Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Khachanov (-1.5) vs Jong (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe57f78bf37b7641eeb6e57bcc540b5fe8c1c5f8641a5e312b4ee00301b5e3d07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jongof Khachanov, Jong
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,753
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,747
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,753 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Khachanov | 59c | 16,837$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Jong | 40c | 11,415$4,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,848.97 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Jong | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Jong | 43c | 1,241$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.35 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Khachanov | 57c | 1,228$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Jong | 42c | 1,106$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.47 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Khachanov | 35c | 1,002$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.32 | 354 | 39.8%141 W · 213 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Jong | 41c | 854$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.86 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Jong | 44c | 760.79$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.04 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Jong | 42c | 666$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.28 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Khachanov | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 357 | 55.5%198 W · 159 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Khachanov | 58c | 513.07$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.58 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Khachanov | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 434 | 49.1%213 W · 221 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Jong | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Khachanov | 59c | 314.26$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.6 | 542 | 49.3%267 W · 275 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Jong | 70c | 225$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Jong | 42c | 200$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Jong | 41c | 172$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.48 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Jong | 43c | 140$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Jong | 41c | 131.16$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.16 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3af…6da8backed Khachanov | 58c | 127.59$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Jong | 42c | 120$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5c…f951backed Khachanov | 58c | 105.28$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.06 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…bb1dbacked Khachanov | 55c | 102.73$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Jong | 42c | 102$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.16 | 138 | 60.9%84 W · 54 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Jong | 49c | 101.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.54 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Jong | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 361 | 61.8%223 W · 138 L | +41.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Jong | 70c | 97.14$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Jong | 44c | 81.82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 814 | 57%464 W · 350 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Jong | 42c | 81.4$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.21 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Jong | 40c | 56.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.96 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b52…8ceebacked Khachanov | 50c | 56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Jong | 50c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 263 | 55.1%145 W · 118 L | +36.9wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Jong | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Jong | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Khachanov | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 158 | 37.3%59 W · 99 L | -19.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Jong | 42c | 33.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 457 | 51%233 W · 224 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Jong | 44c | 31.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Jong | 70c | 30.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe437…72c7backed Khachanov | 57c | 29.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52ab…ecebbacked Khachanov | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Khachanov | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 593 | 66.8%396 W · 197 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Khachanov (-1.5) vs Jong (+1.5)this page
- Karen Khachanov vs. Jesper de Jong: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Khachanov vs. Jong: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de JongJesper de Jong won
- Set 1 Winner: Khachanov vs JongJong won
- Set Handicap: Khachanov (-2.5) vs Jong (+2.5)Jong won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.