MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe973b7d952f48306c058c57814c32d35010adf2499466bbff41320f4b55b86fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Francisco Giantsof San Francisco Giants, Chicago Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,383,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,391,247
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,383,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 481 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Chicago Cubs | 2c | 1,259,478$24,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,748.71 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked San Francisco Giants | 39c | 375,032$145,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229,729.6 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Chicago Cubs | 61c | 150,000$91,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91,500 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 100,000$62,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,000 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed San Francisco Giants | 65c | 76,144$49,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,650.47 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs | 28c | 72,510$20,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,591.19 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 69,255$28,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,898.31 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…86d9backed Chicago Cubs | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 50,000$29,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,499.98 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xced2…d98abacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 43,756$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 32,777$15,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,069.56 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 31,027$18,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,616.13 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Chicago Cubs | 39c | 30,950$11,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,983.44 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…f91bbacked Chicago Cubs | 0c | 30,100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 28,300$16,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,703.01 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Francisco Giants | 39c | 19,254$7,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,744.85 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 19,165$11,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,882.31 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Chicago Cubs | 61c | 17,777$10,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,843.97 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Chicago Cubs | 25c | 14,102$3,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,587.28 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed San Francisco Giants | 72c | 13,245$9,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,660.87 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed San Francisco Giants | 73c | 12,077$8,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300.57 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Francisco Giants | 54c | 12,010$6,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,501.78 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 11,603$4,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,786.03 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed San Francisco Giants | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed San Francisco Giants | 40c | 8,672$3,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,203.47 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 8,333$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 8,157$3,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,664.95 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 7,800$4,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,758 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Chicago Cubs | 45c | 7,609$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,419.89 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…e403backed San Francisco Giants | 39c | 6,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,660 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed San Francisco Giants | 39c | 6,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,659.97 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e0…826dbacked Chicago Cubs | 39c | 5,800$2,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,278 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Chicago Cubs | 61c | 5,281$3,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,221.41 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Chicago Cubs | 1c | 4,633$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bf…e36bbacked Chicago Cubs | 6c | 4,596$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Chicago Cubs | 0c | 4,400$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Chicago Cubs | 2c | 4,080$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Chicago Cubs | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Chicago Cubs | 61c | 3,750$2,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,289.96 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Chicago Cubs | 1c | 3,673$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Chicago Cubs | 4c | 3,521$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.83 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa252…dbf4backed San Francisco Giants | 70c | 3,500$2,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Chicago Cubs | 36c | 3,141$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.06 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed San Francisco Giants | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 2,965$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.73 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 2,861$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688.25 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 2,578$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.39 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0645…0cc9backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 2,569$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…8688backed San Francisco Giants | 60c | 2,333$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.33 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed San Francisco Giants | 58c | 2,187$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.04 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…31f9backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 2,102$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.05 | 224 | 45.5%102 W · 122 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 2,054$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.74 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Chicago Cubs | 62c | 2,006$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.72 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…dbbbbacked San Francisco Giants | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb459…3efdbacked Chicago Cubs | 62c | 1,999$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.4 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed San Francisco Giants | 59c | 1,889$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.93 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc7…2a87backed San Francisco Giants | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Chicago Cubs | 43c | 1,647$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.04 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Chicago Cubs | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.06 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 1,597$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.41 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed San Francisco Giants | 39c | 1,427$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.47 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Francisco Giants | 62c | 1,408$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.24 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 1,407$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.87 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Chicago Cubs | 62c | 1,281$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.27 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…26e8backed San Francisco Giants | 57c | 1,275$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…6e97backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 1,255$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.67 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed San Francisco Giants | 39c | 1,250$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.93 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed San Francisco Giants | 38c | 1,200$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.97 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…4744backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 1,185$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.42 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…4b9cbacked Chicago Cubs | 42c | 1,023$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.48 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6e…4555backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 1,021$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed San Francisco Giants | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Chicago Cubs | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 172 | 52.9%91 W · 81 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 967.74$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d68…9ff7backed San Francisco Giants | 54c | 923.75$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Francisco Giants | 59c | 882$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.43 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Chicago Cubs | 61c | 804.46$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.72 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Chicago Cubs | 62c | 800$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfa…a8debacked San Francisco Giants | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb575…d35bbacked San Francisco Giants | 42c | 793.14$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.02 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3652…2c8bbacked San Francisco Giants | 39c | 792.31$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.31 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Chicago Cubs | 40c | 767.59$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.69 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 750$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.5 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c6…eeb6backed San Francisco Giants | 63c | 745.42$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.08 | 159 | 42.8%68 W · 91 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed San Francisco Giants | 38c | 731.27$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.75 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Chicago Cubs | 25c | 725.1$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.23 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed San Francisco Giants | 63c | 717.05$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.54 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked San Francisco Giants | 62c | 714.4$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.85 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Chicago Cubs | 41c | 704.99$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.05 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +16.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd879…2f44backed Chicago Cubs | 14c | 699.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.18 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked San Francisco Giants | 38c | 694.22$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.41 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked San Francisco Giants | 57c | 687.74$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.73 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…f035backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 683.19$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Francisco Giants | 38c | 671.8$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.36 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed San Francisco Giants | 59c | 666.65$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.31 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Chicago Cubs | 2c | 649.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…9ef3backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 640.5$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.63 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed San Francisco Giants | 40c | 625$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Chicago Cubs | 35c | 599.98$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubsthis page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 12.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 13.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 14.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 18.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 20.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-3.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago CubsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.