TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe437…72c7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: WNBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 53 out of 100; worst MLB at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT2832.1%9 W · 19 L-5.7wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-38.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
MLB — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.98
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$12.74
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.29
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$15.28
New York Mets vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.61
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.67
Seattle Mariners vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.02
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.25
Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$19.06
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.28
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Metsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.62
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.24
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.14
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$11.78
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$13.27
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$10.27
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.81
Texas Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.25
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.57
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$3.51
Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.37
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT2236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stuttgart Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoebacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.69
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Katie Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$38.19
Libema Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.06
HSBC Championships: Karolina Pliskova vs McCartney Kesslerbacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.72
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Paula Badosabacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Stuttgart Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$10.64
Libema Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Robin Montgomerybacked Robin Montgomery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$20.68
Little Rock: Johannus Monday vs Aidan Mayobacked Aidan Mayo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$13.03
Set Handicap: Khachanov (-1.5) vs Jong (+1.5)backed Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.82
Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Mensik (+1.5)backed Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.98
Set Handicap: Jodar (-1.5) vs Michelsen (+1.5)backed Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.49
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Emma Navarro vs Ann Libacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Emma Navarro vs Iva Jovicbacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Veronika Podrezbacked Elisabetta Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.04
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Elise Mertensbacked Elise Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
Busan: August Holmgren vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.24
Busan: Liam Broady vs Ilya Ivashkabacked Ilya Ivashka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.19
Busan: Sho Shimabukuro vs Beibit Zhukayevbacked Sho Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.93
Santa Cruz: Nicolas Villalon vs Santiago Rodriguez Tavernabacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
Santa Cruz: Pedro Sakamoto vs Juan Bautista Torresbacked Juan Bautista Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+65.2%+$7.81
Barcelona Open: Mariano Navone vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$8.28
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.25per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.19
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.99
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H Moneylinebacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.24
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.83
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.75
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$12.97
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$18.14
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.43
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.45
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.75
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.03
All 13 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.92
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.46
Chicago Sky vs. Toronto Tempobacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFirebacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$22.4
Dallas Wings vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$12.37
Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Skybacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.29
Dallas Wings vs. New York Libertybacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+105.7%+$13.11
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.34
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$16.48
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Predatorsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$11.14
Kraken vs. Golden Knightsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Kings vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$14.69
Canadiens vs. Flyersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.54
All 4 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$16.43
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.07
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$31.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.