WNBA · resolved market
Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 162.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9555bde3706ccac7e63fe0c19a7895b8e0cd473a9b494bfe3affd1f345c5d15e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,660
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,699
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,660 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 38c | 15,186$5,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,741.58 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Over | 66c | 10,000$6,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,401.66 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Over | 55c | 4,449$2,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,014.55 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c6…eeb6backed Over | 57c | 3,523$2,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.44 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 45c | 2,994$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.32 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 53c | 2,331$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.57 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 46c | 1,653$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.95 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 1,293$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.01 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 45c | 1,212$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.07 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Under | 46c | 1,074$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.15 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 54c | 1,030$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.58 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 55c | 727.26$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -13.5wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 50c | 646.75$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.38 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 47c | 637.29$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.16 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 47c | 624.34$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.88 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 54c | 309$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.67 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Under | 56c | 268.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 57c | 205$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.15 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Over | 57c | 195.07$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.88 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -11.1wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 53c | 177.71$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.52 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Over | 54c | 170.41$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.39 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 155.38$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.42 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 51c | 145.09$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.75 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Under | 46c | 143.58$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.2 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Under | 50c | 140$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 35c | 140$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Over | 55c | 123.64$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.64 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 57c | 108.37$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 52c | 108.22$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.94 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 57c | 107.18$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.09 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 50c | 99.22$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 57c | 94.33$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe046…9bc6backed Over | 57c | 86.7$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.28 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Under | 48c | 78.44$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 56c | 71.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -13.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 52c | 69.79$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Under | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 48c | 60.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…a4d5backed Over | 57c | 54.19$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1026…e794backed Over | 57c | 54.19$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0e…704abacked Over | 57c | 54.19$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…0adfbacked Over | 57c | 54.19$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 52c | 53.27$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 53c | 51.28$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9af…f4f7backed Over | 52c | 48.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 56c | 46.61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 40c | 43.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…741cbacked Over | 55c | 35.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 57c | 35.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Over | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8428…b41fbacked Over | 68c | 29.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…3691backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over | 57c | 26.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d5…53d0backed Under | 48c | 26.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 43c | 25.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4788…6bc3backed Over | 58c | 24.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…c916backed Over | 57c | 21.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Under | 51c | 20.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4827…080dbacked Over | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 162.5this page
- Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago SkyChicago Sky won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 163.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 164.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-6.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-7.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-8.5)Connecticut Sun won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.