TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Lionel Messi: 1+ assists

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$237,953
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$237,744

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $237,953 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 405 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7ce5…16f9backed Yes0c30,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-50.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3a6…71bdbacked No72c25,216$18,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,060.617140.8%29 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Yes28c10,758$3,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,012.1619037.4%71 W · 119 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Yes29c10,113$2,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,932.711145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick32cpaid+47.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes26c10,005$2,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,631.212,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked No71c9,900$7,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,870.8914553.8%78 W · 67 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e20…dd8abacked No71c7,000$4,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,029.981681.3%13 W · 3 L+4.8wins+0.30per pick51cpaid+127.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No73c6,315$4,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,674.3246464.9%301 W · 163 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6325…cfaabacked No73c6,303$4,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,701.689555.8%53 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfac3…5728backed Yes26c5,925$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,540.44235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid+10.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd61f…c6a6backed No72c5,400$3,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,51212875.8%97 W · 31 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf17a…fa3abacked No72c5,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40016260.5%98 W · 64 L+22.3wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+29%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed No72c5,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.9633350.5%168 W · 165 L+24.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed No72c4,861$3,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,370.292969%20 W · 9 L+7.4wins+0.26per pick43cpaid+130.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed No71c4,368$3,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288.2214325.2%36 W · 107 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed No72c3,797$2,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.3823558.3%137 W · 98 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…767cbacked No74c3,776$2,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-55.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c23…d48fbacked No72c3,735$2,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.82988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick62cpaid+60.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1a6e…b5bcbacked Yes28c3,571$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-47%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x89bb…4399backed Yes28c3,448$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.4616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-42.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f4b…18c1backed Yes28c3,442$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.87633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-40.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked No72c3,104$2,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87169826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x043c…f2d9backed Yes27c2,963$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8003119.4%6 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No72c2,735$1,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.634,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda2e…8904backed No73c2,455$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.112740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb294…a9f4backed No74c2,338$1,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.756261.3%38 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa177…6e84backed No74c2,332$1,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.821656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e52…0ec9backed No74c2,149$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.652070%14 W · 6 L+5.9wins+0.29per pick41cpaid+93.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x941d…0839backed Yes28c2,143$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002416.7%4 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-47.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf86a…f802backed Yes29c2,069$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-65.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cb1…9f20backed Yes24c2,053$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003941%16 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Yes29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58035446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes28c2,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.9914440.3%58 W · 86 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdac1…baddbacked No72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.9631171.4%222 W · 89 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2f…3531backed No72c1,900$1,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5324238.1%16 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf25…4fb5backed Yes28c1,900$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53280%0 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No74c1,880$1,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.61,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe73…7d93backed Yes29c1,850$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.51822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-48.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No72c1,841$1,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.63,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No72c1,792$1,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.563,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfddf…91acbacked Yes28c1,786$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab63…8f4bbacked Yes28c1,786$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012634.9%44 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes28c1,782$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.688,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec01…9ac0backed Yes29c1,655$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+48.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1571…1a1cbacked Yes26c1,526$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+30.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed No73c1,476$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.4916546.1%76 W · 89 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3725…2ee2backed Yes28c1,429$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001540%6 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+55.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2c1…a09ebacked Yes40c1,300$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5207444.6%33 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4753…41adbacked No74c1,270$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.55969.5%41 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed No60c1,241$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.2915843%68 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes28c1,222$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.182,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes29c1,200$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34825418.1%46 W · 208 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329f…81b4backed Yes26c1,174$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018043.8%35 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef84…6872backed Yes1c1,116$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.161375.1%7 W · 130 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick2cpaid+94.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a40…d801backed Yes27c1,097$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300166.3%1 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick15cpaid-87.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa1b…ea37backed Yes29c1,090$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3153250%16 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Yes28c1,052$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.7337350.1%187 W · 186 L+45.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+28%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xcc32…92d2backed Yes29c1,037$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.6710355.3%57 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca50…7691backed No74c1,028$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.521435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.23per pick59cpaid-48.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31027811.9%33 W · 245 L-1.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0537…5b0fbacked Yes6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603135.5%11 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+24.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4a0…bc3cbacked Yes28c999.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-40.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes24c984.96$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.3917636.4%64 W · 112 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+35.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked No72c941.58$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.6413261.4%81 W · 51 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6bc…42c1backed No70c928.86$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.868155.6%45 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0d7…436ebacked No73c909.59$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.592100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x078e…9d94backed Yes28c892.86$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505137.3%19 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked No72c862.23$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.1811558.3%67 W · 48 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked No72c848.61$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.4116357.1%93 W · 70 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde74…77abbacked No74c799.97$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.9928873.3%211 W · 77 L+21.7wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdef8…21e5backed Yes25c766.92$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1951747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick40cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x821d…ad24backed Yes27c740.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Yes26c722.22$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.311,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1928…1953backed No74c715.31$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.98450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-30.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfaa…43e2backed Yes28c714.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028134.5%97 W · 184 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed5f…4069backed Yes28c714.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf2f…d9e3backed Yes28c714.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7c5…3cf7backed Yes28c714.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+95.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x021d…2e7dbacked Yes28c714.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.41per pick61cpaid-66.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No76c711.59$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.5334455.5%191 W · 153 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabbe…1e19backed No72c710.17$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.85475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes28c699.98$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.9931920.1%64 W · 255 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed No74c675.68$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.681747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79d5…51cbbacked No72c673.19$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.493100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x034b…6e29backed No70c671.53$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.53425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-64.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ef5…0ec6backed Yes27c655.06$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.892245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+38.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa12c…b9ecbacked Yes28c632.14$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17714842.6%63 W · 85 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c83…28d9backed Yes27c629.63$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes27c615.26$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.1175729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x494e…d3dbbacked Yes28c600$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16838924.4%95 W · 294 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x606e…ce83backed Yes28c600$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1683212.5%4 W · 28 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+62.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12f2…0193backed Yes28c571.43$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-41.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6665…d1efbacked Yes28c567.99$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1573243.8%14 W · 18 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes28c554.32$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.2131554.6%172 W · 143 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf029…a292backed Yes29c551.72$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1609942.4%42 W · 57 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd421…191cbacked Yes28c547.54$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.3113922.3%31 W · 108 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf7a…c69fbacked No74c521$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.462352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca1c…02eabacked No74c520.74$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.26671.2%47 W · 19 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x091e…aec7backed Yes29c517.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-33%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7475…74bbbacked Yes29c517.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.