WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Chicago Sky (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6261dfd84c160271611b10e7efe493d00bd752f83af442deb716d8bcc8abd601
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Connecticut Sunof Chicago Sky, Connecticut Sun
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,115
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,558
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,115 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 10,049$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Chicago Sky | 49c | 10,000$4,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,884.74 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Connecticut Sun | 50c | 6,748$3,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,371.29 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Connecticut Sun | 51c | 6,046$3,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,984.29 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Connecticut Sun | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Connecticut Sun | 50c | 2,682$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.04 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…a053backed Chicago Sky | 3c | 1,835$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Sky | 20c | 1,746$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.35 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Connecticut Sun | 51c | 1,456$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.26 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Chicago Sky | 52c | 1,400$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.14 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Connecticut Sun | 50c | 1,170$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.87 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Chicago Sky | 48c | 1,045$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.6 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Connecticut Sun | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x661f…098abacked Connecticut Sun | 50c | 947.08$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Chicago Sky | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Chicago Sky | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Chicago Sky | 50c | 490$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Connecticut Sun | 52c | 350$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Chicago Sky | 56c | 325.44$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.5 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Chicago Sky | 44c | 256.89$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.85 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Chicago Sky | 35c | 249.65$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.38 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…04d7backed Connecticut Sun | 52c | 247.44$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.77 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Chicago Sky | 50c | 201.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Connecticut Sun | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Chicago Sky | 14c | 195.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…da7bbacked Chicago Sky | 49c | 188.67$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.45 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Connecticut Sun | 51c | 170.54$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.56 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68f…8d49backed Connecticut Sun | 64c | 152.21$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Connecticut Sun | 52c | 128$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Chicago Sky | 20c | 107.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Connecticut Sun | 59c | 90.76$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Chicago Sky | 54c | 82.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Connecticut Sun | 48c | 72.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.89 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Chicago Sky | 50c | 71.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5547…3a41backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21d3…6c27backed Chicago Sky | 51c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e38…b4cbbacked Chicago Sky | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc51…245abacked Chicago Sky | 48c | 48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked Chicago Sky | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Connecticut Sun | 52c | 38.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Chicago Sky | 49c | 34.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -13.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8428…b41fbacked Chicago Sky | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Connecticut Sun | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 22.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Connecticut Sun | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…6a58backed Connecticut Sun | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-6.5)this page
- Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago SkyChicago Sky won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 162.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 163.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 164.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-7.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-8.5)Connecticut Sun won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.