TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will CF Montréal win on 2026-04-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,337
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,757

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,337 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed No61c27,646$16,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,916.1515647.4%74 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f6e…84b4backed Yes39c4,773$1,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,861.571729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-41.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes40c2,718$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.7497146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Yes37c2,545$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941.712030%6 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes31c2,524$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.6978344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Yes39c2,308$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9003046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e01…0875backed Yes39c2,149$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8381266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+37.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes44c2,020$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.853,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes37c1,773$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.8714761.2%90 W · 57 L+20.8wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+43.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes39c1,691$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.3841339%161 W · 252 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes55c1,467$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.4577751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No58c1,175$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.3247748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes41c1,166$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.8619560%117 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8f1…31a0backed Yes39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes40c986.26$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.9842947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No66c788.75$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.6545140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8e6…b7a6backed Yes38c750.89$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.1530%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc775…6b22backed Yes6c665.9$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.951421.4%3 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick9cpaid+138.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked No64c662$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.325050%25 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No60c565.75$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.38661.6%53 W · 33 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+19.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes41c558.5$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.9523643.6%103 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No60c500$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19839234.4%135 W · 257 L-47.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Yes61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No68c479.58$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.7254949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No61c477.1$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.0753046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes43c468.05$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.1615458.4%90 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ad…b33bbacked No67c456.57$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.441233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes41c449.43$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.2812254.1%66 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Yes41c448.25$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.265250%26 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes41c447.9$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.2614151.8%73 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes41c442.97$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.6122263.1%140 W · 82 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Yes41c442.97$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.616752.2%35 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Yes42c395.97$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.759458.5%55 W · 39 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Yes42c395.97$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.755856.9%33 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No62c392.46$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1491,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Yes40c389.79$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1542646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes33c368.61$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.841,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2494…17b3backed Yes7c346.45$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.254040%16 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00d2…73f9backed Yes44c320.05$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d55…f50cbacked Yes40c294.68$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.872035%7 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0833…bc88backed Yes61c287.54$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.762030%6 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-37.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes38c265$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.714129.8%42 W · 99 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes34c263.37$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.335228.8%15 W · 37 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Yes40c252.35$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006358.7%37 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Yes40c252.35$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005160.8%31 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked No59c237.39$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.339437.2%35 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes47c226.46$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.0448344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes34c216.39$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8852639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No42c210.9$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.0699340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786248.4%30 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked No75c191.9$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5322269.4%154 W · 68 L+31.4wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+33.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Yes60c183.33$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010046%46 W · 54 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No61c180$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.224351.4%125 W · 118 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes39c179.49$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705028%14 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked No62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2910853.7%58 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe363…c894backed No61c150$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.51957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked No59c150$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.512849.2%63 W · 65 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes35c145.84$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8492346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No37c133.73$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.253145.2%14 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+42.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91d9…13f4backed Yes41c122.07$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Yes48c117.59$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.529250%46 W · 46 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes39c116.2$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7796756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4e19…3a62backed Yes65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ce3…6011backed Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes46c98.2$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5512667.5%85 W · 41 L+11.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Yes63c95.6$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.818041.3%33 W · 47 L-11.4wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes38c94$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7210655.7%59 W · 47 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No61c90$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.44959.2%29 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No42c89.61$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5837249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes39c89$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7120648.5%100 W · 106 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed No71c84.01$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.164447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3213…7caebacked Yes62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f46…98fcbacked No38c79.74$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.741136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7663…c9aabacked Yes40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes40c74.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2219255.2%106 W · 86 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Yes46c72.08$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.413345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Yes40c70$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Yes45c69.83$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5310249%50 W · 52 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No54c68.89$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8487154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No58c67$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1437649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No74c66.48$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9617753.1%94 W · 83 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes40c63.11$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3519073.7%140 W · 50 L+18.6wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes58c61.11$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1811454.4%62 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No37c60.98$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4228721.6%62 W · 225 L-29.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes40c59$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.623858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No63c58.51$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6320535.1%72 W · 133 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No35c57.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5724920.9%52 W · 197 L-19.4wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b7a…52c9backed Yes40c57$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.731947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes42c54.38$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6612254.9%67 W · 55 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes42c54.38$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6619056.3%107 W · 83 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No58c52$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.841,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Yes20c51.45$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.292259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+32%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x172d…a6eabacked Yes39c51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0130%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes64c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3244447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccb3…2eadbacked Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Yes38c47$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.863060%18 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes38c47$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.869452.1%49 W · 45 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Yes38c47$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.864959.2%29 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No78c45.88$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0722946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.