MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x600f38d80c2f97f8fd2a82ca7b672b1691d075d7346f2702e7daa5ac1c5af536
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Diamondbacksof Arizona Diamondbacks, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,622,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,615,073
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,622,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 514 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 567,755$227,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340,652.84 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…b89ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 483,976$290,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290,385.62 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.38per pick | 52cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b6…13acbacked Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 379,737$231,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231,639.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 323,874$126,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197,563.02 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f0…bad3backed Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 179,584$107,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107,750.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 129,978$51,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,085 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 86,500$34,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,035 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 69,964$41,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,841.47 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 64,158$37,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,475.02 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 32,020$19,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,532 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 30,743$12,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,517.11 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 30,060$11,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,073.33 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 25,283$10,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,861.81 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 22,222$13,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,333.2 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 73c | 20,145$14,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,470.69 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 14,630$8,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,618.16 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 13,047$5,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,828.07 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 12,385$5,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,329.72 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 12,000$5,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,839.99 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 10,950$4,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,482.47 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 10,440$5,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,950.89 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 10,273$6,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,259.74 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Baltimore Orioles | 27c | 10,064$2,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,707.76 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,099.99 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 9,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 8,610$3,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,165.99 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe934…640bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 8,579$5,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,147.17 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.4wins | -0.31per pick | 53cpaid | -58%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 8,346$4,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,991.79 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 7,214$4,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,594.82 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 6,223$2,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,457.3 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 5,928$2,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,596.8 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 5,756$2,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,439.82 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 5,655$2,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,279.76 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 32c | 5,643$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,861.06 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…6a37backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 26c | 5,266$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,918.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +290.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 36c | 5,002$1,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,181.43 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 4,882$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,929.17 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 67c | 4,775$3,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,183.7 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 4,066$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550.52 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f62…e744backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 69c | 4,059$2,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 3,616$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.48 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 3,571$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,071.18 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 30c | 3,399$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,391.1 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 3,066$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.89 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 2,960$1,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730.86 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 2,930$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.18 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 2,681$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.92 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 2,679$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.57 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 2,488$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.57 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Baltimore Orioles | 14c | 2,430$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.43 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c1…2e70backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 2,413$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 2,397$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.07 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 2,279$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.61 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Baltimore Orioles | 63c | 2,230$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.67 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 2,222$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.67 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 2,154$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335.25 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 32c | 2,000$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 69c | 1,996$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.77 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 1,928$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.8 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 1,841$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.27 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 1,809$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.03 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Baltimore Orioles | 8c | 1,800$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.56 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 25c | 1,648$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.81 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 1,528$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.96 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 1,483$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.91 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 1,447$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.67 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 72c | 1,354$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.08 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d04…022bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 29c | 1,335$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.25 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Baltimore Orioles | 76c | 1,297$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.6 | 250 | 66.4%166 W · 84 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 1,272$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.69 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 1,244$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.21 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…0162backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 23c | 1,244$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.95 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x047c…3ce4backed Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 1,220$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 1,203$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.03 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 1,196$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.84 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 1,193$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.08 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Baltimore Orioles | 16c | 1,187$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.92 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 1,176$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.04 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 1,127$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.67 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7630…5275backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 1,126$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 1,120$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.7 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 17c | 1,118$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.84 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…deb5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 1,103$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 44cpaid | +130.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…b52abacked Baltimore Orioles | 14c | 1,071$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 63c | 1,049$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.04 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 228 | 51.3%117 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…7bdabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd9…ea45backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 999.99$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 999.95$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.97 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa68…94a7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 80c | 988$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.6 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…f1c3backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 982.29$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.19 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 964$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.4 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 31c | 958.55$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.18 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 69c | 953.5$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.43 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 943.47$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.08 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore OriolesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.