Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Mensik (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51b29e81d58665fdb3bf48cd3c69d953645b099787b59444c07f117ba1e4d5d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mensikof Minaur, Mensik
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,785
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,691
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,785 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Minaur | 70c | 17,225$11,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,994.45 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Mensik | 31c | 12,148$3,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,382.12 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Mensik | 37c | 4,667$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,917.17 | 363 | 46.8%170 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Minaur | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,889.99 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Mensik | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.98 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Mensik | 37c | 809.87$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.5 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Minaur | 66c | 697.72$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.5 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Mensik | 31c | 681$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.94 | 342 | 42.4%145 W · 197 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Minaur | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 354 | 39.8%141 W · 213 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Minaur | 69c | 454$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.56 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Mensik | 19c | 440$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.2 | 174 | 36.8%64 W · 110 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Mensik | 31c | 424$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.56 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a24…a0fdbacked Minaur | 66c | 400$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 138 | 38.4%53 W · 85 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Mensik | 33c | 363.28$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.4 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked Minaur | 67c | 343.28$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Mensik | 15c | 327$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.26 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 18cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…b09bbacked Minaur | 66c | 300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Minaur | 61c | 299.99$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.99 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Minaur | 62c | 296.89$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.7 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Mensik | 36c | 250$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Mensik | 34c | 172.79$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.04 | 346 | 55.2%191 W · 155 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked Mensik | 17c | 160.54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49e9…8588backed Minaur | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Minaur | 64c | 114.28$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.11 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Minaur | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 250 | 51.2%128 W · 122 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Mensik | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Mensik | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Mensik | 34c | 90$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Minaur | 68c | 73.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…780ebacked Minaur | 68c | 73.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Mensik | 39c | 72.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Mensik | 33c | 67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.62 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Minaur | 44c | 65.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Minaur | 65c | 60.62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…7661backed Minaur | 65c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 233 | 52.8%123 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Minaur | 50c | 58.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Mensik | 32c | 50.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 437 | 43.7%191 W · 246 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Mensik | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Minaur | 31c | 43.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 263 | 55.1%145 W · 118 L | +36.9wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0417…9248backed Mensik | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Minaur | 44c | 34.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e77…303fbacked Minaur | 65c | 30.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 158 | 56.3%89 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…5e3dbacked Minaur | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Minaur | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Minaur | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 593 | 66.8%396 W · 197 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe437…72c7backed Minaur | 67c | 25.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Minaur | 62c | 20.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Minaur | 68c | 16.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd781…daacbacked Minaur | 66c | 16.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…d613backed Minaur | 66c | 16.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Mensik (+1.5)this page
- Alex de Minaur vs. Jakub Mensik: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Alex de Minaur vs. Jakub Mensik: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Minaur vs. Mensik: Match O/U 36.5Under won
- Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub MensikJakub Mensik won
- Set 1 Winner: Minaur vs MensikMinaur won
- Set Handicap: Minaur (-2.5) vs Mensik (+2.5)Mensik won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.