TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Oeiras 3: Rebeka Masarova vs Elena Ruxandra Bertea

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rebeka Masarovaof Rebeka Masarova, Elena Ruxandra Bertea
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,710
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,880

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,710 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Elena Ruxandra Bertea13c7,093$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.817,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Elena Ruxandra Bertea17c1,184$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.2897141.4%402 W · 569 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed Elena Ruxandra Bertea13c1,079$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.9620331%63 W · 140 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-36.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Elena Ruxandra Bertea23c1,020$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.681,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed Elena Ruxandra Bertea12c793.09$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7236621.6%79 W · 287 L+1.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Elena Ruxandra Bertea20c636.79$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.364944.9%22 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Elena Ruxandra Bertea19c557.79$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.211,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Elena Ruxandra Bertea18c523.08$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.393,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Elena Ruxandra Bertea13c486.62$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.013,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccbd…f1b7backed Elena Ruxandra Bertea19c351.71$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.8211040.9%45 W · 65 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Elena Ruxandra Bertea18c306.22$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.191,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Rebeka Masarova80c259.43$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.891,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Rebeka Masarova80c247$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.443353.6%232 W · 201 L+32.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x76ef…6559backed Rebeka Masarova79c187.86$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.771154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick66cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Elena Ruxandra Bertea11c162.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6418447.3%87 W · 97 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9bc…377ebacked Elena Ruxandra Bertea31c154.61$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9324918.5%46 W · 203 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Elena Ruxandra Bertea21c133.98$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1329553.2%157 W · 138 L-17.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Elena Ruxandra Bertea11c129.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.171,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e6…f35cbacked Elena Ruxandra Bertea13c120.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.322227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick32cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b86…2107backed Elena Ruxandra Bertea9c119.17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Elena Ruxandra Bertea12c106.09$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7381457%464 W · 350 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Rebeka Masarova73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2736161.8%223 W · 138 L+41.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+25%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Elena Ruxandra Bertea20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,48932.6%486 W · 1,003 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f0c…a98fbacked Rebeka Masarova78c45$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.93762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Rebeka Masarova79c41.04$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.822,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39d…a5e9backed Rebeka Masarova72c40.97$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.473548.6%17 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Rebeka Masarova80c37.05$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.412,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdca9…0898backed Rebeka Masarova80c36.82$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3624965.1%162 W · 87 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0445…8850backed Rebeka Masarova80c34.58$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.922070%14 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick70cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6031…de1ebacked Rebeka Masarova75c30.07$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6211258.9%66 W · 46 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Rebeka Masarova80c29.69$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.941,10352.9%583 W · 520 L+2.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa93…a0c9backed Rebeka Masarova78c28.96$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.277562.7%47 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9e7…c067backed Rebeka Masarova76c25.8$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.088769%60 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Rebeka Masarova78c23.77$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.282,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ae…f71ebacked Rebeka Masarova78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.439039.5%154 W · 236 L-46.8wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-30.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x06f9…3978backed Rebeka Masarova78c17.73$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.823237.5%12 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed Rebeka Masarova72c16.18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.5314958.4%87 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.