TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Arizona Diamondbacksof Los Angeles Dodgers, Arizona Diamondbacks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,490,630
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,576,298

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,490,630 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 820 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb91a…3987backed Arizona Diamondbacks45c217,391$98,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118,677.1213561.5%83 W · 52 L+15.2wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.5%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks45c180,000$81,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98,999.9313340.6%54 W · 79 L-14.4wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Arizona Diamondbacks16c53,495$8,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,731.562924.1%7 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick16cpaid+21.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Los Angeles Dodgers63c53,332$33,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,510.441,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Los Angeles Dodgers54c49,896$26,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,944.132152%167 W · 154 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Los Angeles Dodgers55c49,594$27,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,349.373,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles Dodgers56c46,884$26,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,224.044,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xced2…d98abacked Arizona Diamondbacks48c41,700$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,699.623145.2%14 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Los Angeles Dodgers55c39,632$21,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,885.5644953.7%241 W · 208 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Los Angeles Dodgers57c37,039$21,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,112.0113045.4%59 W · 71 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Arizona Diamondbacks43c30,000$12,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,10060451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Arizona Diamondbacks44c30,000$13,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,799.9477053.9%415 W · 355 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a9e…1997backed Los Angeles Dodgers55c29,703$16,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,336.682536%9 W · 16 L-4.8wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-35.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers52c28,713$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,00016548.5%80 W · 85 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Arizona Diamondbacks53c24,744$13,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,620.738,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd38a…8d26backed Arizona Diamondbacks49c20,043$9,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,221.7617652.8%93 W · 83 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Los Angeles Dodgers56c19,476$10,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,826.651,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Los Angeles Dodgers59c18,842$11,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,129.164,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Arizona Diamondbacks54c18,523$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,523.0712640.5%51 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Arizona Diamondbacks44c18,411$8,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,310.137353.4%39 W · 34 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Los Angeles Dodgers55c17,600$9,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,68018241.2%75 W · 107 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Arizona Diamondbacks45c16,266$7,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,946.181,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Arizona Diamondbacks31c15,624$4,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,800.1457548%276 W · 299 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Los Angeles Dodgers55c15,000$8,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,2501,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Los Angeles Dodgers55c14,681$8,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,074.514156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x959a…7b64backed Los Angeles Dodgers50c13,554$6,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,800425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers69c13,075$8,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,982.7211,35652.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L+209.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Los Angeles Dodgers55c12,608$6,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,934.281,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Los Angeles Dodgers54c12,368$6,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,729.441,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Dodgers55c12,239$6,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,731.185,40050.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L+17.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Arizona Diamondbacks45c11,111$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,111.1123846.6%111 W · 127 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers60c11,015$6,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,563.562,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked Los Angeles Dodgers56c10,714$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00024344.4%108 W · 135 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers64c10,419$6,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,703.221,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Los Angeles Dodgers55c10,215$5,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,618.22937.9%11 W · 18 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-28.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers56c10,087$5,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,648.542,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Los Angeles Dodgers55c10,000$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,50053150.5%268 W · 263 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Los Angeles Dodgers57c9,615$5,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,443.6560043.3%260 W · 340 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Los Angeles Dodgers42c9,524$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00019239.1%75 W · 117 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Los Angeles Dodgers75c9,256$6,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,941.0697944.4%435 W · 544 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Los Angeles Dodgers62c8,679$5,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,370.716,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Arizona Diamondbacks24c8,521$2,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,517.5152228%146 W · 376 L-57.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-38.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers80c8,331$6,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,653.784,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Arizona Diamondbacks10c8,111$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,300.123351.1%119 W · 114 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33d0…f7ebbacked Arizona Diamondbacks45c7,976$3,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,386.851250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4367…e904backed Arizona Diamondbacks47c7,660$3,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,089.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+33.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9439…5122backed Arizona Diamondbacks18c7,658$1,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,279.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers56c7,292$4,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,051.871,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8a67…e403backed Los Angeles Dodgers57c7,250$4,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,132.54156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc233…0561backed Los Angeles Dodgers56c7,082$3,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,965.752152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers57c7,077$4,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,033.97851.3%40 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Arizona Diamondbacks45c6,333$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,483.337243.1%31 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Los Angeles Dodgers57c6,243$3,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,558.361,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b73…8688backed Arizona Diamondbacks45c5,971$2,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,284.044161%25 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Los Angeles Dodgers56c5,927$3,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,309.798,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10e0…c736backed Los Angeles Dodgers64c5,484$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50017951.4%92 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks44c5,300$2,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,96817853.4%95 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf916…e770backed Arizona Diamondbacks44c5,100$2,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8562259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed Arizona Diamondbacks30c5,066$1,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,546.442138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fc0…847dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers57c5,000$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8507042.9%30 W · 40 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Los Angeles Dodgers54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7007349.3%36 W · 37 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba43…d5f8backed Los Angeles Dodgers1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Arizona Diamondbacks45c4,978$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,737.975049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d21…07cfbacked Los Angeles Dodgers7c4,650$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.51346.2%6 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.32per pick14cpaid+243%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Los Angeles Dodgers70c4,599$3,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,225.1295045.2%429 W · 521 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Dodgers60c4,587$2,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,739.388,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78f4…4a4abacked Los Angeles Dodgers7c4,408$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.841723.5%4 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick12cpaid+80.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Los Angeles Dodgers57c4,359$2,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,479.161,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fba…26dcbacked Los Angeles Dodgers58c4,348$2,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,503.8423152.8%122 W · 109 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5762…90eebacked Arizona Diamondbacks46c4,348$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,347.836552.3%34 W · 31 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+25.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Arizona Diamondbacks41c4,292$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,532.2810,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0da…f3f0backed Arizona Diamondbacks59c4,200$2,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,722742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Arizona Diamondbacks42c4,193$1,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,431.938446.4%39 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb5…d57abacked Los Angeles Dodgers54c3,891$2,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,101.1421644.9%97 W · 119 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers56c3,588$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00061351.5%316 W · 297 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Los Angeles Dodgers59c3,479$2,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,067.461,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd879…2f44backed Arizona Diamondbacks37c3,222$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,034.212346.3%57 W · 66 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Los Angeles Dodgers55c3,122$1,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,731.421,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Arizona Diamondbacks45c3,106$1,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,708.1266050.2%331 W · 329 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Los Angeles Dodgers55c3,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6501,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93a0…6623backed Arizona Diamondbacks45c3,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,65039846.5%185 W · 213 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0075…5f10backed Arizona Diamondbacks45c3,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6504266.7%28 W · 14 L+6.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+31.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x59e5…7a2bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers74c3,000$2,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,219.9720%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Arizona Diamondbacks46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.9719053.7%102 W · 88 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Los Angeles Dodgers56c2,916$1,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,618.2324150.6%122 W · 119 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Los Angeles Dodgers52c2,818$1,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,453.1521242%89 W · 123 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Arizona Diamondbacks43c2,769$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,578.3823948.5%116 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Los Angeles Dodgers56c2,765$1,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,548.651947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Arizona Diamondbacks18c2,715$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,218.442,14439.6%849 W · 1,295 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers53c2,713$1,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,445.325,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf11…c679backed Arizona Diamondbacks45c2,691$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,490.9128944.3%128 W · 161 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa613…d494backed Los Angeles Dodgers54c2,600$1,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3982846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers55c2,600$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,429.9927552.4%144 W · 131 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26c7…668abacked Los Angeles Dodgers54c2,528$1,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3651250%6 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers73c2,500$1,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,828.9917768.9%122 W · 55 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4521…aeb7backed Los Angeles Dodgers57c2,484$1,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,415.64633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Los Angeles Dodgers42c2,430$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.412441.1%51 W · 73 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Dodgers69c2,408$1,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,663.7912,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers65c2,392$1,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,552.9979147.9%379 W · 412 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Los Angeles Dodgers56c2,386$1,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,336.2189153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.