MLB · resolved market
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc539f23d898c41e793ef8b3430dd16af4317973bc8c92df180fcfb62ea021f35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Francisco Giantsof Chicago Cubs, San Francisco Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,918
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,236
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,918 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 10,911$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 9,032$4,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,129.41 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ac…b964backed San Francisco Giants | 54c | 7,805$4,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,590.16 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed San Francisco Giants | 54c | 4,322$2,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988.33 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 2,056$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.29 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Francisco Giants | 54c | 2,000$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.67 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked San Francisco Giants | 55c | 1,780$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed San Francisco Giants | 54c | 1,661$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.05 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 1,387$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.35 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 1,160$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.6 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked San Francisco Giants | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 949.48$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.27 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…aa8fbacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed San Francisco Giants | 54c | 670.57$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.46 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Chicago Cubs | 42c | 534.42$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.87 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 512$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.52 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 460$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed San Francisco Giants | 58c | 399.89$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.95 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed San Francisco Giants | 62c | 383.39$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.37 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 340.25$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.56 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 322.13$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.16 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 289.75$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.28 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 283.33$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked San Francisco Giants | 54c | 239.99$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.39 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 224$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.56 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Chicago Cubs | 27c | 222.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | -11.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Chicago Cubs | 44c | 201.36$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.5 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 195.65$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4862…59f7backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 195$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…5366backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 195$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 163.63$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.63 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 154.87$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.69 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 154$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Chicago Cubs | 45c | 114$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Chicago Cubs | 45c | 106.84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked San Francisco Giants | 58c | 93.75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Chicago Cubs | 37c | 74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 303 | 40.6%123 W · 180 L | -16.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Chicago Cubs | 36c | 66.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Chicago Cubs | 43c | 59.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 54.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed San Francisco Giants | 57c | 54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked San Francisco Giants | 55c | 53.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ba…d4fbbacked San Francisco Giants | 55c | 49.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…e653backed San Francisco Giants | 54c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 43.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…8eadbacked San Francisco Giants | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42d…4d66backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 34.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…776bbacked Chicago Cubs | 45c | 34.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…f567backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 33.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f46…9f54backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 33.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed San Francisco Giants | 54c | 32.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6600…d5fdbacked San Francisco Giants | 55c | 32.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a6…f5d9backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 32.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b04…95d7backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 31.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa79c…b036backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 30.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 65cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…6b74backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 30.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2655…77d2backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 30.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a0…5911backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 30.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7f…7fbcbacked San Francisco Giants | 56c | 30.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea4e…aceabacked San Francisco Giants | 56c | 30.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…aa45backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 30.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa2…60b9backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 30.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…8220backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 30.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b00…64a2backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 29.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f2…f2c6backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 29.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecc…15f2backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 29.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…8d63backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 29.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf723…7835backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 29.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36fe…b091backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5574…f9fbbacked San Francisco Giants | 56c | 28.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc8…8179backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 28.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8772…349ebacked San Francisco Giants | 56c | 28.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa826…a0ecbacked San Francisco Giants | 56c | 28.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 62cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…ae3cbacked San Francisco Giants | 56c | 27.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…c6dcbacked San Francisco Giants | 56c | 27.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e5…7347backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 27.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae3b…b7d4backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 27.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd47a…67fabacked San Francisco Giants | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4dc…7945backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 26.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089f…f599backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 19.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked San Francisco Giants | 73c | 19.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed San Francisco Giants | 73c | 16.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Francisco Giants | 76c | 13.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.34 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)this page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago CubsSan Francisco Giants won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 12.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 13.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 14.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 18.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 20.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-3.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago CubsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.