MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb13083a7590728820c295ec8633f90b61db11427eff65c54735ced5f4de22c9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof New York Mets, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $562,692
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $659,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $562,692 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 334 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked New York Mets | 46c | 100,000$46,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,999.9 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 78,818$42,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,225.45 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 64,522$33,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,615.94 | 552 | 53.1%293 W · 259 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed New York Mets | 47c | 40,000$18,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,800 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked New York Mets | 46c | 39,923$18,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,364.51 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 28,474$14,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,964.08 | 925 | 54.1%500 W · 425 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Mets | 48c | 25,506$12,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,327.63 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked New York Mets | 0c | 23,565$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.22 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked New York Mets | 49c | 21,576$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,500 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 17,532$9,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,284.82 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Mets | 52c | 14,073$7,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,317.91 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 11,486$6,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,274.34 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 11,392$5,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,696 | 505 | 53.5%270 W · 235 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 9,359$5,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,331.04 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 9,329$4,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,723.06 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,259.26 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Mets | 38c | 8,386$3,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,207.02 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Mets | 48c | 8,172$3,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,957.44 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed New York Mets | 48c | 7,895$3,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,789.6 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 7,610$4,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,452.83 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 6,516$3,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,996.29 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 6,040$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,080.4 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Mets | 50c | 5,517$2,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,758.74 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf00…b112backed New York Mets | 47c | 5,495$2,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,582.59 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 5,440$3,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.5 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 5,426$2,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,495.96 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed New York Mets | 47c | 5,320$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.4 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 4,630$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.63 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 4,528$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,097.26 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed New York Mets | 48c | 3,896$1,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,878.06 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed New York Mets | 51c | 3,891$1,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.5 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New York Mets | 46c | 3,852$1,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,783.38 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Mets | 41c | 3,298$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.56 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed New York Mets | 33c | 3,000$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed New York Mets | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.96 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Mets | 45c | 2,791$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.59 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 2,558$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.64 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed New York Mets | 41c | 2,550$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.03 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbee2…6527backed New York Mets | 40c | 2,510$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed New York Mets | 38c | 2,461$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.95 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2db…859bbacked New York Mets | 50c | 2,427$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed New York Mets | 33c | 2,406$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.35 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c9…0733backed New York Mets | 50c | 2,137$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed New York Mets | 46c | 2,036$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.64 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked New York Mets | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.98 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Mets | 42c | 1,861$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.74 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets | 49c | 1,754$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.43 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e86…cb8fbacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 1,558$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.48 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb19c…0e99backed New York Mets | 52c | 1,380$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2f…3709backed New York Mets | 50c | 1,324$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 1,306$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.25 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 1,300$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598 | 247 | 39.3%97 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 1,292$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.63 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked New York Mets | 42c | 1,287$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.47 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed New York Mets | 40c | 1,225$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.58 | 347 | 51%177 W · 170 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 1,210$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.26 | 451 | 59.2%267 W · 184 L | +30.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 874 | 53%463 W · 411 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ab…8cefbacked New York Mets | 50c | 1,171$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed New York Mets | 41c | 1,138$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.59 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…645abacked New York Mets | 50c | 1,122$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.81 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 1,115$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.98 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 710 | 44.5%316 W · 394 L | -23.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b4…c1ffbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 1,001$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed New York Mets | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea6…180dbacked New York Mets | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed New York Mets | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed New York Mets | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked New York Mets | 46c | 999.99$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.99 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed New York Mets | 51c | 988.5$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.57 | 2,588 | 61.5%1,591 W · 997 L | +72.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed New York Mets | 20c | 966.59$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.32 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -6.8wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed New York Mets | 50c | 871.45$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.09 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 812.43$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.34 | 119 | 48.7%58 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 803.32$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.56 | 205 | 55.6%114 W · 91 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Miami Marlins | 61c | 800$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.36 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed New York Mets | 48c | 765.43$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.4 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked New York Mets | 38c | 709.36$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.13 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked New York Mets | 50c | 681.39$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.61 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 650$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed New York Mets | 45c | 637$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.65 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +16.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed New York Mets | 50c | 634.8$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.4 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed New York Mets | 39c | 611.54$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.71 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed New York Mets | 46c | 584$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.64 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 574.07$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.07 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 189 | 58.7%111 W · 78 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed New York Mets | 20c | 549.95$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.04 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed New York Mets | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed New York Mets | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +31.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ee…2e1dbacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 459.77$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.47 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 446.11$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.47 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…712dbacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 445$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.7 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked New York Mets | 47c | 440.43$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked New York Mets | 50c | 433$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.11 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed New York Mets | 42c | 424.96$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.77 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked New York Mets | 49c | 419$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.31 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed New York Mets | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbae0…2147backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked New York Mets | 47c | 395.74$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 741 | 43.5%322 W · 419 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. Miami Marlinsthis page
- New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 10.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 11.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Miami MarlinsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.