MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27137e3c42507914a3a8e20bd00dcb97ba79b872dca037bd018c35bf3dad7246
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $140,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $171,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Under | 47c | 60,531$28,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,449.8 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Over | 53c | 31,990$16,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,035.91 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 20,640$10,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,355.41 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 53c | 13,608$7,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,395.55 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 49c | 10,746$5,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,265.48 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Over | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb3…8ed1backed Over | 51c | 4,397$2,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,154.35 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Under | 42c | 3,649$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531.86 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 45c | 3,205$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.27 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 57c | 2,860$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.43 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 57c | 2,466$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.68 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Under | 46c | 1,988$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.38 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 46c | 1,800$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.98 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 54c | 1,623$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.72 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Under | 61c | 1,601$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.6 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 53c | 1,512$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.93 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 61c | 1,361$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.11 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 53c | 1,153$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.97 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Under | 46c | 1,074$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.85 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 48c | 999.98$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 54c | 991.4$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.09 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 53c | 991$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.77 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 58c | 940$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.02 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Over | 49c | 883.48$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.58 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 50c | 826.54$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.27 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Under | 49c | 749.86$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.58 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 51c | 686.98$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.36 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 48c | 661.25$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.4 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 57c | 584.52$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.34 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Under | 36c | 505.59$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.72 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 55c | 439.73$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 412.73$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.98 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 58c | 408.28$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.44 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 50c | 367.31$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.77 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 56c | 365.27$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.49 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad77…3d8ebacked Under | 49c | 338.3$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.77 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 55c | 312.84$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.69 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 55c | 284$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.8 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac4…a601backed Over | 52c | 280.15$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.47 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…089fbacked Over | 57c | 275.43$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 55c | 261.2$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.59 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 50c | 249.2$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.76 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Under | 61c | 240.15$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.49 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 46c | 202$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.47 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x428d…8cb6backed Under | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 50c | 191.28$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.64 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 40c | 142.18$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.79 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Under | 47c | 113.27$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.75 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 54c | 94.59$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.51 | 335 | 47.5%159 W · 176 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Over | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 50c | 79.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.51 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 53c | 77.46$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.02 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 53c | 75.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.63 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 34c | 69.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Over | 48c | 65.28$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 54c | 59.97$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Over | 58c | 55.78$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Under | 47c | 54.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Over | 50c | 52.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…a8dabacked Under | 46c | 52.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 51c | 49.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Over | 72c | 46.79$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 238 | 54.2%129 W · 109 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Over | 72c | 46.61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 304 | 54.3%165 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Over | 72c | 46.61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 221 | 54.3%120 W · 101 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Over | 72c | 46.61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06f9…3978backed Under | 49c | 44.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdba8…5d91backed Under | 48c | 41.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 226 | 50.4%114 W · 112 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 66c | 39.79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Over | 52c | 38.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 46c | 38.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Under | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x669b…6557backed Over | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Over | 49c | 35.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d824backed Under | 46c | 33.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 57c | 33.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ee…0f22backed Over | 50c | 32.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b98…2919backed Over | 52c | 30.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb94…7bc0backed Over | 55c | 29.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Over | 49c | 29.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 457 | 49%224 W · 233 L | -14.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Over | 54c | 27.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 52c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 48c | 26.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 68c | 26.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…98f2backed Under | 46c | 25.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 50c | 23.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Over | 53c | 23.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 53c | 23.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 283 | 52.3%148 W · 135 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fe…b153backed Over | 54c | 22.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5db7…a264backed Under | 61c | 20.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecd8…560ebacked Over | 52c | 19.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Over | 55c | 19.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Over | 53c | 19.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3dd…cdaebacked Over | 56c | 18.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe437…72c7backed Under | 61c | 16.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.7wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5this page
- Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia PhilliesChicago Cubs won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia PhilliesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.