TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jacob Fearnleyof Keegan Smith, Jacob Fearnley
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$165,221
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$171,697

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,221 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Jacob Fearnley63c16,503$10,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,037.4511,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa042…cba4backed Keegan Smith32c6,913$2,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,231.1227549.1%135 W · 140 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd123…d341backed Jacob Fearnley43c5,947$2,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,394.0824841.5%103 W · 145 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x63f5…09ddbacked Keegan Smith2c5,465$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.697811.5%9 W · 69 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick6cpaid+74.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0336…4bb0backed Keegan Smith35c5,125$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8004753.2%25 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Jacob Fearnley53c4,789$2,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,254.036,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Jacob Fearnley61c4,542$2,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,786.71,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Jacob Fearnley73c4,377$3,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,185.854,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xda2b…85febacked Keegan Smith26c3,825$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010423.1%24 W · 80 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Keegan Smith54c3,786$2,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,025.468,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Keegan Smith46c3,257$1,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,506.676,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Keegan Smith55c3,170$1,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,742.033,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Keegan Smith32c2,531$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.2147854.8%262 W · 216 L+25.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jacob Fearnley69c1,733$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.728,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Keegan Smith36c1,731$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.41,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Keegan Smith38c1,724$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.35,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Jacob Fearnley63c1,366$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.446,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Keegan Smith32c1,334$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.041,14853%608 W · 540 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Jacob Fearnley46c1,266$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.822,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Jacob Fearnley69c1,252$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.691,22753.2%653 W · 574 L-5.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Jacob Fearnley70c1,237$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.114,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fe8…72bcbacked Keegan Smith49c1,200$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58453657.8%310 W · 226 L+35.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Jacob Fearnley43c1,135$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.881,02341.3%422 W · 601 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Keegan Smith21c1,122$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.6371725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Jacob Fearnley61c1,067$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.083,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Keegan Smith23c1,056$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.4829533.6%99 W · 196 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f55…8956backed Jacob Fearnley70c1,055$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.0112369.9%86 W · 37 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Jacob Fearnley67c1,042$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.861,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23df…640abacked Keegan Smith51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51047857.9%277 W · 201 L+24.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f35…95dabacked Jacob Fearnley61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39045343.9%199 W · 254 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Jacob Fearnley62c985.31$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.123,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf10d…3154backed Keegan Smith5c868.93$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.72425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-54.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Jacob Fearnley64c835.4$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.421,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7fe0…ebe1backed Jacob Fearnley36c835.4$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.45641.1%23 W · 33 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Keegan Smith24c832.11$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.772,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20b4…bfa2backed Keegan Smith37c810.81$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30033540.9%137 W · 198 L+0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Keegan Smith40c749.88$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9587337.1%324 W · 549 L-3.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a92…6b00backed Jacob Fearnley61c710.64$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.9847651.9%247 W · 229 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Keegan Smith39c700$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2731,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Keegan Smith25c599.03$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.071,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked Keegan Smith32c582.15$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.5758539.5%231 W · 354 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Jacob Fearnley62c559$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21184968.4%581 W · 268 L+25.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Keegan Smith31c522$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.2138952.2%203 W · 186 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec28…8d7abacked Keegan Smith29c520.81$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.1211230.4%34 W · 78 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-26.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Keegan Smith26c499.99$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.662,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8d07…b9febacked Keegan Smith15c461.66$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.23208.8%28 W · 292 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Jacob Fearnley44c459.39$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.561,56640%627 W · 939 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x782d…8211backed Jacob Fearnley64c451.47$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.6270456.8%400 W · 304 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Jacob Fearnley65c415.84$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.132,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7906…be5dbacked Jacob Fearnley76c400$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969058.9%53 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Keegan Smith24c400$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Jacob Fearnley69c399.99$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.661,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Jacob Fearnley55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.641,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Jacob Fearnley70c354.38$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.0259253.5%317 W · 275 L+22.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Jacob Fearnley54c348.13$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.147,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9af…359cbacked Keegan Smith51c346.73$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.9351457.2%294 W · 220 L+29.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Jacob Fearnley73c344.55$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.892548.8%451 W · 474 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82aa…fe2fbacked Keegan Smith8c339.98$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3162727.3%171 W · 456 L-15.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Keegan Smith33c336.74$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.8538446.4%178 W · 206 L+13.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Jacob Fearnley67c318.78$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.784042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Jacob Fearnley78c317.95$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.9563247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf268…ab74backed Keegan Smith29c310.34$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Keegan Smith35c301.03$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.822,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Keegan Smith7c295$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.331,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5edb…00a9backed Keegan Smith27c292.61$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.2523842.9%102 W · 136 L-21.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Jacob Fearnley38c278.34$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.62,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef13…53d2backed Jacob Fearnley36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.7825043.2%108 W · 142 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d4f…ab40backed Jacob Fearnley76c277$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.484170.7%29 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick72cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Keegan Smith31c266$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4673748%354 W · 383 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Jacob Fearnley73c265$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.566,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Keegan Smith10c259.69$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2475312.2%92 W · 661 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed Jacob Fearnley69c245$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.388365.1%54 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ab8…6eaabacked Keegan Smith35c234.98$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.646137.7%23 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea6…428abacked Jacob Fearnley46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3928348.1%136 W · 147 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd357…c7a0backed Keegan Smith23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502030%6 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Jacob Fearnley77c216.06$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.693,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Jacob Fearnley37c215.57$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.584,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Keegan Smith31c210.28$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.874,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Jacob Fearnley74c203.28$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.84,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Jacob Fearnley57c201.64$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.8779052.9%418 W · 372 L+24.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ca2…088ebacked Jacob Fearnley42c201$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.5819744.7%88 W · 109 L+17.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+18.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Jacob Fearnley42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11639941.9%167 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc243…22c8backed Keegan Smith36c200$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.034854.2%26 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x890a…7623backed Jacob Fearnley78c194.81$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9124975.5%188 W · 61 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5ae…3e6cbacked Jacob Fearnley42c193.43$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.1911141.4%46 W · 65 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Keegan Smith23c182$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.865,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8741…5b0abacked Jacob Fearnley63c170.55$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.354351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Jacob Fearnley42c168.57$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.7769438%264 W · 430 L+21.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Keegan Smith23c167.05$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.423,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc75f…d7f6backed Jacob Fearnley76c157.89$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8920764.7%134 W · 73 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e0b…1435backed Jacob Fearnley67c155.94$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1639035.9%140 W · 250 L-61.1wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-43.1%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Jacob Fearnley76c155.64$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.633,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Jacob Fearnley67c151.33$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7352557%299 W · 226 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f9f…2cb8backed Keegan Smith36c151.25$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8415850%79 W · 79 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27cc…884bbacked Jacob Fearnley45c150$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.52347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Keegan Smith22c148.56$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.279951.1%408 W · 391 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6249…cee9backed Jacob Fearnley63c148.32$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8812057.5%69 W · 51 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Jacob Fearnley61c136.29$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.935,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb75e…1737backed Jacob Fearnley50c133.58$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.0724446.3%113 W · 131 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4efe…d987backed Jacob Fearnley66c131.99$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.991952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.