	8.1%3 W · 34 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	5c	6,200$317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$317.05	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	4c	5,635$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.69	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	0c	5,600$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.8	187	3.2%6 W · 181 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+278.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	3c	5,418$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.93	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfee2…6580backed Yes	8c	5,079$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384.9	210	28.6%60 W · 150 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	2c	4,845$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	5c	4,500$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	3c	4,110$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.65	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	2c	3,857$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.44	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes	3c	3,141$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.7	105	12.4%13 W · 92 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	1c	3,000$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	1c	2,996$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	4c	2,954$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.94	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	3c	2,801$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.35	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	1c	2,710$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.18	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb6f9…fd9dbacked Yes	10c	2,674$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.14	47	14.9%7 W · 40 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-55.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	4c	2,632$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.25	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	1c	2,600$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.98	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	4c	2,342$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.95	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	8c	2,332$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.8	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97fc…229ebacked Yes	3c	2,250$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.25	135	11.9%16 W · 119 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	6c	2,226$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.01	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	7c	2,003$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.97	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	3c	2,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10bc…5715backed Yes	9c	2,000$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a43…71afbacked Yes	2c	1,893$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.14	128	8.6%11 W · 117 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4978…956bbacked Yes	2c	1,890$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	479	8.6%41 W · 438 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	3c	1,879$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.53	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe46…8b21backed Yes	6c	1,559$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.89	218	16.1%35 W · 183 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4dd3…f0efbacked Yes	8c	1,348$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.76	53	11.3%6 W · 47 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	12c	1,288$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2816…c473backed Yes	7c	1,257$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.83	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	14cpaid	-87%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	6c	1,100$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.8	151	5.3%8 W · 143 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+227.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc6…0f6abacked Yes	9c	1,087$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	89	18%16 W · 73 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bb7…6d16backed Yes	11c	1,043$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.68	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a40…599ebacked Yes	5c	1,007$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	142	8.5%12 W · 130 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d42…6e4cbacked Yes	2c	1,005$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.08	64	3.1%2 W · 62 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa932…79a6backed Yes	2c	1,000$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	71	2.8%2 W · 69 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b7a…4aa5backed Yes	2c	999.99$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	76	6.6%5 W · 71 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8164…0813backed Yes	3c	957.99$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.05	277	7.9%22 W · 255 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes	5c	840.99$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.31	398	6.8%27 W · 371 L	+9.8wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a1f…d43cbacked Yes	7c	834.55$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	57	10.5%6 W · 51 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x201a…3418backed Yes	2c	830$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.09	73	13.7%10 W · 63 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	+40.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb82…7b94backed Yes	4c	812.12$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.44	35	5.7%2 W · 33 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e7e…61c0backed Yes	5c	806.06$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.26	97	10.3%10 W · 87 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde72…b5b1backed Yes	2c	800$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	25	32%8 W · 17 L	+2.9wins	+0.12per pick	20cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7dc…b33dbacked Yes	6c	793.86$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.57	68	14.7%10 W · 58 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	9c	779.14$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.98	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…c9bfbacked Yes	3c	774.54$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.27	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-86.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	7c	773.18$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.02	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e66…0d3abacked Yes	2c	715.69$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	334	15.6%52 W · 282 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8fd…2863backed Yes	12c	669.26$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.15	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	5c	660.43$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	9c	553.62$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.62	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01ec…9d8dbacked Yes	8c	552.15$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.16	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes	2c	546.02$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.24	118	5.9%7 W · 111 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28db…1f83backed Yes	4c	534.77$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x46b4…72e9backed Yes	7c	533.29$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.83	51	21.6%11 W · 40 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fcb…f083backed Yes	13c	522$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.07	45	13.3%6 W · 39 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe76b…e02abacked Yes	3c	513.78$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.28	108	6.5%7 W · 101 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-11%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3030…4d1ebacked Yes	10c	508$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.77	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Yes	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	188	22.3%42 W · 146 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c07…570dbacked Yes	9c	500$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	149	13.4%20 W · 129 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0bed…c478backed Yes	9c	500$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	30	13.3%4 W · 26 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	3c	497.52$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xecb0…a422backed Yes	8c	488.9$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.36	168	14.9%25 W · 143 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-40%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b06…fa73backed Yes	10c	484$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.85	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	482.07$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.67	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x08b4…624ebacked Yes	8c	480.8$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	125	8.8%11 W · 114 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcf6…f503backed Yes	7c	464$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.94	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1798…1ce9backed Yes	3c	460.88$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.21	57	5.3%3 W · 54 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+44.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc14f…0ee1backed Yes	7c	446.63$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.98	160	13.8%22 W · 138 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb60c…8e81backed Yes	2c	436.32$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-61.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb34…2b09backed Yes	13c	429.13$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	36	13.9%5 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf19…4c66backed Yes	10c	415$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.09	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88c8…e218backed Yes	6c	404$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.43	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1210…a166backed Yes	5c	403$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.36	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.27per pick	23cpaid	+610.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe106…3cc8backed Yes	13c	399.41$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-60.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x666a…4bf0backed Yes	3c	398.23$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.95	181	7.7%14 W · 167 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe32a…53debacked Yes	10c	390$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.78	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38fb…5589backed Yes	10c	389$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.12	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	7c	387.9$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.94	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7187…4859backed Yes	8c	381.8$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	233	14.2%33 W · 200 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	5c	375.18$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.05	175	6.9%12 W · 163 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+45.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes	5c	372.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.21	121	14%17 W · 104 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6933…0f16backed Yes	4c	370.5$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.45	475	10.5%50 W · 425 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb12d…0741backed Yes	4c	364$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.62	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa14a…df2abacked Yes	3c	349.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.25	562	8.9%50 W · 512 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b2d…a919backed Yes	6c	339$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.66	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a93…c89abacked Yes	4c	337.02$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	57	8.8%5 W · 52 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x54e7…4d29backed Yes	3c	334$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.02	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…27efbacked Yes	5c	320$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.04	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	5cpaid	+27%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2de4…c8e6backed Yes	5c	319.15$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	301	10.3%31 W · 270 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd00e…fb86backed Yes	10c	301.53$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	57	19.3%11 W · 46 L	-4.3wins	-0.08per pick	27cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b74…9e5bbacked Yes	5c	293$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.06	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event