Mls · resolved market
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe04e2b2f2f9e14c827cccae0e57f2006173baa67f4ae947e850cbafc85d00ac9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $376,367
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $384,993
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $376,367 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Yes | 33c | 149,568$49,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,635.82 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 66c | 96,253$63,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,582.68 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Yes | 35c | 56,594$19,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,786.19 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 65c | 52,646$34,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,352.67 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 66c | 45,733$30,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,258.26 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes | 36c | 37,373$13,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,918.71 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Yes | 36c | 33,086$11,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,174.83 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +115.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 18,928$12,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,380.14 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 54c | 18,397$9,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,955.59 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c94…5939backed No | 66c | 17,556$11,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,522.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc87e…271cbacked No | 65c | 14,604$9,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,492.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yes | 35c | 9,159$3,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,956.63 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 67c | 8,029$5,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,372.03 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 65c | 7,412$4,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,817.75 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 64c | 4,959$3,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,175.23 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 36c | 4,618$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,963 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Yes | 36c | 4,040$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,570.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 36c | 4,040$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,570.1 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0e…718cbacked No | 64c | 3,925$2,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,512 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 64c | 3,500$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240.06 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Yes | 36c | 3,472$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,222.22 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 65c | 3,219$2,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088.82 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 65c | 2,310$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.54 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 65c | 2,197$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.49 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 65c | 2,118$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.21 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked No | 68c | 1,980$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.05 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | +20.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 56c | 1,919$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.52 | 190 | 73.7%140 W · 50 L | +18.6wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 56c | 1,715$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.26 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed No | 72c | 1,712$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.72 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 36c | 1,693$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 26c | 1,665$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.05 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 41c | 1,548$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.58 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 36c | 1,300$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.99 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 66c | 1,198$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.86 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed No | 64c | 1,151$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.85 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 67c | 1,110$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.15 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 71c | 1,045$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.57 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 36c | 956.02$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.85 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed No | 64c | 937.5$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 51c | 901.69$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.39 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 65c | 888.39$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.39 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Yes | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.14 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 65c | 808$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.2 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 76c | 752$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.82 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 65c | 719.04$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.38 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45ec…12eebacked Yes | 35c | 572.63$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +132.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3746…9b06backed Yes | 36c | 558.33$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 24c | 554.78$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.86 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 65c | 533$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.32 | 206 | 48.5%100 W · 106 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 64c | 526.3$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.83 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bc88backed Yes | 48c | 513$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.02 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Yes | 36c | 509.54$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.11 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked No | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed Yes | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 31c | 500$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.15 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 55c | 487.15$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.74 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 30c | 484.83$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.63 | 318 | 34.9%111 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 36c | 434.03$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.78 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 23c | 427.43$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.23 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Yes | 35c | 411.94$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.32 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x852f…3aaebacked Yes | 14c | 379$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +262.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed No | 60c | 357$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.82 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed No | 66c | 328.98$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.94 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed No | 64c | 327$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.28 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 66c | 320.13$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.89 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 36c | 319$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.92 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f04…4e5fbacked No | 67c | 318.43$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.35 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -4.9wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 66c | 303.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 222 | 63.1%140 W · 82 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 33c | 299.92$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.14 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked No | 65c | 297.36$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.1 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb407…2705backed Yes | 36c | 286.82$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd237…e348backed Yes | 35c | 278.63$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +137.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 76c | 278$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.38 | 126 | 67.5%85 W · 41 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…6d55backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +125.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…2075backed No | 64c | 275$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 65c | 249.99$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.49 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Yes | 35c | 246.65$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.32 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 64c | 223.88$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.28 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed No | 67c | 208.96$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked No | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes | 35c | 196.34$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cac…7c50backed Yes | 36c | 191.82$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +174%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed No | 65c | 184.65$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.18 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4c…5c55backed Yes | 35c | 168.47$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.51 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 55c | 167.24$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.82 | 70 | 74.3%52 W · 18 L | +9.4wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +39%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked No | 67c | 159.01$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.95 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed No | 64c | 156.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked No | 65c | 154.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 65c | 153.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will CF Montréal vs. Philadelphia Union end in a draw?No won
- Will CF Montréal win on 2026-04-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.