Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Khachanov vs Jong
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5917877e4e184c94ba0f894bbc262d7e26c5fc90a9c95e2aeebc2c29c396a4f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jongof Khachanov, Jong
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,827
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,827 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x87b1…7da1backed Jong | 49c | 840$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.46 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.28per pick | 30cpaid | +199.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f55…2181backed Khachanov | 69c | 809.77$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Khachanov | 48c | 800$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.68 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Jong | 53c | 754.45$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.59 | 325 | 54.2%176 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Khachanov | 48c | 315$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.11 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Khachanov | 44c | 311.78$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.3 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Jong | 51c | 210.7$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.71 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Jong | 50c | 200.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.2 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a8…b1f7backed Khachanov | 59c | 188.14$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 287 | 38.3%110 W · 177 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585e…019fbacked Khachanov | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Jong | 32c | 101$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.68 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Jong | 52c | 92.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 512 | 36.5%187 W · 325 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1074…a25dbacked Jong | 58c | 85.28$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…cd4ebacked Jong | 45c | 84.44$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Jong | 41c | 80.49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.49 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Jong | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…5e62backed Khachanov | 52c | 48.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 239 | 32.6%78 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed Khachanov | 49c | 39.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Jong | 61c | 31.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Khachanov | 51c | 29.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Khachanov | 64c | 25.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a96…9e10backed Jong | 40c | 25.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Khachanov vs Jongthis page
- Karen Khachanov vs. Jesper de Jong: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Khachanov vs. Jong: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de JongJesper de Jong won
- Set Handicap: Khachanov (-1.5) vs Jong (+1.5)Jong won
- Set Handicap: Khachanov (-2.5) vs Jong (+2.5)Jong won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.