Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc431804c161c75b0ed14dfcee876697f9056d5dedd4979a8799818fbc920613

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $480,942
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $165,561

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $480,942 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	19,942$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.94	177	2.3%4 W · 173 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+467.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	2c	19,069$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.56	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	0c	10,100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.1	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	0c	8,086$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.34	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	4c	7,892$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$313.65	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	6c	6,568$363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$362.82	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x25c2…08c7backed Yes	2c	6,465$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.61	86	19.8%17 W · 69 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	2c	6,250$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.08	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	0c	5,150$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.55	187	3.2%6 W · 181 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+278.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa7a0…bdf6backed Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-67.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	5c	4,500$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.91	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaebd…c462backed Yes	7c	4,366$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.66	49	12.2%6 W · 43 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	+43.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	1c	4,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee2…6580backed Yes	10c	3,394$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324.28	210	28.6%60 W · 150 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	6c	3,191$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.75	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f24…51d4backed Yes	0c	3,159$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.89	28	14.3%4 W · 24 L	+1.6wins	+0.06per pick	8cpaid	+24.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	1c	3,023$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.63	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	4c	2,836$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.57	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4dd3…f0efbacked Yes	9c	2,658$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.89	53	11.3%6 W · 47 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes	7c	2,649$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.5	105	12.4%13 W · 92 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	4c	2,528$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.01	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	5c	2,447$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.06	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e99…72a0backed Yes	13c	2,390$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	145	7.6%11 W · 134 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6f9…fd9dbacked Yes	12c	2,171$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.66	47	14.9%7 W · 40 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-55.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c52…7e35backed Yes	1c	2,130$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.82	37	8.1%3 W · 34 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x653f…c386backed Yes	3c	2,084$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.98	68	23.5%16 W · 52 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	3c	2,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	9c	2,000$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.94	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3d50…c26bbacked Yes	1c	1,970$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.76	114	16.7%19 W · 95 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45df…5b27backed Yes	1c	1,946$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.8	93	2.2%2 W · 91 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	1c	1,848$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.77	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	8c	1,830$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.73	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	5c	1,821$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.97	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4978…956bbacked Yes	3c	1,679$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	479	8.6%41 W · 438 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	2c	1,676$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.54	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe106…3cc8backed Yes	14c	1,644$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.72	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-60.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a43…71afbacked Yes	2c	1,544$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.93	128	8.6%11 W · 117 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	3c	1,538$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.86	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	4c	1,531$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.54	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	1c	1,500$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	4c	1,403$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…599ebacked Yes	6c	1,312$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79	142	8.5%12 W · 130 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6dc6…0f6abacked Yes	8c	1,225$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	89	18%16 W · 73 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97fc…229ebacked Yes	6c	1,135$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.07	135	11.9%16 W · 119 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe46…8b21backed Yes	8c	1,133$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.67	218	16.1%35 W · 183 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	4c	1,129$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.88	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1106…a85abacked Yes	13c	1,124$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.78	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-2.0wins	-0.14per pick	20cpaid	-78.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	13c	1,121$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Yes	10c	1,000$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97	135	13.3%18 W · 117 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Yes	7c	1,000$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.5	188	22.3%42 W · 146 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc140…ac80backed Yes	2c	1,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	48	16.7%8 W · 40 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x671a…3b1ebacked Yes	4c	1,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	48	16.7%8 W · 40 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	11cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b7a…4aa5backed Yes	3c	999.99$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	76	6.6%5 W · 71 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa932…79a6backed Yes	2c	999.98$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	71	2.8%2 W · 69 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bf2…f130backed Yes	7c	999.97$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb82…7b94backed Yes	5c	960$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.07	35	5.7%2 W · 33 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes	1c	922.99$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.61	272	7%19 W · 253 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+83.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2816…c473backed Yes	8c	911.16$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.32	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	14cpaid	-87%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	9c	900$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.5	151	5.3%8 W · 143 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+227.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes	12c	890.2$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.68	267	22.8%61 W · 206 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x666a…4bf0backed Yes	4c	850$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	181	7.7%14 W · 167 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x201a…3418backed Yes	3c	830$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.39	73	13.7%10 W · 63 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	+40.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53ba…67e9backed Yes	5c	800$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.4	113	13.3%15 W · 98 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e7e…61c0backed Yes	7c	799.99$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.2	97	10.3%10 W · 87 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…c9bfbacked Yes	5c	774.15$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-86.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x45b8…2204backed Yes	5c	773.46$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.62	27	0%0 W · 27 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a1f…d43cbacked Yes	10c	763.84$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	57	10.5%6 W · 51 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e66…0d3abacked Yes	3c	727.27$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	334	15.6%52 W · 282 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	6c	723.02$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde72…b5b1backed Yes	4c	669.66$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.6	25	32%8 W · 17 L	+2.9wins	+0.12per pick	20cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e07…36a9backed Yes	3c	645.95$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.6	95	11.6%11 W · 84 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x139c…8e7cbacked Yes	5c	627$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.98	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.43per pick	7cpaid	+502.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	7c	625.23$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.31	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac12…7f97backed Yes	6c	624.02$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92bb…ee17backed Yes	10c	612.99$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.04	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf06d…26f7backed Yes	8c	595$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.95	110	11.8%13 W · 97 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe76b…e02abacked Yes	4c	593.79$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.97	108	6.5%7 W · 101 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-11%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc14f…0ee1backed Yes	11c	576.3$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.11	160	13.8%22 W · 138 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes	6c	565.05$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.58	398	6.8%27 W · 371 L	+9.8wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	10c	558.77$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.11	378	30.7%116 W · 262 L	-17.9wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd87f…d3e4backed Yes	5c	552.16$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	139	17.3%24 W · 115 L	-8.4wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb34…2b09backed Yes	13c	542.02$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	36	13.9%5 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ca7…3953backed Yes	5c	539$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.49	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa1…256dbacked Yes	4c	526.5$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	23	13%3 W · 20 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58cd…775abacked Yes	4c	513.15$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	386	14.2%55 W · 331 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa43…d992backed Yes	8c	509.4$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	134	8.2%11 W · 123 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes	3c	504.67$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.22	503	19.5%98 W · 405 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fcb…f083backed Yes	9c	500$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.35	45	13.3%6 W · 39 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f26…1f12backed Yes	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	135	17%23 W · 112 L	-6.9wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-56.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	11c	500$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.6	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c07…570dbacked Yes	11c	500$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.17	149	13.4%20 W · 129 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9484…a173backed Yes	8c	500$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	400	16.8%67 W · 333 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x818f…a5d0backed Yes	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0bed…c478backed Yes	12c	499.99$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.5	30	13.3%4 W · 26 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	3c	496.94$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.51	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28db…1f83backed Yes	7c	496.7$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.25	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed Yes	10c	476.06$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.63	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d17…a5c9backed Yes	5c	442$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.43	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	5c	428.35$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.67	175	6.9%12 W · 163 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+45.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb57…6a21backed Yes	12c	423.79$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	64	20.3%13 W · 51 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event