TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
San Francisco Giantsof San Francisco Giants, Chicago Cubs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,383,718
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,391,247

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,383,718 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 481 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Chicago Cubs2c1,259,478$24,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,748.711618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked San Francisco Giants39c375,032$145,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229,729.621040%84 W · 126 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Chicago Cubs61c150,000$91,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91,50013340.6%54 W · 79 L-14.4wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Chicago Cubs62c100,000$62,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,00098149.9%490 W · 491 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd38a…8d26backed San Francisco Giants65c76,144$49,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,650.4717652.8%93 W · 83 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs28c72,510$20,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,591.1910,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed San Francisco Giants41c69,255$28,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,898.3131149.2%153 W · 158 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a35…86d9backed Chicago Cubs0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-56.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Chicago Cubs59c50,000$29,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,499.982937.9%11 W · 18 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-28.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xced2…d98abacked Chicago Cubs46c43,756$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,0003145.2%14 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Francisco Giants48c32,777$15,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,069.562,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Chicago Cubs60c31,027$18,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,616.134,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Chicago Cubs39c30,950$11,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,983.442,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67f4…f91bbacked Chicago Cubs0c30,100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.212426.6%33 W · 91 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Chicago Cubs59c28,300$16,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,703.0160451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed San Francisco Giants39c19,254$7,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,744.851,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Chicago Cubs62c19,165$11,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,882.3113045.4%59 W · 71 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Chicago Cubs61c17,777$10,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,843.9738148.6%185 W · 196 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Chicago Cubs25c14,102$3,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,587.2895045.2%429 W · 521 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed San Francisco Giants72c13,245$9,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,660.874,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9a6…0009backed San Francisco Giants73c12,077$8,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,300.576839.7%27 W · 41 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked San Francisco Giants54c12,010$6,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,501.788,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed San Francisco Giants42c11,603$4,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,786.038,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6498…8910backed San Francisco Giants60c10,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,00051756.5%292 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed San Francisco Giants40c8,672$3,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,203.4723948.5%116 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Chicago Cubs60c8,333$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00023846.6%111 W · 127 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed San Francisco Giants43c8,157$3,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,664.956,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1e6…1dc1backed Chicago Cubs61c7,800$4,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7588247.6%39 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Chicago Cubs45c7,609$3,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,419.891,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a67…e403backed San Francisco Giants39c6,000$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6604156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed San Francisco Giants39c6,000$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,659.972,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48e0…826dbacked Chicago Cubs39c5,800$2,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2782254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Chicago Cubs61c5,281$3,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,221.411,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Chicago Cubs1c4,633$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.545852.1%12 W · 573 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1bf…e36bbacked Chicago Cubs6c4,596$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2881711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Chicago Cubs0c4,400$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.98762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Chicago Cubs2c4,080$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.821242%89 W · 123 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Chicago Cubs59c4,000$2,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,36060350.1%302 W · 301 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Chicago Cubs61c3,750$2,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,289.9644451.1%227 W · 217 L+1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2354…20d0backed Chicago Cubs1c3,673$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.44043.5%14 W · 390 L-19.4wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-59.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Chicago Cubs4c3,521$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.8366050.2%331 W · 329 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa252…dbf4backed San Francisco Giants70c3,500$2,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0455070%35 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Chicago Cubs36c3,141$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.065330.2%16 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed San Francisco Giants39c3,000$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8301,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Chicago Cubs50c2,965$1,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,475.733,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Chicago Cubs59c2,861$1,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,688.251,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Chicago Cubs58c2,578$1,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,495.3946239.6%183 W · 279 L-17.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0645…0cc9backed Chicago Cubs62c2,569$1,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,592.78850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b73…8688backed San Francisco Giants60c2,333$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.334161%25 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed San Francisco Giants58c2,187$1,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.044,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf5…31f9backed Chicago Cubs57c2,102$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,190.0522445.5%102 W · 122 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Chicago Cubs46c2,054$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.744,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Chicago Cubs62c2,006$1,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,243.721,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b6d…dbbbbacked San Francisco Giants59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8209657.3%55 W · 41 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb459…3efdbacked Chicago Cubs62c1,999$1,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,239.41764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed San Francisco Giants59c1,889$1,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.932,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfc7…2a87backed San Francisco Giants58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.141435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Chicago Cubs43c1,647$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.0423351.1%119 W · 114 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41b4…10dabacked Chicago Cubs62c1,613$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.0619950.3%100 W · 99 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Chicago Cubs48c1,597$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.414339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed San Francisco Giants39c1,427$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.4744953.7%241 W · 208 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed San Francisco Giants62c1,408$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.2412,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed San Francisco Giants43c1,407$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.879848%47 W · 51 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Chicago Cubs62c1,281$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.2748147%226 W · 255 L-31.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x41bb…26e8backed San Francisco Giants57c1,275$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.083100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc181…6e97backed San Francisco Giants42c1,255$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.672969%20 W · 9 L+5.1wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+33.6%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed San Francisco Giants39c1,250$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.9311642.2%49 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed San Francisco Giants38c1,200$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.975339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x354b…4744backed Chicago Cubs59c1,185$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.424946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07e2…4b9cbacked Chicago Cubs42c1,023$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.4827450.7%139 W · 135 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd6e…4555backed Chicago Cubs62c1,021$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63314046.4%65 W · 75 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed San Francisco Giants60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40019248.4%93 W · 99 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Chicago Cubs39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39017252.9%91 W · 81 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Chicago Cubs62c967.74$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60025149.8%125 W · 126 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d68…9ff7backed San Francisco Giants54c923.75$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+59%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked San Francisco Giants59c882$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.4311,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed Chicago Cubs59c847.46$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Chicago Cubs61c804.46$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.721,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Chicago Cubs62c800$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49685952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bfa…a8debacked San Francisco Giants63c793.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb575…d35bbacked San Francisco Giants42c793.14$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.028339.8%33 W · 50 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3652…2c8bbacked San Francisco Giants39c792.31$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.312166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+31.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Chicago Cubs40c767.59$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.693,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Chicago Cubs61c750$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.521052.9%111 W · 99 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c6…eeb6backed San Francisco Giants63c745.42$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.0815942.8%68 W · 91 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x085c…99e3backed San Francisco Giants38c731.27$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.7524448.4%118 W · 126 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Chicago Cubs25c725.1$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.2369447.6%330 W · 364 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed San Francisco Giants63c717.05$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.541,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked San Francisco Giants62c714.4$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.855,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Chicago Cubs41c704.99$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.059666.7%64 W · 32 L+16.4wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.4%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xd879…2f44backed Chicago Cubs14c699.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1812346.3%57 W · 66 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xedf7…67fdbacked San Francisco Giants38c694.22$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.4137748.8%184 W · 193 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d74…f2abbacked San Francisco Giants57c687.74$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.735257.7%30 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0bf…f035backed San Francisco Giants42c683.19$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.251050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed San Francisco Giants38c671.8$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.366,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed San Francisco Giants59c666.65$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.312,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Chicago Cubs2c649.96$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134754.4%21 W · 454 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x40b3…9ef3backed Chicago Cubs46c640.5$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.632240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87af…c990backed San Francisco Giants40c625$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37532742.2%138 W · 189 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Chicago Cubs35c599.98$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.9921842.7%93 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.