Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7540822f2d6c0c0682dc17cb08fde614397ce3023db31b3dda6de78186f2e9a4

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,366,665
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,054,840

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,366,665 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	0c	34,961$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.88	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x459c…7ebcbacked Yes	0c	24,167$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb831…892bbacked Yes	0c	22,395$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.79	179	17.9%32 W · 147 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-40%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bf4…07c0backed Yes	0c	20,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.24per pick	38cpaid	-75.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	2c	17,000$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.14	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	2c	16,702$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.23	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	2c	16,115$386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385.96	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	1c	15,312$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.58	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	1c	14,514$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.78	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e71…01bfbacked Yes	1c	13,035$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.82	72	11.1%8 W · 64 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9994…03ddbacked Yes	0c	12,002$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.08	112	4.5%5 W · 107 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x95b1…a351backed Yes	3c	11,826$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384.58	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.38per pick	12cpaid	+140%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa43…d992backed Yes	0c	11,784$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.26	134	8.2%11 W · 123 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	1c	11,074$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.17	328	1.2%4 W · 324 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	1c	11,018$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.01	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	1c	10,218$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.73	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45df…5b27backed Yes	0c	9,571$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.88	93	2.2%2 W · 91 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a43…71afbacked Yes	1c	9,254$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.13	128	8.6%11 W · 117 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	1c	9,018$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.22	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	2c	8,498$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.86	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	2c	8,490$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.28	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf71c…4dabbacked Yes	2c	8,432$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.76	115	7.8%9 W · 106 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	4cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	4c	7,624$327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327.21	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	6,665$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.14	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22b0…ef31backed Yes	2c	6,620$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.02	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ec4…bfe9backed Yes	3c	6,506$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	165	6.7%11 W · 154 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	5c	6,102$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.72	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	0c	6,000$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.52	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x314d…65bfbacked Yes	1c	5,975$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.62	320	15%48 W · 272 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	1c	5,856$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.14	151	5.3%8 W · 143 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+227.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes	2c	5,807$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.76	105	12.4%13 W · 92 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	2c	5,764$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.24	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	3c	5,698$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.07	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Yes	1c	5,611$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.44	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00be…9cb8backed Yes	1c	5,569$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	13cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7091…af26backed Yes	3c	5,447$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.56	138	17.4%24 W · 114 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	2c	5,307$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.06	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	3c	5,181$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.08	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0edd…6d55backed Yes	2c	5,050$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.18per pick	15cpaid	+74.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	2c	5,026$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.96	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22af…399abacked Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	69	20.3%14 W · 55 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	15cpaid	+207.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdc7…7780backed Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+2.2wins	+0.14per pick	30cpaid	+78.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8f4…7a84backed Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x83c4…eef6backed Yes	0c	4,847$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.54	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfcc7…1af9backed Yes	3c	4,780$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.49	37	24.3%9 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes	2c	4,591$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	266	19.5%52 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	5c	4,430$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.48	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58cd…775abacked Yes	1c	4,378$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	386	14.2%55 W · 331 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d47…0ed2backed Yes	1c	4,300$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.4	42	14.3%6 W · 36 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8842…023cbacked Yes	0c	4,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	2c	4,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ee…6b9bbacked Yes	2c	3,975$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.35	54	16.7%9 W · 45 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe008…f7d3backed Yes	0c	3,795$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.78	256	17.2%44 W · 212 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2de4…c8e6backed Yes	2c	3,676$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.63	301	10.3%31 W · 270 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	1c	3,515$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacfb…ac3ebacked Yes	8c	3,411$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	31	19.4%6 W · 25 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x97fc…229ebacked Yes	3c	3,389$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.6	135	11.9%16 W · 119 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes	0c	3,132$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.02	361	13.3%48 W · 313 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3585…6eadbacked Yes	2c	3,112$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.56	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	-33%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes	1c	2,976$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.72	272	7%19 W · 253 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+83.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	2c	2,973$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3981…f4c9backed Yes	1c	2,966$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	3c	2,768$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.94	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa14a…df2abacked Yes	2c	2,740$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.42	562	8.9%50 W · 512 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e7…1b5bbacked Yes	0c	2,588$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.35	149	28.2%42 W · 107 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7acd…1086backed Yes	1c	2,499$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	130	8.5%11 W · 119 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+95.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	3c	2,426$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.15	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x08b4…624ebacked Yes	2c	2,385$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	125	8.8%11 W · 114 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	4c	2,369$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	4c	2,335$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.54	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	2c	2,232$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.14	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e9e…7883backed Yes	6c	2,090$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.4	70	10%7 W · 63 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	1c	2,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1be…9662backed Yes	1c	1,805$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	16	0%0 W · 16 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e99…72a0backed Yes	6c	1,794$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.55	145	7.6%11 W · 134 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48ea…6a2cbacked Yes	4c	1,734$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.06	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	22cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes	2c	1,692$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.89	176	5.1%9 W · 167 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	-19%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00ad…903fbacked Yes	2c	1,680$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf804…8028backed Yes	2c	1,604$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.13	37	10.8%4 W · 33 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf06d…26f7backed Yes	3c	1,600$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	110	11.8%13 W · 97 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7766…b7f6backed Yes	2c	1,598$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.07	321	10%32 W · 289 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes	1c	1,580$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.98	118	5.9%7 W · 111 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45b8…2204backed Yes	5c	1,578$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.92	27	0%0 W · 27 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	1c	1,500$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	3c	1,500$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	8c	1,480$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.62	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc47b…9843backed Yes	1c	1,451$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.11	40	17.5%7 W · 33 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes	4c	1,446$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.76	398	6.8%27 W · 371 L	+9.8wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3247…4254backed Yes	3c	1,429$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	79	13.9%11 W · 68 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde72…b5b1backed Yes	2c	1,415$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.8	25	32%8 W · 17 L	+2.9wins	+0.12per pick	20cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c47…bc7bbacked Yes	2c	1,408$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	-63.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda99…322fbacked Yes	2c	1,380$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.39	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	10cpaid	+79.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa43a…1475backed Yes	2c	1,300$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.8	34	20.6%7 W · 27 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Yes	3c	1,288$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.73	114	18.4%21 W · 93 L	+10.0wins	+0.09per pick	10cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d67…b929backed Yes	1c	1,270$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.83	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	5c	1,245$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.79	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d92…4eb8backed Yes	2c	1,190$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.67	20	5%1 W · 19 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Yes	8c	1,181$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf111…2a81backed Yes	1c	1,100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	88	5.7%5 W · 83 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	3c	1,078$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.14	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event