Tennis · resolved market
Khachanov vs. Jong: Match O/U 36.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa94f4375110543416e74d4f24b76e665301754b2eb82c5188f68cb85ebf72616
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,309
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,514
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,309 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Over | 56c | 1,790$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.09 | 600 | 53.8%323 W · 277 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 44c | 1,134$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.96 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 50c | 895.08$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.54 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 44c | 794.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.8 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c3…60d9backed Over | 56c | 627.12$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.03 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Over | 55c | 335$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.05 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 45c | 217.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.22 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…4ed7backed Over | 54c | 183.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.64 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b5…b370backed Over | 55c | 183.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 46c | 164.81$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.81 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.47 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Over | 54c | 59.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.39 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Under | 45c | 29.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 54c | 29.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 46c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 157 | 45.9%72 W · 85 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Khachanov vs. Jong: Match O/U 36.5this page
- Karen Khachanov vs. Jesper de Jong: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de JongJesper de Jong won
- Set 1 Winner: Khachanov vs JongJong won
- Set Handicap: Khachanov (-1.5) vs Jong (+1.5)Jong won
- Set Handicap: Khachanov (-2.5) vs Jong (+2.5)Jong won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.