Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa023505b1291b4003bd5a019d4e0b1b8bd4bf356a404157be7a8e68c749bfec3

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $912,694
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $511,752

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $912,694 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 293 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x849c…4009backed Yes	2c	44,267$1,053 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,053.1	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	3c	32,698$1,141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,140.79	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x689a…779ebacked Yes	0c	30,041$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.08	225	9.8%22 W · 203 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Yes	1c	26,500$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	135	13.3%18 W · 117 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	1c	25,298$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.18	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	177	2.3%4 W · 173 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+467.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	0c	16,600$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.61	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf01e…51cbbacked Yes	0c	14,000$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	246	17.5%43 W · 203 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	13c	11,517$1,549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,548.81	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes	0c	10,666$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.67	240	1.7%4 W · 236 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+675.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a58…7e08backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	140	9.3%13 W · 127 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	+642.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cc5…bebdbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xff4e…5502backed Yes	0c	10,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	38	2.6%1 W · 37 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	0cpaid	+2,531.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdba…e7a2backed Yes	4c	8,993$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	46	8.7%4 W · 42 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	+67.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa14d…2563backed Yes	2c	8,538$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	145	15.9%23 W · 122 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	12c	8,173$953 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$953.15	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	7c	7,694$558 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$557.63	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	6c	7,615$462 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$461.6	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcded…b1ecbacked Yes	0c	7,085$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.13	28	0%0 W · 28 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9d…a201backed Yes	3c	6,965$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.5	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x444c…9d2ebacked Yes	1c	6,464$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.84	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	+42.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	1c	6,458$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.33	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	11c	6,080$674 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$673.56	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	5,625$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.21	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a43…71afbacked Yes	7c	5,609$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372.04	128	8.6%11 W · 117 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7a0…bdf6backed Yes	0c	5,500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-67.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe008…f7d3backed Yes	1c	5,456$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.16	256	17.2%44 W · 212 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ec4…bfe9backed Yes	2c	5,326$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.58	165	6.7%11 W · 154 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	7c	5,208$356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$356.3	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	8c	4,835$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	3c	4,705$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.51	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45df…5b27backed Yes	1c	4,530$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.13	93	2.2%2 W · 91 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	12c	4,500$553 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$552.73	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	8c	4,500$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	8c	4,479$351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350.71	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	1c	4,439$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.83	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cea…a932backed Yes	6c	4,008$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.95	89	25.8%23 W · 66 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	9c	3,865$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358.05	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5808…0b74backed Yes	12c	3,673$451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450.9	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	6c	3,600$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41d0…e9f5backed Yes	3c	3,553$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.76	33	3%1 W · 32 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	7cpaid	-87.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cff…53b5backed Yes	12c	3,463$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	10c	3,458$346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345.83	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85f0…62ebbacked Yes	7c	3,417$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.57	101	14.9%15 W · 86 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+47.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	5c	3,200$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.6	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	6c	3,063$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.1	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	5c	3,012$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.08	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	2c	3,012$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5c2…1750backed Yes	10c	3,007$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.53	209	7.7%16 W · 193 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-17%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	10c	3,000$313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$313	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes	1c	3,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	108	17.6%19 W · 89 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	+58.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc140…ac80backed Yes	5c	2,500$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121	48	16.7%8 W · 40 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa899…f68dbacked Yes	10c	2,447$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.05	86	10.5%9 W · 77 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3d50…c26bbacked Yes	10c	2,442$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.36	114	16.7%19 W · 95 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4dd3…f0efbacked Yes	13c	2,413$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.6	53	11.3%6 W · 47 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	9c	2,377$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.96	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d87…f9f9backed Yes	11c	2,352$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.65	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ee…6b9bbacked Yes	12c	2,300$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276	54	16.7%9 W · 45 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes	2c	2,250$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	427	19.2%82 W · 345 L	+23.3wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	15c	2,155$326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$326.36	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa417…b13fbacked Yes	1c	2,097$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	3c	2,033$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.43	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	3c	2,000$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	3c	2,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	12c	2,000$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	11c	2,000$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.95	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	5c	1,944$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.79	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	1c	1,928$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa43…d992backed Yes	6c	1,900$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114	134	8.2%11 W · 123 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97fc…229ebacked Yes	9c	1,802$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.43	135	11.9%16 W · 119 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes	11c	1,774$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	105	12.4%13 W · 92 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	8c	1,760$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.62	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x653f…c386backed Yes	8c	1,704$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.78	68	23.5%16 W · 52 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4978…956bbacked Yes	3c	1,702$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	479	8.6%41 W · 438 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9263…1999backed Yes	1c	1,598$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.88	98	1%1 W · 97 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x54c0…a338backed Yes	1c	1,537$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	364	4.7%17 W · 347 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+98.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	1c	1,500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.2	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	8c	1,450$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.39	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Yes	2c	1,439$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	87	5.7%5 W · 82 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-65.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xabb3…0519backed Yes	12c	1,400$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169	64	17.2%11 W · 53 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-14%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	2c	1,372$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.86	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14cf…d019backed Yes	2c	1,325$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.06	78	11.5%9 W · 69 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	5c	1,292$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.69	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd00e…fb86backed Yes	3c	1,270$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	57	19.3%11 W · 46 L	-4.3wins	-0.08per pick	27cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe2b6…9ff5backed Yes	9c	1,247$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.63	84	20.2%17 W · 67 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	2c	1,200$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6f9…fd9dbacked Yes	15c	1,198$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.13	47	14.9%7 W · 40 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-55.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x474c…37d3backed Yes	15c	1,166$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.89	410	17.8%73 W · 337 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca28…ceb2backed Yes	12c	1,154$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137	27	18.5%5 W · 22 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	5c	1,146$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb34…2b09backed Yes	13c	1,120$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	36	13.9%5 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9314…6bd7backed Yes	6c	1,111$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.75	247	10.9%27 W · 220 L	+8.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+44.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc99e…3853backed Yes	6c	1,104$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.02	197	22.8%45 W · 152 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	9c	1,050$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.82	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	6c	1,046$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.89	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	14c	1,043$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45b8…2204backed Yes	6c	1,031$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	27	0%0 W · 27 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f14…026ebacked Yes	10c	1,016$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	24	4.2%1 W · 23 L	-3.7wins	-0.15per pick	20cpaid	-83.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Yes	16c	1,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	188	22.3%42 W · 146 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5468…d4d5backed Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	24cpaid	-75.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event