WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Chicago Sky (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4caba66c8379101c466ae6c73ac6a1ae21620a762bda8798320506a0d46e6aa4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Connecticut Sunof Chicago Sky, Connecticut Sun
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,652
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,811
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,652 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb946…2671backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 3,000$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.55 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Connecticut Sun | 50c | 1,455$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.7 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Connecticut Sun | 51c | 868.39$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.51 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Connecticut Sun | 50c | 724.08$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.93 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Connecticut Sun | 52c | 344.66$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.44 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Chicago Sky | 48c | 322.92$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Chicago Sky | 42c | 205.68$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.84 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Chicago Sky | 47c | 190$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.3 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Chicago Sky | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Connecticut Sun | 58c | 57.79$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Chicago Sky | 45c | 57.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Connecticut Sun | 55c | 57.2$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Chicago Sky | 51c | 43.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 796 | 48.7%388 W · 408 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Connecticut Sun | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Connecticut Sun | 61c | 37.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Chicago Sky | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Chicago Sky | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -13.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Connecticut Sun | 57c | 17.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-7.5)this page
- Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago SkyChicago Sky won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 162.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 163.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 164.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-6.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-8.5)Connecticut Sun won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.