Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d6853e8af35abb0908521b0a05af3db7eb0a680b8fb4a8acf09b2bde3ee8aac

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $692,327
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $323,130

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $692,327 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 235 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x849c…4009backed Yes	2c	51,916$809 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$808.5	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	4c	42,710$1,669 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,668.67	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	177	2.3%4 W · 173 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+467.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9d…a201backed Yes	1c	19,714$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.43	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	3c	13,545$414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$414.18	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9263…1999backed Yes	0c	11,157$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.68	98	1%1 W · 97 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	0c	10,081$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.66	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54c0…a338backed Yes	0c	10,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	364	4.7%17 W · 347 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+98.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf288…af5ebacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e57…312abacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5cc5…bebdbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2179…bedbbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	78	0%0 W · 78 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x444c…9d2ebacked Yes	0c	9,701$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.36	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	+42.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	0c	9,557$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.93	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	2c	8,811$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.06	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcdba…e7a2backed Yes	3c	8,473$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	46	8.7%4 W · 42 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	+67.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	11c	7,000$745 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$744.61	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	9c	6,642$583 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$582.7	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3d50…c26bbacked Yes	3c	6,636$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.05	114	16.7%19 W · 95 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	6c	6,060$367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367.31	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa7a0…bdf6backed Yes	0c	5,500$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-67.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cea…a932backed Yes	3c	5,317$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.31	89	25.8%23 W · 66 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	6c	4,500$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.99	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x274c…4824backed Yes	12c	4,319$518 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$518.23	84	25%21 W · 63 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	3c	4,033$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	11c	4,002$428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$428.43	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85f0…62ebbacked Yes	5c	4,000$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183	101	14.9%15 W · 86 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+47.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	3c	3,975$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.25	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a43…71afbacked Yes	6c	3,823$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.51	128	8.6%11 W · 117 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	9c	3,642$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343.65	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	2c	3,498$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.82	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	7c	3,433$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.42	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	13c	3,357$424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$424.11	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	4c	3,313$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.49	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	3c	3,106$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.81	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ec4…bfe9backed Yes	2c	3,045$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	165	6.7%11 W · 154 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	3c	3,026$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.08	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45df…5b27backed Yes	1c	2,979$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.69	93	2.2%2 W · 91 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	2c	2,850$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.85	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x25c2…08c7backed Yes	8c	2,694$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.49	86	19.8%17 W · 69 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	8c	2,664$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.43	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	8c	2,299$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.94	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58cd…775abacked Yes	4c	2,294$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	386	14.2%55 W · 331 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	9c	2,058$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.22	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	3c	2,018$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.86	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc140…ac80backed Yes	3c	2,000$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	48	16.7%8 W · 40 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	3c	2,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	1c	1,900$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.9	187	3.2%6 W · 181 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+278.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97fc…229ebacked Yes	10c	1,882$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.71	135	11.9%16 W · 119 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	1,869$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.86	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	8c	1,625$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.55	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6f9…fd9dbacked Yes	15c	1,622$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.47	47	14.9%7 W · 40 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-55.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ee…6b9bbacked Yes	15c	1,610$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.16	54	16.7%9 W · 45 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes	13c	1,600$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208	147	15%22 W · 125 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+80.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x189a…094bbacked Yes	1c	1,588$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.34	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2cff…53b5backed Yes	13c	1,583$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	5c	1,555$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.17	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4dd3…f0efbacked Yes	11c	1,528$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.41	53	11.3%6 W · 47 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Yes	17c	1,500$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255	70	25.7%18 W · 52 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	1c	1,500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	7c	1,500$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xafbb…9213backed Yes	7c	1,430$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.1	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	+2.6wins	+0.12per pick	26cpaid	+118.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes	12c	1,391$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.66	105	12.4%13 W · 92 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb34…2b09backed Yes	12c	1,375$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.36	36	13.9%5 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Yes	10c	1,259$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.55	135	13.3%18 W · 117 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xabb3…0519backed Yes	11c	1,160$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.8	64	17.2%11 W · 53 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-14%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fcb…f083backed Yes	13c	1,111$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.68	45	13.3%6 W · 39 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc6…0f6abacked Yes	9c	1,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	89	18%16 W · 73 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x890b…2737backed Yes	15c	1,100$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	47	12.8%6 W · 41 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	6c	1,093$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaebd…c462backed Yes	7c	1,040$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.2	49	12.2%6 W · 43 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	+43.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf213…6c80backed Yes	13c	1,037$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	13cpaid	+53.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2b6…9ff5backed Yes	6c	1,025$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.52	84	20.2%17 W · 67 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Yes	16c	1,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	188	22.3%42 W · 146 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d3…8e8fbacked Yes	2c	1,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	131	16.8%22 W · 109 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+57.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4c8…2be8backed Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+21%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b7a…4aa5backed Yes	5c	1,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	76	6.6%5 W · 71 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50bd…d20fbacked Yes	8c	999.98$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	99	11.1%11 W · 88 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	4c	999.98$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.5	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a40…599ebacked Yes	12c	943.4$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	142	8.5%12 W · 130 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5e…6dd8backed Yes	2c	909.95$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	20%1 W · 4 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2de4…c8e6backed Yes	3c	883.2$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.66	301	10.3%31 W · 270 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6933…0f16backed Yes	3c	857.55$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	475	10.5%50 W · 425 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x666a…4bf0backed Yes	6c	850$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	181	7.7%14 W · 167 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x201a…3418backed Yes	11c	830$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.3	73	13.7%10 W · 63 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	+40.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1106…a85abacked Yes	13c	821.5$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.78	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-2.0wins	-0.14per pick	20cpaid	-78.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e7e…61c0backed Yes	8c	800.21$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.73	97	10.3%10 W · 87 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ba…67e9backed Yes	11c	800$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91	113	13.3%15 W · 98 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0489…ddf7backed Yes	10c	773$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.3	199	27.6%55 W · 144 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed Yes	12c	758$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.77	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe00b…d25fbacked Yes	14c	711.39$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.99	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a34…6c6cbacked Yes	15c	666.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	58	12.1%7 W · 51 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d4…c1b8backed Yes	15c	666.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	177	28.2%50 W · 127 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x474c…37d3backed Yes	15c	666.6$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.99	410	17.8%73 W · 337 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7dc…b33dbacked Yes	12c	651.2$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.52	68	14.7%10 W · 58 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24c9…dfbfbacked Yes	9c	645.18$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	53	17%9 W · 44 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-37%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45b8…2204backed Yes	4c	635.23$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	27	0%0 W · 27 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x387c…2423backed Yes	3c	600$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.6	176	28.4%50 W · 126 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	6c	550$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.25	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa490…bf7ebacked Yes	11c	545.45$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	59	10.2%6 W · 53 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event