Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3114dc4a641074bce619ea2bc010eb036d4d86d0e252b4747e3ab45d486ef3c

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,270,080
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $811,740

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,270,080 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 470 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	12c	50,858$6,245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,244.65	563	29.8%168 W · 395 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x459c…7ebcbacked Yes	10c	38,540$3,977 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,977.32	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e71…01bfbacked Yes	1c	26,111$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.95	72	11.1%8 W · 64 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	5c	24,843$1,147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,146.76	1,780	7.4%132 W · 1,648 L	-23.1wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes	1c	23,939$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290	108	17.6%19 W · 89 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	+58.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	4c	23,092$952 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$951.8	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45df…5b27backed Yes	0c	21,610$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.76	93	2.2%2 W · 91 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	7c	16,810$1,183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,182.65	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	15,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	177	2.3%4 W · 173 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+467.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ec4…bfe9backed Yes	2c	11,352$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	165	6.7%11 W · 154 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	12c	11,236$1,340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,340.35	876	18.4%161 W · 715 L	+9.5wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	10c	11,155$1,111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,110.76	574	20.9%120 W · 454 L	+9.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	15c	10,518$1,532 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,532.05	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	10c	10,095$964 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$963.92	2,545	13.2%335 W · 2,210 L	+4.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9994…03ddbacked Yes	0c	10,012$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	112	4.5%5 W · 107 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	15c	10,005$1,455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,455.25	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a58…7e08backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	140	9.3%13 W · 127 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	+642.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7a0…bdf6backed Yes	0c	10,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-67.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	13c	9,347$1,214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,214.12	879	17.2%151 W · 728 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7091…af26backed Yes	13c	9,062$1,221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,220.95	138	17.4%24 W · 114 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcc7…1af9backed Yes	9c	8,199$767 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$767.38	37	24.3%9 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes	0c	7,957$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.45	361	13.3%48 W · 313 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdaa…fec8backed Yes	0c	7,233$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.51	55	29.1%16 W · 39 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	14c	6,879$968 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$968.48	532	22.7%121 W · 411 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	12c	6,079$746 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$745.59	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	13c	6,035$764 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$764.2	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	10c	6,002$577 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$577.11	1,036	11.1%115 W · 921 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	3c	5,946$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.34	1,190	8.7%104 W · 1,086 L	+31.1wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc94…5204backed Yes	11c	5,836$628 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$627.71	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.10per pick	23cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes	16c	5,757$932 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$931.92	292	27.7%81 W · 211 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-12%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes	13c	5,412$721 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720.99	503	19.5%98 W · 405 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f00…487fbacked Yes	8c	5,366$403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$403.48	280	16.4%46 W · 234 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	13c	5,217$683 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$683.02	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5808…0b74backed Yes	10c	5,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes	12c	4,969$619 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$619	266	19.5%52 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	6c	4,500$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.99	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	1c	4,022$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.65	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x461c…de90backed No	75c	4,000$3,012 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$988	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.25per pick	75cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	10c	4,000$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41d0…e9f5backed Yes	1c	4,000$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	33	3%1 W · 32 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	7cpaid	-87.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacfb…ac3ebacked Yes	13c	3,972$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501.5	31	19.4%6 W · 25 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes	9c	3,578$327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327.08	105	12.4%13 W · 92 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	5c	3,485$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.13	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	9c	3,319$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.66	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	17c	3,296$566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$566	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	3c	3,113$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.44	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	7c	3,091$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.67	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a43…71afbacked Yes	15c	3,049$451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450.86	128	8.6%11 W · 117 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ca6…0ae3backed Yes	0c	3,048$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.42	189	39.2%74 W · 115 L	+15.8wins	+0.08per pick	31cpaid	+34.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9f8a…b076backed Yes	15c	3,001$443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$443.03	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	14c	3,000$418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$418.5	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3db2…0f2ebacked No	78c	3,000$2,328 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$672	76	31.6%24 W · 52 L	+3.8wins	+0.05per pick	27cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	6c	2,916$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.83	413	10.7%44 W · 369 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2559…460bbacked Yes	12c	2,861$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.1	264	18.6%49 W · 215 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	14c	2,760$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb0b5…cd01backed Yes	12c	2,758$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318.5	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	7c	2,647$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.02	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97fc…229ebacked Yes	10c	2,500$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.13	135	11.9%16 W · 119 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa266…dfa5backed Yes	7c	2,494$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.45	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	7c	2,448$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.21	151	5.3%8 W · 143 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+227.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…bf4dbacked Yes	13c	2,330$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308	100	15%15 W · 85 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3247…4254backed Yes	16c	2,277$357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$357.33	79	13.9%11 W · 68 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	10c	2,159$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.53	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	3c	2,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes	10c	2,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	226	10.6%24 W · 202 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ab8…3e81backed Yes	17c	1,953$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323.83	70	22.9%16 W · 54 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	13c	1,950$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.51	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bae…ae53backed Yes	25c	1,927$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$481.79	36	25%9 W · 27 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e9c…2ec7backed Yes	16c	1,878$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302	142	19.7%28 W · 114 L	-11.6wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-46%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	5c	1,869$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89	558	8.2%46 W · 512 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	11c	1,856$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	7c	1,836$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.38	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3cb…ef82backed Yes	11c	1,827$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.99	89	16.9%15 W · 74 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	+85.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes	16c	1,800$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282	97	28.9%28 W · 69 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x474c…37d3backed Yes	14c	1,767$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.49	410	17.8%73 W · 337 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb34…2b09backed Yes	12c	1,714$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211	36	13.9%5 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	11c	1,713$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.03	630	21.7%137 W · 493 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes	5c	1,696$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.5	272	7%19 W · 253 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+83.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e99…72a0backed Yes	13c	1,680$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.44	145	7.6%11 W · 134 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Yes	8c	1,671$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.3	114	18.4%21 W · 93 L	+10.0wins	+0.09per pick	10cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed Yes	11c	1,665$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.96	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	3c	1,659$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.85	552	5.6%31 W · 521 L	+15.6wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+42.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14cf…d019backed Yes	2c	1,647$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.17	78	11.5%9 W · 69 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x22af…399abacked Yes	16c	1,607$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.06	69	20.3%14 W · 55 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	15cpaid	+207.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x215a…254cbacked Yes	15c	1,577$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.63	270	24.4%66 W · 204 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77e9…1a46backed Yes	18c	1,571$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.9	45	20%9 W · 36 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-37%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x25f9…45abbacked Yes	16c	1,527$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.36	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.32per pick	18cpaid	+163.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa43…d992backed Yes	5c	1,510$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.94	134	8.2%11 W · 123 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	12c	1,500$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.5	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86df…f4cfbacked Yes	6c	1,500$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97	124	16.9%21 W · 103 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	+57.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	7c	1,441$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.49	882	10.3%91 W · 791 L	-4.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfaf1…03b2backed Yes	16c	1,400$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.77	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+1.8wins	+0.15per pick	60cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	16c	1,396$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…dff7backed Yes	22c	1,373$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.33	130	23.1%30 W · 100 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	2c	1,328$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.84	328	1.2%4 W · 324 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea12…993bbacked Yes	14c	1,293$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.76	110	45.5%50 W · 60 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1f6…db6fbacked Yes	6c	1,282$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.98	33	18.2%6 W · 27 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d27…94c9backed Yes	2c	1,245$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.06	22	0%0 W · 22 L	-2.3wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Yes	14c	1,237$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.32	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b42…9fc4backed Yes	11c	1,222$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.04	33	21.2%7 W · 26 L	-5.5wins	-0.17per pick	38cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event