MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a73a8c389ef819b67f8193cc7ec920d79a9a57d127882b0fc7e0c96f03082e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $397,336
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $397,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $397,336 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 49c | 124,611$61,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,059.28 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 54c | 100,000$54,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,999.92 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 51c | 80,000$40,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,200 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 54c | 61,318$32,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,404.58 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 46c | 57,111$26,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,342.68 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under | 49c | 38,075$18,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,781.86 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 46c | 31,705$14,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,583.65 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 51c | 13,019$6,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,389.55 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Over | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 46c | 9,331$4,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,293.33 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 49c | 8,420$4,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,271.19 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Under | 47c | 8,210$3,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,858.53 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Over | 49c | 7,913$3,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,035.57 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Under | 45c | 6,405$2,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,882.28 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 47c | 5,618$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,977.43 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 55c | 5,217$2,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,347.87 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 51c | 4,934$2,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400.99 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 50c | 4,500$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Over | 51c | 3,824$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,873.88 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 48c | 3,546$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702.27 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 46c | 3,496$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608.26 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 45c | 3,022$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.66 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 53c | 2,735$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.02 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…4744backed Under | 56c | 2,659$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 49c | 2,583$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.32 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Under | 47c | 2,180$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.89 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Under | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 46c | 2,000$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 54c | 1,851$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.46 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 47c | 1,842$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.96 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…7dd1backed Over | 53c | 1,608$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.76 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 1,589$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.64 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 46c | 1,491$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.86 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 44c | 1,221$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.56 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 52c | 1,100$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.06 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 58c | 1,040$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.34 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 51c | 1,033$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.17 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 51c | 1,002$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.14 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 957.16$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.3 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 46c | 849.86$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.94 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 47c | 745$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.15 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ae…dc88backed Over | 51c | 619.99$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.8 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 618.37$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.85 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 53c | 547.25$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.91 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Under | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 43c | 521.46$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.02 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 46c | 491.51$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.03 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Over | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c6…eeb6backed Under | 52c | 434.14$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.67 | 159 | 42.8%68 W · 91 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Under | 40c | 424.28$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.98 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 52c | 386$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.28 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcc…13c3backed Over | 52c | 361.32$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.83 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked Under | 37c | 359.74$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.08 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 46c | 321.61$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.02 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b95…5733backed Over | 63c | 285.71$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.71 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x500b…b1a1backed Under | 49c | 275.98$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.47 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 52c | 259.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.25 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 53c | 237.36$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.27 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…b8a1backed Over | 71c | 215.05$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.64 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 17c | 214.29$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…04d7backed Under | 46c | 201.82$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.84 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 50c | 200.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.71 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5474…ce40backed Over | 53c | 197$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x190c…08c0backed Under | 48c | 197$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e73…b728backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee5…089abacked Under | 48c | 196$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbf…b7febacked Under | 48c | 196$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e2…a6b1backed Over | 53c | 196$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c3…ee48backed Over | 53c | 194.87$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Over | 55c | 183.64$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.64 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 174 | 60.9%106 W · 68 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 46c | 178.26$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Over | 53c | 173.58$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 314 | 49.4%155 W · 159 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf50…2dd8backed Over | 51c | 159.37$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.09 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Under | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Over | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…c67cbacked Under | 49c | 125.49$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.49 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 45c | 120.4$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.18 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Over | 61c | 120$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…6f6abacked Over | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5816…075ebacked Under | 51c | 115.69$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9906…7d46backed Over | 50c | 108.51$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -6.9wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6210…4fb1backed Under | 46c | 108$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +14.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.57 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 208 | 51.9%108 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 52c | 98.13$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 46c | 93$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb17…0cd7backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8f…1ee8backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7f…bb6dbacked Over | 51c | 90.09$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.08 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Under | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…5a40backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…bb1dbacked Under | 56c | 87.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.21 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5this page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago CubsSan Francisco Giants won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 12.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 13.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 14.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 18.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 20.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-3.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago CubsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.