MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e871c46b1326278802811b77f7678c229dbe21f9821a8c03039fbe0309b2a83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,018
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,586
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,018 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 56c | 34,442$19,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,267.08 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 14,922$6,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,116.35 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 44c | 11,871$5,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,647.9 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Under | 54c | 11,679$6,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,306.43 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf1…86b5backed Over | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 29c | 6,780$1,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,973.46 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 44c | 3,989$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,234.01 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 44c | 3,955$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,214.63 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6447…8075backed Over | 44c | 3,294$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.88 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 44c | 2,976$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,676.26 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 55c | 2,737$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.08 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8daf…ef60backed Over | 44c | 2,100$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +124.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 44c | 1,753$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.36 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 45c | 1,716$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.29 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…78bfbacked Under | 57c | 1,642$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.78 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…0b30backed Over | 44c | 1,231$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Over | 44c | 1,198$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.71 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.79 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 29c | 1,152$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.17 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 44c | 1,098$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.98 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 46c | 1,088$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.52 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Over | 43c | 1,083$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.7 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 29c | 1,052$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.13 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 46c | 1,050$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd22c…287dbacked Over | 44c | 1,001$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a91…0776backed Over | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 46c | 855$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.7 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 44c | 652.32$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.3 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Over | 47c | 580.92$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.89 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 46c | 576.23$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.16 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Over | 44c | 555.68$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.18 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b98…2919backed Over | 44c | 527.13$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Over | 47c | 516.41$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.38 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -8.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 45c | 484.55$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.46 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 29c | 478.7$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.82 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 44c | 478.69$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.07 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 44c | 383.66$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.85 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 43c | 348.83$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.83 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Under | 29c | 342.35$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.28 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac4…a601backed Over | 44c | 329.45$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.49 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 46c | 321.02$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.38 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Under | 57c | 297.85$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.77 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 43c | 293.21$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.28 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 47c | 290.46$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.94 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 29c | 274.71$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.66 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2430…4527backed Under | 58c | 265.94$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.58 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 56c | 260$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.6 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 56c | 250$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.75 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Under | 29c | 248.48$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.63 | 430 | 43%185 W · 245 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 43c | 238.58$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.96 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Under | 38c | 217.9$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.59 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 54c | 208.09$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.37 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Over | 47c | 206$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6b…6b56backed Under | 57c | 194.84$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.06 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 58c | 179.43$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.49 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 30c | 141.76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.15 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Under | 63c | 126.71$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.33 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 45c | 117.97$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.24 | 283 | 52.3%148 W · 135 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 43c | 112$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.84 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…cf78backed Over | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.79 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9101…78ddbacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 99.04$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 64c | 83.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Under | 55c | 82.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.25 | 335 | 47.5%159 W · 176 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 42c | 81.03$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 42c | 80.18$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.14 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…0888backed Under | 33c | 78.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d824backed Over | 47c | 74.53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Under | 29c | 64.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa45b…df27backed Under | 57c | 61.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 45c | 58.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…1203backed Over | 44c | 54.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +45%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Over | 46c | 52.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Under | 56c | 51.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Under | 57c | 51.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 252 | 56.7%143 W · 109 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…0db6backed Over | 46c | 51.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Over | 44c | 49.12$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cec…7c61backed Over | 45c | 47.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 50c | 46.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdba8…5d91backed Under | 56c | 46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 226 | 50.4%114 W · 112 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Under | 55c | 46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1477…29b6backed Under | 56c | 45.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…b579backed Over | 44c | 44.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 43c | 44.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 46c | 42.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…3d24backed Over | 44c | 42.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 58c | 42.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe045…972ebacked Over | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 30c | 38.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 54c | 35.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Over | 31c | 35.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fad…a796backed Under | 57c | 35.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Under | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…0a81backed Over | 47c | 33.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 56c | 32.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5this page
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee BrewersToronto Blue Jays won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee BrewersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.