MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e7c1acf8b80b7df76083117c79859607070acd2f9b9c8995288be3e8530085b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburgh Piratesof Pittsburgh Pirates, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $486,965
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $624,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $486,965 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 65c | 76,253$49,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,498.72 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 71,853$36,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,223.6 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Cleveland Guardians | 32c | 57,686$18,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,426.62 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 53,310$28,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,271.02 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 30,000$16,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,499.98 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2bd…7776backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 22,200$9,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,209.8 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 19,256$10,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,067.08 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 19,178$8,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,310.69 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab82…abe5backed Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 17,577$7,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,027.66 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1b…2068backed Cleveland Guardians | 32c | 16,966$5,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,486.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be1…aa70backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 15,318$7,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,295.91 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 11,695$4,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,444 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 8,965$5,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,187.97 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 5,717$2,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,146.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 5,100$1,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988.99 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 4,872$2,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,582.32 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…d21fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 4,534$2,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,402.86 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d7…3a17backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 68c | 4,289$2,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.95 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 3,925$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080.41 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 3,689$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 1,755$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.15 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed Cleveland Guardians | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8707…8b15backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 1,522$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.74 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…b9e3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 1,515$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.25 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x235e…5673backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +8.4wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea53…e1ebbacked Cleveland Guardians | 1c | 1,256$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…e8a8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 1,081$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.51 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 1,019$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.97 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee2…e88fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 1,009$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.11 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a4…99d0backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 977.16$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 968.51$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.31 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 833$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.49 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…2b3cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 824.68$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.82 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Cleveland Guardians | 23c | 808.99$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.85 | 120 | 24.2%29 W · 91 L | -11.8wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52e9…c2c1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 799.54$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 766.12$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.66 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 757.51$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.63 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 692.63$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.02 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd6…bf96backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 573.91$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.78 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…e2c4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 544.26$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.26 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…37c8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 67c | 524.66$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.14 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb1…eac3backed Cleveland Guardians | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d8…a577backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 495$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.65 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 441.2$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.42 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 67c | 437.31$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.31 | 228 | 67.1%153 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 427.05$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.61 | 350 | 47.4%166 W · 184 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…e4a3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 410$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 391.49$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.52 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 389.34$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.96 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ed…ee18backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -41%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 327.98$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.11 | 309 | 34.3%106 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 72c | 309.86$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.68 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 295.38$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.82 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 294.92$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.25 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 289.98$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.59 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 281$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.8 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dbe…ea98backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 67c | 271.02$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.44 | 89 | 68.5%61 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8287…059ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 261.11$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…59ffbacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 246.33$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.48 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 27c | 236.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.42 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 230$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 229.95$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.47 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 220$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a21…4aa9backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…c332backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 217.34$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.54 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9be…08bebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 141 | 34%48 W · 93 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Cleveland Guardians | 26c | 207.03$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 204.67$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.13 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x920b…fcfbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 200$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 166 | 48.8%81 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Cleveland Guardians | 7c | 199.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb3…cbafbacked Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 196.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.83 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 196.92$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.37 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 193.15$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.3 | 181 | 57.5%104 W · 77 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c89…57b7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 67c | 188.66$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.72 | 130 | 76.2%99 W · 31 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8675…725dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 72c | 187.44$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 180$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.69 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…4fffbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 178.41$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.56 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc825…6696backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 177.78$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.78 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0887…28f3backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 173.59$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.85 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 164.43$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.65 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 150.18$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.1 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd72d…0dbbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 148.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x967f…a5d9backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 67c | 144.66$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.74 | 143 | 72.7%104 W · 39 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee3…600ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 134.69$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 134$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.02 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardiansthis page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland GuardiansNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.