Fifa International · resolved market
Dani Olmo: 1+ assists
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c54ac301954adc6de72e6ad4e2a84a7b388fa78135f0d325cd362babfe45f28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,061
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,060
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,061 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x043c…f2d9backed Yes | 11c | 6,307$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes | 13c | 3,102$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.83 | 254 | 18.1%46 W · 208 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 14c | 2,961$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.54 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x941d…0839backed Yes | 12c | 2,608$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.21 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb040…ef71backed Yes | 12c | 2,436$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.13 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e28…f043backed Yes | 11c | 898.07$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…8204backed Yes | 12c | 750$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +41%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 194 | 31.4%61 W · 133 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c59…11acbacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66bb…cd52backed Yes | 12c | 416.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 331 | 23.6%78 W · 253 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a5…d3b0backed Yes | 13c | 383.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 18cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a94…b59fbacked Yes | 18c | 283.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 80c | 263.82$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.82 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacd9…6bcbbacked Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 78c | 262.11$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.72 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9692…7d0fbacked Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7a…3de0backed Yes | 18c | 232.91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 166 | 55.4%92 W · 74 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 78c | 217.53$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.42 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 11c | 211.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 298 | 13.8%41 W · 257 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdef8…21e5backed Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12cc…af5abacked Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -62%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…25a8backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebab…75febacked Yes | 18c | 182.83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.91 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7af3…dad9backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e0…33fabacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 375 | 26.1%98 W · 277 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c6…e1e7backed Yes | 19c | 163.16$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad5…4991backed Yes | 18c | 162.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1932…7f04backed Yes | 7c | 160$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb6…d381backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…aec7backed Yes | 19c | 142.47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dd…cca5backed Yes | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 113 | 23%26 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9119…6561backed Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…496abacked Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf35b…87cbbacked Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…cf98backed Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 98 | 34.7%34 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ea…4b76backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 281 | 48.4%136 W · 145 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…99e5backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa4…7d2bbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8570…37b0backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d7…6530backed Yes | 14c | 96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 236 | 40.3%95 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 18c | 92.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Yes | 18c | 92.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56e1…e14abacked Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 78c | 79$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…3c36backed Yes | 19c | 78.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 77c | 74.52$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…5303backed Yes | 18c | 71.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f8…17cabacked Yes | 15c | 67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…f1a2backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dani Olmo: 1+ assiststhis page
- Alex Baena: 1+ assistsNo won
- Alex Baena: 1+ goalsNo won
- Alex Baena: 1+ shotsYes won
- Alex Baena: 2+ goalsNo won
- Alex Baena: 2+ shotsNo won
- Alex Baena: 3+ shotsNo won
- Alex Baena: 4+ shotsNo won
- Alex Baena: 5+ shotsNo won
- Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ assistsNo won
- Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ goalsNo won
- Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ shotsNo won
- Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ assistsNo won
- Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ goalsNo won
- Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ shotsNo won
- Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ shots on targetNo won
- Alexis Mac Allister: 3+ shotsNo won
- Cucurella: 1+ shotsYes won
- Cucurella: 1+ shots on targetNo won
- Cucurella: 2+ shotsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 1+ goalsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 1+ shotsYes won
- Dani Olmo: 2+ assistsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 2+ goalsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 2+ shotsYes won
- Dani Olmo: 4+ shotsNo won
- David Raya: 2+ savesNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 1+ assistsNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 1+ goalsNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 1+ shotsNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 2+ assistsNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 2+ goalsNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 2+ shotsNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 3+ shotsNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 4+ shotsNo won
- Fabián Ruiz: 1+ assistsNo won
- Fabián Ruiz: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ferrán Torres: 1+ assistsNo won
- Ferrán Torres: 1+ goalsNo won
- Gavi Paez: 1+ goalsNo won
- Giovani Lo Celso: 1+ goalsNo won
- Giuliano Simeone: 1+ assistsNo won
- Giuliano Simeone: 1+ goalsNo won
- Juan Musso: 2+ savesNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 1+ assistsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 1+ goalsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 1+ shotsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 2+ goalsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 2+ shotsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 4+ shotsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ assistsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ shotsYes won
- Lamine Yamal: 2+ assistsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 2+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 2+ shotsYes won
- Lamine Yamal: 3+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 3+ shotsYes won
- Lamine Yamal: 4+ shotsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 5+ shotsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.