TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,771,732
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,098,982

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,771,732 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 773 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes5c285,916$15,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,704.48,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Yes0c225,000$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.9913811.6%16 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes0c116,500$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.571468.2%12 W · 134 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick2cpaid+90.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf377…4159backed Yes8c112,500$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,0005328.3%15 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde29…89b1backed Yes8c100,000$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,0001915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d6e…213dbacked Yes8c60,453$4,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,836.244055%22 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb75…33f6backed Yes2c46,253$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.23520%1 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick4cpaid+83.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes8c46,233$3,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,698.6438734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77fe…a351backed Yes2c44,487$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.6915127.8%42 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3566…ec5abacked Yes1c43,486$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.67190%0 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Yes6c39,814$2,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,388.8256541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf77e…b594backed Yes1c36,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280953.2%3 W · 92 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick1cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3edb…7c3cbacked Yes4c29,384$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.0640%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb254…3115backed Yes0c23,955$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.52740%0 W · 74 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes7c23,460$1,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,570.463,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe462…1a2abacked Yes9c22,222$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0007133.8%24 W · 47 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4718…e2e8backed Yes0c21,983$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004829.2%14 W · 34 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9eb…9701backed Yes9c21,111$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8002114.3%3 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019124.6%47 W · 144 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c60…49c4backed Yes0c19,118$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3440%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed Yes7c14,550$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.511529.9%15 W · 137 L-0.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-49.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes5c12,679$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.9479231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6880…cf03backed Yes8c12,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006048.3%29 W · 31 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+30.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc1b…9d59backed Yes8c12,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9605967.8%40 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bf0…728fbacked Yes8c11,789$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.145123.5%12 W · 39 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xab1c…aaddbacked Yes8c11,250$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9005628.6%16 W · 40 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f64…7a6dbacked Yes8c11,250$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900825%2 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+76.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Yes9c11,111$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00027433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e1e…4a9ebacked Yes9c11,111$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x05d9…ecd7backed Yes9c11,111$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003423.5%8 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes7c10,101$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.9865835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ea…150fbacked Yes3c10,008$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.2119332.1%62 W · 131 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…26aebacked Yes8c10,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8004129.3%12 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9c3…b98fbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0056…d0ecbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1016927.8%47 W · 122 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-35.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Yes8c10,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80019345.1%87 W · 106 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe102…f569backed Yes8c10,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8002114.3%3 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-71%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes8c9,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.9916927.8%47 W · 122 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Yes8c9,297$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.7320844.7%93 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83ab…06dfbacked Yes8c8,325$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6661136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7124…f0b5backed Yes8c8,107$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6202835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid+20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3f2…e1c1backed Yes8c8,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64060%0 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ee…d3d6backed Yes1c7,163$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367910.1%8 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec7f…7d79backed Yes4c7,130$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.211711.8%2 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.22per pick34cpaid-83.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2e5a…0122backed Yes9c7,120$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.617229.2%21 W · 51 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick21cpaid+62.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xef8d…b115backed Yes4c6,875$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010224.5%25 W · 77 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe99…a1e1backed Yes0c6,667$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013721.9%30 W · 107 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick16cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x34b6…5e52backed Yes0c6,504$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.143315.2%5 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-32.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5964…776bbacked Yes8c6,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009443.6%41 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfed7…b06abacked Yes8c6,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005320.8%11 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes7c5,714$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40032429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a25…b124backed Yes9c5,556$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005018%9 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55a8…7245backed Yes9c5,556$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008725.3%22 W · 65 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0563…f41cbacked Yes2c5,037$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7515040%60 W · 90 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Yes2c5,000$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10513533.3%45 W · 90 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d46…3e2dbacked Yes2c5,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008231.7%26 W · 56 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+122.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes2c5,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016116.1%26 W · 135 L-0.3wins0.00per pick16cpaid+52.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Yes3c4,878$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.3443230.1%130 W · 302 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x633b…f6e9backed Yes0c4,739$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.33812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-79.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Yes3c4,494$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.6547744.2%211 W · 266 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b36…0d4bbacked Yes3c4,458$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.0873626.5%195 W · 541 L-0.7wins0.00per pick27cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes2c4,340$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.875335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11cd…e5a8backed Yes3c4,041$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.9914030%42 W · 98 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c16…04f7backed Yes3c3,997$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11015621.8%34 W · 122 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x450d…b4edbacked Yes0c3,942$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104928.6%14 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe167…c0e6backed Yes9c3,872$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.4412615.1%19 W · 107 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-49.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83f1…1936backed Yes3c3,846$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-49.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes8c3,834$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.7572722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2572…4514backed Yes1c3,775$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262611.5%3 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick8cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fce…a7c8backed Yes8c3,750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007032.9%23 W · 47 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c42…610fbacked Yes8c3,721$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.71747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-18%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes9c3,716$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.441,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5f…6b9cbacked Yes9c3,700$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3335422.2%12 W · 42 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5df…63cfbacked Yes8c3,626$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.061833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-40.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ee0…1006backed Yes8c3,606$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.3721633.8%73 W · 143 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x922d…3b38backed Yes8c3,474$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.91030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-43.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34b8…523cbacked Yes1c3,444$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202810.7%3 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid+36.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4059…23dabacked Yes1c3,343$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.71494.1%2 W · 47 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-60.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1ec…2d0ebacked Yes9c3,333$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009719.6%19 W · 78 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Yes7c3,269$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.8512334.1%42 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc38…9750backed Yes3c3,157$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.291723.5%4 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid-26.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe738…df65backed Yes8c3,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2407733.8%26 W · 51 L-7.0wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaa75…81b5backed Yes1c2,786$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257225%18 W · 54 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20a4…eb0ebacked Yes9c2,778$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25050%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdda1…9527backed Yes6c2,766$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17011333.6%38 W · 75 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes8c2,666$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.1747648.5%231 W · 245 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1a1…a41ebacked Yes3c2,649$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.614032.1%45 W · 95 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d8f…6dfdbacked Yes8c2,600$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2097848.7%38 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Yes8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa7f…dc59backed Yes8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010425%26 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2993…431fbacked Yes8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013438.1%51 W · 83 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae02…21e8backed Yes8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004228.6%12 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes2c2,500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5034122.3%76 W · 265 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13e0…a97ebacked Yes9c2,496$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.688133.3%27 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1db…1619backed Yes7c2,257$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.9910228.4%29 W · 73 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd759…c0dfbacked Yes3c2,244$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75147.1%1 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick7cpaid+42.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb50b…a74fbacked Yes9c2,222$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002227.3%6 W · 16 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick15cpaid+44.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0bda…ac9bbacked Yes2c2,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404621.7%10 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-26.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa29…5aebbacked Yes2c2,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401540%6 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-38.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9c5…910abacked Yes9c2,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801330.8%4 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick21cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.