TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc243…22c8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
127
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst MLB at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5230.8%16 W · 36 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.32
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$40.5
Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.25
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$142
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$470
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.88
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$477Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$477
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$170
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$925Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+116.2%+$1,074.99
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.99
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT4854.2%26 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsenbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
ITF Astana: Ekaterina Maklakova vs Maria Sholokhovabacked Maria Sholokhova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
ITF Tarvisio: Alja Senica vs Vittoria Paganettibacked Vittoria Paganetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.98
ITF Irvine: Kaitlyn Carnicella vs Monika Ekstrandbacked Monika Ekstrand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$234
ITF Tulsa: Jeffrey John Wolf vs Christian Langmobacked Jeffrey John Wolf · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+89.3%+$141.52
Halle Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$206
Parma: Laslo Djere vs Sebastian Ofnerbacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$147
Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$86
Nottingham Open: Karolina Pliskova vs Caty McNallybacked Caty McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Halle Open: Learner Tien vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$62
Halle Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Sho Shimabukurobacked Sho Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.94
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Saoirse Breen vs Lana Vircbacked Lana Virc · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$83
Asuncion 2: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Juan Bautista Torresbacked Juan Bautista Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.4
ITF Tauste: Raquel Gonzalez Vilar vs Vaishnavi Adkarbacked Vaishnavi Adkar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$108.1
Figueira Da Foz: Jeline Vandromme vs Allura Zamarripabacked Jeline Vandromme · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$96
HSBC Championships: Kamil Majchrzak vs Jiri Leheckabacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.99
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallobacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$156
HSBC Championships: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$102
HSBC Championships: Ignacio Buse vs Marcos Gironbacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.46
Nottingham 2: Tomas Barrios vs Benjamin Bonzibacked Benjamin Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$722Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+61.2%+$441.8
Halle Open: Nuno Borges vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+51.1%+$203
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnleybacked Keegan Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.03
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejansbacked Daniel Galan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+189.9%+$130.99
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$107
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+37.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-74.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$54.98
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
All 4 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.01
New York Yankees vs. Athleticsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 4 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+58.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-41.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$320
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$162
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.