TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Enzo Fernández: 1+ shots

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,418
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,403

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,418 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5159…d7aebacked No26c999.99$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.9916564.2%106 W · 59 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1a2…6883backed Yes74c810.81$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005429.6%16 W · 38 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes75c636.36$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.198,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked No25c591.5$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.671,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No26c520.58$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.792,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e20…dd8abacked No25c405.11$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.831681.3%13 W · 3 L+4.8wins+0.30per pick51cpaid+127.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No25c379.99$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.1988838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee03…6edbbacked Yes74c270.11$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016854.8%92 W · 76 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9770…b570backed Yes75c266.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+22.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes74c257.76$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.4675729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b78…e589backed Yes74c200$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1486734.3%23 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No26c140$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.62,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5d7…6530backed Yes74c138$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.1223640.3%95 W · 141 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x021d…2e7dbacked Yes74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.41per pick61cpaid-66.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1299…6277backed Yes74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005060%30 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf285…52c2backed Yes74c100$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No26c87.44$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.722,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf4e…dfafbacked Yes74c67.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b4a…3647backed Yes75c66.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid+17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x35f5…d7c4backed No26c62.45$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.217067.1%47 W · 23 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No28c46$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.121,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Yes72c46$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1214445.8%66 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa301…bcbdbacked Yes75c40.01$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-15.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x18fe…af43backed Yes75c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158259.8%49 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf2b…a7f0backed Yes72c17.78$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.82450%12 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.