TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Chicago Skyof Connecticut Sun, Chicago Sky
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$389,980
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$409,619

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $389,980 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bff…fc26backed Chicago Sky71c135,001$95,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,087.928937.1%33 W · 56 L-8.9wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Connecticut Sun30c50,193$15,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,050.1513950.4%70 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Connecticut Sun28c31,500$8,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,96014450.7%73 W · 71 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Connecticut Sun28c15,227$4,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,263.572365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Connecticut Sun43c14,506$6,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,184.961,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Chicago Sky57c12,354$7,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,304.91825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-61.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Connecticut Sun37c11,356$4,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,197.5778548.8%383 W · 402 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Connecticut Sun51c10,931$5,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,554.899548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Connecticut Sun29c10,659$3,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,062.8183748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Chicago Sky71c10,563$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,063.383745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Connecticut Sun29c7,163$2,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,075.1240550.9%206 W · 199 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Connecticut Sun21c5,170$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.3734726.5%92 W · 255 L-20.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Connecticut Sun1c5,000$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.544915.6%70 W · 379 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Connecticut Sun29c5,000$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4504766%31 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Chicago Sky35c4,995$1,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,246.729318.3%17 W · 76 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Chicago Sky36c4,844$1,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,113.624450%22 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Connecticut Sun37c4,563$1,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,707.3189349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Connecticut Sun28c4,076$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.1119428.9%56 W · 138 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Connecticut Sun30c3,726$1,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.7746247%217 W · 245 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6569…a053backed Connecticut Sun11c3,549$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.53432.4%11 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf807…c5dcbacked Connecticut Sun9c3,265$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.581717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-68.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Connecticut Sun1c3,190$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.99642.7%41 W · 55 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Connecticut Sun48c2,809$1,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,338.791,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Connecticut Sun65c2,716$1,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,765.2350952.5%267 W · 242 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbae4…50febacked Connecticut Sun67c2,549$1,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,707.76714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.41per pick55cpaid-82%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Connecticut Sun29c2,300$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66714353.8%77 W · 66 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Chicago Sky74c2,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5201947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6f2…b422backed Chicago Sky53c1,890$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.36956.5%39 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Connecticut Sun15c1,832$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.812045%54 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Connecticut Sun38c1,697$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.982138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd24f…d0a8backed Chicago Sky57c1,651$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.811758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Connecticut Sun43c1,645$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.435050%25 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32e3…3a5cbacked Connecticut Sun25c1,618$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.146746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Connecticut Sun31c1,541$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.2936750.7%186 W · 181 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Chicago Sky64c1,457$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.6114346.2%66 W · 77 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Chicago Sky70c1,457$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.013839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Connecticut Sun43c1,412$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.39129.7%27 W · 64 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Connecticut Sun29c1,369$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.2719458.2%113 W · 81 L+12.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Connecticut Sun29c1,133$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.674047.5%19 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb240…df51backed Connecticut Sun65c1,108$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.59366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7e5…fe31backed Connecticut Sun1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Chicago Sky66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3401637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-32.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Connecticut Sun28c999.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Connecticut Sun26c977.92$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.5132049.4%158 W · 162 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Connecticut Sun27c967$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.827431.1%23 W · 51 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-34.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed Chicago Sky70c961.43$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.434763.8%30 W · 17 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Connecticut Sun43c871.26$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.31741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Connecticut Sun44c835.17$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.6738744.7%173 W · 214 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Connecticut Sun2c800$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14960%0 W · 96 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Chicago Sky70c791.66$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.52152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2bf…04d7backed Connecticut Sun31c760.01$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.61668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+35.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Chicago Sky70c714.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.2922967.7%155 W · 74 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0094…eea5backed Connecticut Sun19c700.33$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.54140%0 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Chicago Sky41c690.85$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.614942.3%63 W · 86 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Connecticut Sun28c648.7$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.47240.3%29 W · 43 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x884a…2f2abacked Connecticut Sun41c642.43$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.031546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-32.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Connecticut Sun61c619.52$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.916055%33 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4fe…b350backed Connecticut Sun59c600$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3525942.4%25 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99c4…0cccbacked Connecticut Sun25c600$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.56540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+176.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Connecticut Sun18c593.97$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.4431043.2%134 W · 176 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Chicago Sky52c564.79$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.3715250.7%77 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b23…fafcbacked Connecticut Sun31c550$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.5520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-64.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Chicago Sky70c542.47$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.749549.5%47 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Connecticut Sun39c521.97$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.25538.2%21 W · 34 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf5…31f9backed Chicago Sky36c502.75$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.761050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3e6…ef53backed Connecticut Sun44c487.02$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Connecticut Sun36c433.32$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.2531448.4%152 W · 162 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Connecticut Sun29c431$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9913024.6%32 W · 98 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Connecticut Sun16c428$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1921446.3%99 W · 115 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Connecticut Sun74c425$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.625364.2%34 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Chicago Sky71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.542572%18 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde7d…499ebacked Chicago Sky59c410.7$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.963732.4%12 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-34.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b66…02edbacked Connecticut Sun70c400$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce37…a2d6backed Connecticut Sun29c400$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1161723.5%4 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Chicago Sky72c365.46$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.2455255.1%304 W · 248 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Connecticut Sun23c354.42$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.951414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-79.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Connecticut Sun60c343.64$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.759355.9%52 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacf8…e791backed Connecticut Sun29c340.07$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.884829.2%14 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Connecticut Sun28c329.19$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.013941%16 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e0b…1435backed Chicago Sky55c328.69$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.053243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Connecticut Sun23c313$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.941936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Connecticut Sun38c312.01$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.092615.4%4 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-61.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Connecticut Sun28c307.71$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.1611840.7%48 W · 70 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-32.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x886f…aa8fbacked Chicago Sky70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.712138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c30…34f5backed Connecticut Sun64c269.53$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.52965.5%19 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick70cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6249…cee9backed Chicago Sky77c238.94$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.017100%7 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+68.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Connecticut Sun30c200.9$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.279651%49 W · 47 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc243…22c8backed Chicago Sky56c199.99$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+37.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe187…a69cbacked Connecticut Sun58c197.4$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.45766.7%38 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Chicago Sky43c196.42$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.121440.7%87 W · 127 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Connecticut Sun24c190.95$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9541147%193 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Chicago Sky58c187.85$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.8218746%86 W · 101 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a24…90a1backed Chicago Sky71c183.1$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.13262.5%20 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c4c…9f95backed Chicago Sky56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.573036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Connecticut Sun72c174.76$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.0961042.5%259 W · 351 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x210a…1080backed Connecticut Sun18c172.29$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.52728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x88fb…db3abacked Connecticut Sun30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503050%15 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…6e9bbacked Connecticut Sun18c166.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+34.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Connecticut Sun27c166.17$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1411841.5%49 W · 69 L+0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Chicago Sky31c163.39$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.39908.9%8 W · 82 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-54%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.