MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9596c480db12855dd5e40268403484f1a2de01fe8188745e3587ed9e349c6ba2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Blue Jaysof Toronto Blue Jays, Milwaukee Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $412,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $427,246
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $412,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 350 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 47,611$22,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,233.65 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 42,058$22,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,291 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 36,672$19,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,436 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 25,602$12,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,510.98 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 23,014$10,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,197.54 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 15,803$8,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,523.45 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 10,766$4,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,788.89 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Toronto Blue Jays | 37c | 10,153$3,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,411.83 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 9,534$5,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,243.93 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…f49ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 7,887$3,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,258.79 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 6,180$2,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,275.4 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 72c | 5,797$4,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,166.08 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 5,762$3,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,016.84 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 5,742$3,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,472.05 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf402…df7cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 4,964$3,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,077.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 4,813$2,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,553.93 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 4,393$2,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,297.34 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 3,746$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.93 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 3,558$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,882.47 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 3,367$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.46 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 3,000$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 2,969$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.77 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 2,716$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.58 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 37c | 2,524$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.37 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Milwaukee Brewers | 24c | 2,432$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.58 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 2,344$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.55 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Milwaukee Brewers | 26c | 2,183$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.16 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Milwaukee Brewers | 34c | 2,149$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.53 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 2,125$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.94 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 2,079$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.73 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.99 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 1,938$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.55 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 1,933$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.86 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 65c | 1,863$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 1,753$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.19 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 1,685$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.06 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 1,685$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.77 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 26c | 1,675$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.54 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed Toronto Blue Jays | 77c | 1,666$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.47 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 1,563$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.89 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 1,557$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.93 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a00…8734backed Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 1,508$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.55 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 1,467$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.89 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Milwaukee Brewers | 13c | 1,288$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.79 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Toronto Blue Jays | 65c | 1,276$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.46 | 268 | 57.8%155 W · 113 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x047c…3ce4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 1,257$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.08 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 12c | 1,252$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.37 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 1,132$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.62 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 1,128$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.17 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…9a62backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 1,086$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.25 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 1,060$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.15 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 12c | 1,057$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.19 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 967.6$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.5 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 916.79$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.9 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9390backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 916.79$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.9 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d3…aafbbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 11c | 916.2$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.68 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 884.55$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.5 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Milwaukee Brewers | 13c | 877.73$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.85 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Milwaukee Brewers | 9c | 877.7$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.51 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 859.5$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.15 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 857.83$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.15 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 854.62$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.44 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 72c | 787.09$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.8 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3dd…cdaebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 763.72$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.3 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 754.85$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.52 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b46…82e2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 749.62$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.76 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 708.18$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.63 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 646.56$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.68 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e60…536bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 16c | 630.91$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.95 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 629.98$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.59 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 623.9$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.66 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 605.94$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.21 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 600.04$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.52 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbd…de14backed Toronto Blue Jays | 11c | 589.65$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x102c…664bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 579.94$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.67 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 567.53$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.79 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 14c | 558.94$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.57 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 541.96$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.42 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 530.14$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.39 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1880…a421backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 527.16$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.39 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 525.87$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.97 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 522.05$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.93 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 520$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.2 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 509.22$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.89 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 504.58$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.38 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 501.12$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.16 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Toronto Blue Jays | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 374 | 44.4%166 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 500$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.5 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff72…6146backed Toronto Blue Jays | 9c | 500$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 485.9$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.53 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 484.4$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.89 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 482.38$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.57 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 9c | 478.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 478.66$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.03 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 447.08$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.53 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cd…39abbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 13c | 433.11$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.24 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 420.7$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.18 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 419.68$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.64 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…ebdbbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 415.9$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.59 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewersthis page
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee BrewersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.