Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Saoirse Breen vs Lana Virc
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a2d944d17dce9ef9fe4c83d043e9279071ecece265aacccf2d98d0abee71458
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Saoirse Breenof Saoirse Breen, Lana Virc
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,588
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,074
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,588 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Saoirse Breen | 47c | 1,800$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Saoirse Breen | 50c | 1,610$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.44 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd231…633cbacked Saoirse Breen | 74c | 1,474$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.4 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Lana Virc | 35c | 1,351$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.17 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Saoirse Breen | 76c | 1,318$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.27 | 629 | 56.9%358 W · 271 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lana Virc | 46c | 1,304$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.92 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lana Virc | 45c | 1,085$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.11 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Saoirse Breen | 49c | 637.23$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.31 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lana Virc | 30c | 258.94$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.24 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Saoirse Breen | 49c | 251.02$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.02 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lana Virc | 47c | 232.9$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.5 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Lana Virc | 48c | 228.52$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.21 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…22c8backed Lana Virc | 42c | 200$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Saoirse Breen | 49c | 192$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.75 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Lana Virc | 44c | 171.22$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.93 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…a117backed Saoirse Breen | 50c | 144.03$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.1 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde5d…ca66backed Lana Virc | 33c | 140.61$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lana Virc | 24c | 109$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Saoirse Breen | 21c | 106.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.29 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Lana Virc | 79c | 106.7$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.29 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Lana Virc | 41c | 104.68$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.63 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Lana Virc | 40c | 103.28$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Lana Virc | 42c | 89.83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ece…3b9bbacked Lana Virc | 78c | 75$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb309…06d4backed Saoirse Breen | 22c | 75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5820…b6f6backed Lana Virc | 48c | 70.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Saoirse Breen | 49c | 64.63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Lana Virc | 47c | 62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Saoirse Breen | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Lana Virc | 77c | 56.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.84 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Saoirse Breen | 52c | 50.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Lana Virc | 45c | 50.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x103f…86dbbacked Lana Virc | 68c | 46.32$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 163 | 62%101 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Lana Virc | 47c | 42.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Lana Virc | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Saoirse Breen | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Saoirse Breen | 49c | 27.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Lana Virc | 78c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.